Timber Creek
W-L: (13- 7) PR = 86.2556Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Dr Phillips ( 3-12, 72.3) 16- 1 212 H Colonial ( 4-10, 70.1) 20- 2 214 H Lake Nona ( 8- 9, 80.0) 13- 1 218 A Innovation ( 4-11, 75.1) 16- 4 219 A Lake Mary (18- 1, 97.5) 1-14 221 H Viera (14- 6, 88.3) 9-14 226 H Hagerty ( 5- 8, 78.7) 19- 7 228 H First Academy (12- 5, 86.1) 8- 1 301 A Bolles (16- 5, 93.7) 4-20 305 A West Orange (10- 6, 89.0) 6-15 307 H Boone ( 7- 9, 83.7) 12-10 311 H East River (11- 6, 78.3) 19- 6 312 A Olympia ( 7- 7, 79.8) 13- 3 328 H Winter Park (13- 4, 93.5) 3-10 401 A Edgewater (10- 6, 81.8) 11- 5 403 A Lake Brantley ( 6-10, 83.1) 8- 5 410 H Dr Phillips ( 3-12, 72.3) 13- 0 414 H Boone ( 7- 9, 83.7) 6- 5 416 A Winter Park (13- 4, 93.5) 0-13 423 A Winter Park (13- 4, 93.5) 3- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A Dr Phillips 16- 1 15 13 0.00
212 H Colonial 20- 2 18 17 0.00
214 H Lake Nona 13- 1 12 7 0.00
218 A Innovation 16- 4 12 11 0.00
219 A Lake Mary 1-14 -13 -12 0.00
221 H Viera 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.53
226 H Hagerty 19- 7 12 8 0.00
228 H First Academy 8- 1 7 1 ++ 4.24
301 A Bolles 4-20 -16 -8 0.00
305 A West Orange 6-15 -9 -3 -1.66
307 H Boone 12-10 2 3 -1.20
311 H East River 19- 6 13 9 0.00
312 A Olympia 13- 3 10 6 0.00
328 H Winter Park 3-10 -7 -7 0.00
401 A Edgewater 11- 5 6 4 1.10
403 A Lake Brantley 8- 5 3 3 0.42
410 H Dr Phillips 13- 0 13 15 0.00
414 H Boone 6- 5 1 3 - -2.20
416 A Winter Park 0-13 -13 -8 0.00
423 A Winter Park 3- 8 -5 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Viera 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.53 414 H Boone 6- 5 1 3 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H First Academy 8- 1 7 1 ++ 4.24 |
Timber Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admiral Farragut Aca | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| All Saints Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Alonso | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| American Heritage De | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | ||
| Angeline Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Apopka | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beac | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Barron Collier | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bartow | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bartram Trail | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Beachside | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop McLaughlin | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore 4- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop Verot | |
| Bloomingdale | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Boca Ciega | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Boca Raton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bolles | Bolles | Bolles | ||
| Boone | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Buchholz | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Calvary Christian Ac | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | ||
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Celebration | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Chiles | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Clearwater Central C | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Colonial | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Columbus Catholic | |
| Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | ||
| Cooper City | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Coral Glades | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Coral Reef | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Coral Shores | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Coral Springs | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Countryside | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Cypress Creek | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Cypress Lake | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Dr Phillips | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Durant | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Dwyer | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| East Lake | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| East Ridge | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| East River | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Eastside | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Edgewater | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Edgewood | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Episcopal Jacksonvi | |
| Estero | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Evans | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Father Lopez | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Fernandina Beach | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| First Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Fleming Island | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Fletcher | Fletcher | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fletcher | |
| Florida Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Forest | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Fort Myers | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Foundation Academy | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Freedom Orlando | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Golden Gate | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | ||
| Hagerty | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Holy Trinity Episcop | |
| Horizon | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | IMG Academy-White | |
| Immaculata LaSalle | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Immokalee | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Indian Rocks Christi | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Innovation | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Jensen Beach | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | ||
| John Carroll Catholi | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Key West | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Keys Gate | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Kings Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lake Brantley | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Lake Highland Prep | |
| Lake Howell | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lake Mary | Lake Mary | Lake Mary | ||
| Lake Minneola | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Timber Creek | |
| Lake Nona | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lake Wales | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Lakeland HS | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | ||
| Land O Lakes | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lely | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Leon | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lincoln Tallahassee | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lyman | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Maclay | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Martin County | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Matanzas | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Melbourne | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Melbourne Central Ca | Timber Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Timber Creek | |
