Thurston
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 82.1727Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Corvallis ( 5-14, 83.4) 8- 4 320 A Forest Grove (17- 3, 86.9) 11-14 404 H West Salem/McNary (15- 5, 89.5) 5-15 408 A Sprague/South Salem ( 0-16, 74.8) 18- 8 411 A Ridgeview ( 4- 8, 82.5) 5- 7 415 A Sheldon ( 7-11, 84.5) 2-13 417 H Marist ( 5-10, 82.7) 11-10 419 H Beaverton ( 9- 9, 85.3) 6- 7 422 H South Eugene (13- 2, 90.0) 1-14 425 A Roseburg ( 8- 9, 84.3) 7-10 502 H Sheldon ( 7-11, 84.5) 9- 8 506 A Marist ( 5-10, 82.7) 6-12 509 A South Eugene (13- 2, 90.0) 0-15 513 H Roseburg ( 8- 9, 84.3) 4-12 521 A Beaverton ( 9- 9, 85.3) 5-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Corvallis 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.64
320 A Forest Grove 11-14 -3 -5 + 2.00
404 H West Salem/McNary 5-15 -10 -7 0.00
408 A Sprague/South Salem 18- 8 10 7 0.00
411 A Ridgeview 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.12
415 A Sheldon 2-13 -11 -3 - -2.13
417 H Marist 11-10 1 0 0.92
419 H Beaverton 6- 7 -1 -3 1.58
422 H South Eugene 1-14 -13 -7 0.00
425 A Roseburg 7-10 -3 -3 -0.28
502 H Sheldon 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.69
506 A Marist 6-12 -6 -1 - -3.91
509 A South Eugene 0-15 -15 -8 0.00
513 H Roseburg 4-12 -8 -2 - -3.46
521 A Beaverton 5-13 -8 -4 -1.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Sheldon 2-13 -11 -3 - -2.13 506 A Marist 6-12 -6 -1 - -3.91 513 H Roseburg 4-12 -8 -2 - -3.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Corvallis 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.64 320 A Forest Grove 11-14 -3 -5 + 2.00 502 H Sheldon 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.69 |
Thurston Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aloha/Southridge | Thurston | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Thurston | |
| Beaverton | Beaverton | Beaverton | ||
| Bend/Caldera | Bend/Caldera | Bend/Caldera 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Burns | Thurston | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Thurston | |
| Canby | Canby | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Canby | |
| Central Catholic | Central Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Central Catholic | |
| Century | Century | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Century | |
| Clackamas/Nelson | Clackamas/Nelson | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Clackamas/Nelson | |
| Corvallis | Thurston | Thurston | ||
| Forest Grove | Forest Grove | Forest Grove | ||
| Glencoe | Glencoe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Glencoe | |
| Grant/Central Eastsi | Grant/Central Eastsi | Grant/Central Eastsi | ||
| Hillsboro | Thurston | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) | Thurston | |
| Hood River | Hood River | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hood River | |
| Ida B Wells | Ida B Wells | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Ida B Wells | |
| Jesuit Portland | Jesuit Portland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Jesuit Portland | |
| Lake Oswego/Riverdal | Lake Oswego/Riverdal | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Oswego/Riverdal | |
| Lakeridge | Lakeridge | Lakeridge | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Liberty | |
| Lincoln | Lincoln | Lincoln | ||
| Marist | Marist | insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 0- 6) | Marist | |
| Mountain View | Mountain View | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) | Mountain View | |
| Mountainside | Mountainside | Mountainside 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Newberg | Newberg | Newberg 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Oregon City | Oregon City | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oregon City | |
| Oregon Episcopal | Oregon Episcopal | Oregon Episcopal 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ridgeview | Ridgeview | Ridgeview | ||
| Roseburg | Roseburg | Roseburg | ||
| Sheldon | Sheldon | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 2) | Sheldon | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| South Eugene | South Eugene | South Eugene | ||
| Sprague/South Salem | Thurston | Thurston | ||
| Summit | Summit | Summit 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sunset | Sunset | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sunset | |
| Tigard | Tigard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Tigard | |
| Tualatin | Tualatin | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Tualatin | |
| West Albany | Thurston | Thurston 4- 5 vs 1- 6 | ||
| West Linn | West Linn | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | West Linn | |
| West Salem/McNary | West Salem/McNary | West Salem/McNary | ||
| Westview | Westview | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Westview | |
| Wilsonville | Wilsonville | Wilsonville 3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
PowerWise = 6
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Corvallis ( 5-14, 83.4) 8- 4 -16.50 8.61 -0.59 1.07 8.58
0 A Forest Grove (17- 3, 86.9) 11-14 -13.01 12.10 0.59 1.07 -13.29
0 H West Salem/McN (15- 5, 89.5) 5-15 -10.37 14.74 -0.59 1.07 -11.73
0 A Sprague/South ( 0-16, 74.8) 18- 8 -25.10 1.00 0.59 1.07 1.70
0 A Ridgeview ( 4- 8, 82.5) 5- 7 -17.43 7.68 0.59 1.07 -18.02
0 A Sheldon ( 7-11, 84.5) 2-13 -15.45 9.66 0.59 1.07 -15.90
0 H Marist ( 5-10, 82.7) 11-10 -17.22 7.89 -0.59 1.07 7.81
0 H Beaverton ( 9- 9, 85.3) 6- 7 -14.56 10.55 -0.59 1.07 -16.20
0 H South Eugene (13- 2, 90.0) 1-14 -9.89 15.22 -0.59 1.07 -11.21
0 A Roseburg ( 8- 9, 84.3) 7-10 -15.60 9.51 0.59 1.07 -16.06
0 H Sheldon ( 7-11, 84.5) 9- 8 -15.45 9.66 -0.59 1.07 9.71
0 A Marist ( 5-10, 82.7) 6-12 -17.22 7.89 0.59 1.07 -17.80
0 A South Eugene (13- 2, 90.0) 0-15 -9.89 15.22 0.59 1.07 -9.95
0 H Roseburg ( 8- 9, 84.3) 4-12 -15.60 9.51 -0.59 1.07 -17.31
0 A Beaverton ( 9- 9, 85.3) 5-13 -14.56 10.55 0.59 1.07 -14.94
------
-134.61
|
winning pts = 27.7968 losing points = -162.4085
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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