Timber Creek
W-L: ( 4-13) PR = 72.7357Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Millville ( 3-15, 71.7) 6- 5 404 H Cedar Creek (13- 6, 79.9) 3-16 407 A Hamilton North-Notti (10- 8, 73.8) 6- 8 408 H Highland Regional ( 6-10, 74.1) 5- 8 410 H Middle Township (13- 5, 79.5) 4-14 414 A Absegami ( 7- 9, 76.4) 7- 9 415 H Winslow Township ( 0-10, 62.5) 19- 1 417 A Haddon Township (12- 7, 79.4) 3-15 422 A Hammonton ( 2-13, 72.2) 10- 6 428 H Oakcrest ( 8- 9, 77.7) 6- 9 508 A Sterling (10- 5, 77.7) 3-10 510 H St Joseph Hammonton ( 8- 9, 85.0) 2-16 513 H Triton Regional ( 9- 6, 79.4) 4-16 516 H Cherry Hill West ( 2-13, 70.2) 8- 6 519 H Hamilton North-Notti (10- 8, 73.8) 6-11 521 A Holy Cross Prep ( 4-13, 72.2) 6-10 527 H West Deptford/Gatewa (10- 9, 79.7) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
331 H Millville 6- 5 1 2 -0.89
404 H Cedar Creek 3-16 -13 -6 0.00
407 A Hamilton North-Notti 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.10
408 H Highland Regional 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.49
410 H Middle Township 4-14 -10 -6 0.00
414 A Absegami 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.48
415 H Winslow Township 19- 1 18 11 0.00
417 A Haddon Township 3-15 -12 -7 0.00
422 A Hammonton 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.29
428 H Oakcrest 6- 9 -3 -4 1.14
508 A Sterling 3-10 -7 -6 0.00
510 H St Joseph Hammonton 2-16 -14 -11 0.00
513 H Triton Regional 4-16 -12 -6 0.00
516 H Cherry Hill West 8- 6 2 3 -1.31
519 H Hamilton North-Notti 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.71
521 A Holy Cross Prep 6-10 -4 0 - -3.72
527 H West Deptford/Gatewa 12-13 -1 -6 ++ 4.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 H Hamilton North-Notti 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.71 408 H Highland Regional 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.49 521 A Holy Cross Prep 6-10 -4 0 - -3.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Hammonton 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.29 527 H West Deptford/Gatewa 12-13 -1 -6 ++ 4.00 414 A Absegami 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.48 |
Timber Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absegami | Absegami | Absegami | ||
| Allentown | Allentown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Allentown | |
| Arthur L Johnson | Arthur L Johnson | Arthur L Johnson | ||
| Barnegat Township | Barnegat Township | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Barnegat Township | |
| Bergen Catholic | Bergen Catholic | Bergen Catholic | ||
| Bergen Tech | Bergen Tech | Bergen Tech | ||
| Bernards | Bernards | Bernards | ||
| Bishop Eustace Prep | Bishop Eustace Prep | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Bishop Eustace Prep | |
| Blair Academy | Blair Academy | Blair Academy | ||
| Boonton | Boonton | Boonton | ||
| Brick Memorial | Brick Memorial | Brick Memorial | ||
| Brick Township | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bridgewater-Raritan | Bridgewater-Raritan | Bridgewater-Raritan | ||
| Camden Catholic | Camden Catholic | Camden Catholic 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Cedar Creek | Cedar Creek | Cedar Creek | ||
| Cedar Grove | Cedar Grove | Cedar Grove | ||
| Central Regional | Central Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Central Regional | |
| Chatham | Chatham | Chatham | ||
| Cherokee | Cherokee | Cherokee | ||
| Cherry Hill East | Cherry Hill East | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Cherry Hill East | |
| Cherry Hill West | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Christian Brothers | Christian Brothers | Christian Brothers | ||
| Cinnaminson | Cinnaminson | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cinnaminson | |
| Clearview Regional | Clearview Regional | Clearview Regional 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clifton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Colts Neck | Colts Neck | Colts Neck | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | Columbia | ||
| Cranford | Cranford | Cranford | ||
| Delaware Valley | Delaware Valley | Delaware Valley | ||
| Delbarton | Delbarton | Delbarton | ||
| Delran | Delran | Delran 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Demarest | Demarest | Demarest | ||