| Menendez | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Merritt Island | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Miami Country Day | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Milton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Mitchell | Mitchell | Mitchell | ||
| Montverde Academy | Timber Creek | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Naples | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Navarre | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Nease | Nease | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Nease | |
| Newberry | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Niceville | Niceville | ||
| North Bay Haven | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| North Broward Prep | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Northeast St Petersb | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Northside Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| NSU University Schoo | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oak Hall | |
| Ocoee | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 5- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Okeechobee | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Olympia | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Olympic Heights | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Osceola | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Oviedo | Timber Creek | tied - ( 6- 2) ( 6- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Palm Harbor Universi | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Park Vista | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pasco | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Paxon Institute | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pensacola | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Plant | Plant | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Plant | |
| Pompano Beach | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Providence School | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Rickards | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Riverdale | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Riverside | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Robinson | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Rockledge | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sandalwood | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Santa Fe | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sarasota HS | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Satellite | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Sebastian River | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Seminole | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 8- 1 vs 6- 3 | ||
| Seminole Ridge | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sickles | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| South Fork | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| South Lake | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| South Plantation | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Spanish River | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Andrews | |
| St Augustine | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| St Brendan | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Cloud | Timber Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Timber Creek | |
| St Edwards School | St Edwards School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Edwards School | |
| St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| St Petersburg Cathol | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Petersburg HS | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Stephens Episcopa | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Steinbrenner | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Suncoast | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sunlake | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tampa Prep | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Taravella | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tohopekaliga | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Trinity Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trinity Catholic | |
| Trinity Prep | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| University Orlando | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Venice | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Vero Beach | |
| Viera | Viera | Viera | ||
| Village School Naple | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Washington | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Wellington | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Boca Raton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Broward | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Florida | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| West Shore | Timber Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Timber Creek | |
| Western Davie | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Westminster Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Westminster Christia | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Wharton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Windermere HS | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 5- 4) | Timber Creek | |
| Windermere Prep | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Winter Haven | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | Winter Park | ||
| Winter Springs | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | Timber Creek | Timber Creek |
PowerWise = 183
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Dr Phillips ( 3-12, 72.3) 16- 1 -27.63 10.76 0.60 0.76 8.62
0 H Colonial ( 4-10, 70.1) 20- 2 -29.79 8.60 -0.60 0.76 6.07
0 H Lake Nona ( 8- 9, 80.0) 13- 1 -19.85 18.54 -0.60 0.76 13.60
0 A Innovation ( 4-11, 75.1) 16- 4 -24.77 13.62 0.60 0.76 10.78
0 A Lake Mary (18- 1, 97.5) 1-14 -2.42 35.97 0.60 0.76 -1.38
0 H Viera (14- 6, 88.3) 9-14 -11.57 26.83 -0.60 0.76 -9.23
0 H Hagerty ( 5- 8, 78.7) 19- 7 -21.21 17.19 -0.60 0.76 12.57
0 H First Academy (12- 5, 86.1) 8- 1 -13.80 24.60 -0.60 0.76 18.19
0 A Bolles (16- 5, 93.7) 4-20 -6.22 32.18 0.60 0.76 -4.26
0 A West Orange (10- 6, 89.0) 6-15 -10.91 27.49 0.60 0.76 -7.81
0 H Boone ( 7- 9, 83.7) 12-10 -16.24 22.16 -0.60 0.76 16.34
0 H East River (11- 6, 78.3) 19- 6 -21.60 16.79 -0.60 0.76 12.28
0 A Olympia ( 7- 7, 79.8) 13- 3 -20.15 18.25 0.60 0.76 14.29
0 H Winter Park (13- 4, 93.5) 3-10 -6.38 32.02 -0.60 0.76 -5.29
0 A Edgewater (10- 6, 81.8) 11- 5 -18.14 20.25 0.60 0.76 15.81
0 A Lake Brantley ( 6-10, 83.1) 8- 5 -16.83 21.57 0.60 0.76 16.80
0 H Dr Phillips ( 3-12, 72.3) 13- 0 -27.63 10.76 -0.60 0.76 7.70
0 H Boone ( 7- 9, 83.7) 6- 5 -16.24 22.16 -0.60 0.76 16.34
0 A Winter Park (13- 4, 93.5) 0-13 -6.38 32.02 0.60 0.76 -4.38
0 A Winter Park (13- 4, 93.5) 3- 8 -6.38 32.02 0.60 0.76 -4.38
------
132.66
|
winning pts = 169.3903 losing points = -36.7266
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------