| DePaul Catholic | DePaul Catholic | DePaul Catholic | ||
| Don Bosco Prep | Don Bosco Prep | Don Bosco Prep | ||
| Donovan Catholic | Donovan Catholic | Donovan Catholic | ||
| Dwight-Englewood | Dwight-Englewood | Dwight-Englewood | ||
| East Brunswick | East Brunswick | East Brunswick | ||
| East Side Newark | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Eastern Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Eastern Regional | Eastern Regional | Eastern Regional | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Egg Harbor Township | Egg Harbor Township | Egg Harbor Township 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Ewing Township | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Fair Lawn | Fair Lawn | Fair Lawn | ||
| Freehold Township | Freehold Township | Freehold Township | ||
| Gill St Bernards | Gill St Bernards | Gill St Bernards | ||
| Glen Ridge | Glen Ridge | Glen Ridge | ||
| Glen Rock | Glen Rock | Glen Rock | ||
| Gloucester Catholic | Gloucester Catholic | Gloucester Catholic 4- 6 vs 1- 9 | ||
| Governor Livingston | Governor Livingston | Governor Livingston | ||
| Hackettstown | Hackettstown | Hackettstown | ||
| Haddon Township | Haddon Township | Haddon Township | ||
| Haddonfield Memorial | Haddonfield Memorial | Haddonfield Memorial | ||
| Hamilton East-Steine | Hamilton East-Steine | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hamilton East-Steine | |
| Hamilton North-Notti | Hamilton North-Notti | Hamilton North-Notti | ||
| Hamilton West | Hamilton West | Hamilton West | ||
| Hammonton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Hanover Park/Whippan | Hanover Park/Whippan | Hanover Park/Whippan | ||
| Hawthorne | Hawthorne | Hawthorne | ||
| High Point/Wallkill | High Point/Wallkill | High Point/Wallkill | ||
| Highland Regional | Highland Regional | Highland Regional | ||
| Hightstown | Hightstown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hightstown | |
| Hillsborough | Hillsborough | Hillsborough | ||
| Holmdel | Holmdel | Holmdel | ||
| Holy Cross Prep | Holy Cross Prep | Holy Cross Prep | ||
| Holy Spirit | Holy Spirit | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holy Spirit | |
| Hopewell Valley | Hopewell Valley | Hopewell Valley | ||
| Howell | Howell | Howell | ||
| Hun School | Hun School | Hun School | ||
| Hunterdon Central | Hunterdon Central | Hunterdon Central | ||
| Immaculata | Immaculata | Immaculata | ||
| Indian Hills | Indian Hills | Indian Hills | ||
| Jackson Liberty | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Jackson Memorial | Jackson Memorial | Jackson Memorial | ||
| James Caldwell | James Caldwell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | James Caldwell | |
| Jefferson Township | Jefferson Township | Jefferson Township | ||
| John P Stevens | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Jonathan Dayton | Jonathan Dayton | Jonathan Dayton | ||
| Kingsway Regional | Kingsway Regional | Kingsway Regional 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Kinnelon | Kinnelon | Kinnelon | ||
| Kittatinny Regional | Kittatinny Regional | Kittatinny Regional | ||
| Lacey Township | Lacey Township | Lacey Township | ||
| Lakeland Regional | Lakeland Regional | Lakeland Regional | ||
| Lawrenceville School | Lawrenceville School | Lawrenceville School | ||
| Lenape | Lenape | Lenape | ||
| Lenape Valley | Lenape Valley | Lenape Valley | ||
| Livingston | Livingston | Livingston | ||
| Long Branch | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lower Cape May | Lower Cape May | Lower Cape May 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lyndhurst/North Arli | Lyndhurst/North Arli | Lyndhurst/North Arli | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Mahwah | Mahwah | Mahwah | ||
| Mainland Regional | Mainland Regional | Mainland Regional 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Manalapan | Manalapan | Manalapan | ||
| Manasquan | Manasquan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manasquan | |
| Marlboro | Marlboro | Marlboro | ||
| Middle Township | Middle Township | Middle Township | ||
| Middletown North | Middletown North | Middletown North | ||
| Middletown South | Middletown South | Middletown South | ||
| Millburn | Millburn | Millburn | ||
| Millville | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Monroe Township | Monroe Township | Monroe Township | ||
| Montclair | Montclair | Montclair | ||
| Montclair Kimberley | Montclair Kimberley | Montclair Kimberley | ||
| Montgomery | Montgomery | Montgomery | ||
| Montville Township | Montville Township | Montville Township | ||
| Moorestown | Moorestown | Moorestown | ||
| Moorestown Friends | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Morris Catholic | Morris Catholic | Morris Catholic | ||
| Morris Hills | Morris Hills | Morris Hills | ||
| Morris Knolls | Morris Knolls | Morris Knolls | ||
| Morristown | Morristown | Morristown | ||
| Morristown Beard | Morristown Beard | Morristown Beard | ||
| Mount Olive | Mount Olive | Mount Olive | ||
| Mountain Lakes | Mountain Lakes | Mountain Lakes | ||
| Neptune | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| New Egypt | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| New Providence | New Providence | New Providence | ||
| Newark Academy | Newark Academy | Newark Academy | ||
| Newton | Newton | Newton | ||
| North Brunswick | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| North Hunterdon | North Hunterdon | North Hunterdon | ||
| North Warren | North Warren | North Warren | ||
| Northern Burlington | Northern Burlington | Northern Burlington 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Northern Highlands | Northern Highlands | Northern Highlands | ||
| Notre Dame Lawrence | Notre Dame Lawrence | Notre Dame Lawrence | ||
| Nutley | Nutley | Nutley | ||
| Oakcrest | Oakcrest | Oakcrest | ||
| Ocean City | Ocean City | Ocean City 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ocean Township | Ocean Township | Ocean Township | ||
| Old Bridge | Old Bridge | Old Bridge | ||
| Old Tappan | Old Tappan | Old Tappan | ||
| Oratory Prep | Oratory Prep | Oratory Prep | ||
| Paramus | Paramus | Paramus | ||
| Paramus Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Park Ridge | Park Ridge | Park Ridge | ||
| Parsippany Hills/Par | Parsippany Hills/Par | Parsippany Hills/Par | ||
| Pascack Hills | Pascack Hills | Pascack Hills | ||
| Pascack Valley | Pascack Valley | Pascack Valley | ||
| Passaic County Tech | Passaic County Tech | Passaic County Tech | ||
| Passaic Valley | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Paul VI Haddonfield | Paul VI Haddonfield | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Paul VI Haddonfield | |
| Peddie School | Peddie School | Peddie School | ||
| Pennington School | Pennington School | Pennington School | ||
| Pequannock Township | Pequannock Township | Pequannock Township | ||
| Phillipsburg | Phillipsburg | Phillipsburg | ||
| Pingry | Pingry | Pingry | ||
| Point Pleasant Boro | Point Pleasant Boro | Point Pleasant Boro | ||
| Pompton Lakes | Pompton Lakes | Pompton Lakes | ||
| Pope John XXIII | Pope John XXIII | Pope John XXIII | ||
| Princeton Day School | Princeton Day School | Princeton Day School | ||
| Princeton HS | Princeton HS | Princeton HS | ||
| Ramapo | Ramapo | Ramapo | ||
| Ramsey | Ramsey | Ramsey | ||
| Rancocas Valley | Rancocas Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Rancocas Valley | |
| Randolph | Randolph | Randolph | ||
| Red Bank Catholic | Red Bank Catholic | Red Bank Catholic | ||
| Red Bank Regional | Red Bank Regional | Red Bank Regional | ||
| Ridge | Ridge | Ridge | ||
| Ridgewood | Ridgewood | Ridgewood | ||
| River Dell | River Dell | River Dell | ||
| Robbinsville | Robbinsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Robbinsville | |
| Roxbury | Roxbury | Roxbury | ||
| Rumson-Fair Haven | Rumson-Fair Haven | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rumson-Fair Haven | |
| Rutgers Prep | Rutgers Prep | Rutgers Prep | ||
| Rutherford | Rutherford | Rutherford | ||
| Saddle Brook | Saddle Brook | Saddle Brook | ||
| Saddle River Day | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sayreville | Sayreville | Sayreville | ||
| Scotch Plains Fanwoo | Scotch Plains Fanwoo | Scotch Plains Fanwoo | ||
| Seneca | Seneca | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Seneca | |
| Seton Hall Prep | Seton Hall Prep | Seton Hall Prep | ||
| Shawnee | Shawnee | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Shawnee | |
| Shore Regional | Shore Regional | Shore Regional | ||
| Somerville | Somerville | Somerville | ||
| South Brunswick | South Brunswick | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Brunswick | |
| Southern Regional | Southern Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southern Regional | |
| Sparta | Sparta | Sparta | ||
| St Augustine Prep | St Augustine Prep | St Augustine Prep | ||
| St John Vianney | St John Vianney | St John Vianney | ||
| St Joseph Hammonton | St Joseph Hammonton | St Joseph Hammonton | ||
| St Joseph Metuchen | St Joseph Metuchen | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph Metuchen | |
| St Joseph Montvale | St Joseph Montvale | St Joseph Montvale | ||
| St Peters Prep | St Peters Prep | St Peters Prep | ||
| St Rose Belmar | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sterling | Sterling | Sterling | ||
| Summit | Summit | Summit | ||
| Tenafly | Tenafly | Tenafly | ||
| Toms River East | Toms River East | Toms River East | ||
| Toms River North | Toms River North | Toms River North | ||
| Toms River South | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Triton Regional | Triton Regional | Triton Regional | ||
| Union Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Vernon Township | Vernon Township | Vernon Township | ||
| Verona | Verona | Verona | ||
| Vineland | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 3-10)( 2-11) | Timber Creek | |
| Voorhees | Voorhees | Voorhees | ||
| Waldwick | Waldwick | Waldwick | ||
| Wall Township | Wall Township | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wall Township | |
| Warren Hills | Warren Hills | Warren Hills | ||
| Washington Township | Washington Township | Washington Township 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Watchung Hills | Watchung Hills | Watchung Hills | ||
| Wayne Hills | Wayne Hills | Wayne Hills | ||
| Wayne Valley | Wayne Valley | Wayne Valley | ||
| Weehawken | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Deptford/Gatewa | West Deptford/Gatewa | West Deptford/Gatewa | ||
| West Essex Regional | West Essex Regional | West Essex Regional | ||
| West Milford | West Milford | West Milford | ||
| West Morris Central | West Morris Central | West Morris Central | ||
| West Morris Mendham | West Morris Mendham | West Morris Mendham | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| West Windsor-Plainsb | West Windsor-Plainsb | West Windsor-Plainsb | ||
| West Windsor-Plainsb | West Windsor-Plainsb | West Windsor-Plainsb | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| Westwood | Westwood | Westwood | ||
| Wilberforce | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Williamstown | Williamstown | Williamstown 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Winslow Township | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Woodstown | Woodstown | Woodstown 3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
PowerWise = 24
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.58
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Millville ( 3-15, 71.7) 6- 5 -28.25 9.11 -0.81 1.03 8.59
0 H Cedar Creek (13- 6, 79.9) 3-16 -20.02 17.35 -0.81 1.03 -21.54
0 A Hamilton North (10- 8, 73.8) 6- 8 -26.07 11.29 0.81 1.03 -26.13
0 H Highland Regio ( 6-10, 74.1) 5- 8 -25.84 11.52 -0.81 1.03 -27.56
0 H Middle Townshi (13- 5, 79.5) 4-14 -20.43 16.94 -0.81 1.03 -21.96
0 A Absegami ( 7- 9, 76.4) 7- 9 -23.49 13.87 0.81 1.03 -23.46
0 H Winslow Townsh ( 0-10, 62.5) 19- 1 -37.36 1.00 -0.81 1.03 0.20
0 A Haddon Townshi (12- 7, 79.4) 3-15 -20.50 16.86 0.81 1.03 -20.37
0 A Hammonton ( 2-13, 72.2) 10- 6 -27.68 9.69 0.81 1.03 10.85
0 H Oakcrest ( 8- 9, 77.7) 6- 9 -22.22 15.14 -0.81 1.03 -23.82
0 A Sterling (10- 5, 77.7) 3-10 -22.23 15.13 0.81 1.03 -22.15
0 H St Joseph Ham ( 8- 9, 85.0) 2-16 -14.91 22.45 -0.81 1.03 -16.25
0 H Triton Regiona ( 9- 6, 79.4) 4-16 -20.53 16.83 -0.81 1.03 -22.07
0 H Cherry Hill We ( 2-13, 70.2) 8- 6 -29.67 7.70 -0.81 1.03 7.13
0 H Hamilton North (10- 8, 73.8) 6-11 -26.07 11.29 -0.81 1.03 -27.80
0 A Holy Cross Pre ( 4-13, 72.2) 6-10 -27.69 9.68 0.81 1.03 -27.80
0 H West Deptford/ (10- 9, 79.7) 12-13 -20.20 17.17 -0.81 1.03 -21.72
------
-275.86
|
winning pts = 26.7687 losing points = -302.6298
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------