---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys ThunderRidge 1
  
ThunderRidge          
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 80.9052

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 6-13 310 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 11-10 312 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 5- 7 328 H Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 3-17 403 A Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 15-10 408 A Valor Christian (13- 1, 98.4) 1-20 411 A Regis Jesuit (10- 5, 96.0) 0-16 415 H Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 4-15 417 A Legend (11- 4, 94.6) 3-19 422 H Rock Canyon ( 6- 9, 89.3) 4-14 425 H Mountain Vista (10- 5, 93.6) 6-18 429 H Mullen ( 7- 7, 82.4) 6- 9 501 H Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 5- 3

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Heritage                6-13      -7    -4          -1.24
   310 H Arvada West            11-10       1     3    -     -2.27
   312 A Eaglecrest              5- 7      -2    -3           1.08
   328 H Columbine               3-17     -14    -5           0.00
   403 A Chaparral              15-10       5     1    ++     4.28
   408 A Valor Christian         1-20     -19   -18           0.00
   411 A Regis Jesuit            0-16     -16   -15           0.00
   415 H Castle View             4-15     -11    -8           0.00
   417 A Legend                  3-19     -16   -14           0.00
   422 H Rock Canyon             4-14     -10    -8           0.00
   425 H Mountain Vista          6-18     -12   -12           0.00
   429 H Mullen                  6- 9      -3    -1          -1.91
   501 H Ponderosa               5- 3       2     2           0.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Arvada West            11-10       1     3    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Chaparral              15-10       5     1    ++     4.28

ThunderRidge Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Air Academy
Arapahoe Arapahoe Arapahoe   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Arvada West ThunderRidge ThunderRidge  
Aspen Aspen   Aspen
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain   Battle Mountain
Boulder Boulder Boulder   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Castle View Castle View Castle View  
Chaparral ThunderRidge ThunderRidge  
Chatfield Chatfield Chatfield   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine Columbine  
Conifer ThunderRidge tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) ThunderRidge
Crested Butte ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver East Denver East tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Denver East
Denver North ThunderRidge tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) ThunderRidge
Denver South Denver South tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Denver South
Douglas County Douglas County insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) Douglas County
Durango Durango   Durango
Eagle Valley ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Eaglecrest Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Erie Erie insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Erie
Evergreen Evergreen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Evergreen
Fairview Fairview insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Fairview
Fountain Valley ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) ThunderRidge
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument   Fruita Monument
Glenwood Springs Glenwood Springs   Glenwood Springs
Golden Golden insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Golden
Grand Junction Grand Junction   Grand Junction
Grandview Grandview Grandview   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Green Mountain Green Mountain insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Green Mountain
Heritage Heritage Heritage  
Holy Family ThunderRidge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) ThunderRidge
Jefferson Academy ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) ThunderRidge
Kent Denver Kent Denver insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood Lakewood   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Legend Legend Legend  
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Littleton ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) ThunderRidge
Lutheran Lutheran insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lutheran
Middle Park Middle Park insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Middle Park
Monarch Monarch insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Monarch
Montrose ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Mountain Range Mountain Range tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mountain Range
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista Mountain Vista  
Mullen Mullen Mullen  
Northfield Northfield Northfield   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Palmer ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) ThunderRidge
Pine Creek Pine Creek Pine Creek   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Ponderosa ThunderRidge ThunderRidge  
Poudre District Poudre District Poudre District   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Prairie View ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Pueblo West Pueblo West   Pueblo West
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ralston Valley
Rangeview ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) ThunderRidge
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit  
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi   Resurrection Christi
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon Rock Canyon  
Smoky Hill ThunderRidge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) ThunderRidge
St Marys HS ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) ThunderRidge
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Steamboat Springs
Summit ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Telluride Telluride   Telluride
Thomas Jefferson ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) ThunderRidge
Thompson Valley ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) ThunderRidge
Vail Mountain Vail Mountain   Vail Mountain
Valor Christian Valor Christian Valor Christian  
Vanguard School ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Windsor Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Windsor

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Heritage        ( 9- 6, 85.0)     6-13      -14.87      18.64      -0.37         1.16           -17.63
   0 H Arvada West     ( 2-13, 78.0)    11-10      -21.89      11.61      -0.37         1.16            13.01
   0 A Eaglecrest      ( 8- 7, 83.6)     5- 7      -16.28      17.22       0.37         1.16           -18.41
   0 H Columbine       ( 6-10, 86.7)     3-17      -13.19      20.32      -0.37         1.16           -15.68
   0 A Chaparral       ( 1-13, 79.8)    15-10      -20.09      13.42       0.37         1.16            15.95
   0 A Valor Christia  (13- 1, 98.4)     1-20       -1.50      32.01       0.37         1.16            -1.31
   0 A Regis Jesuit    (10- 5, 96.0)     0-16       -3.87      29.63       0.37         1.16            -4.05
   0 H Castle View     ( 6- 8, 89.7)     4-15      -10.24      23.26      -0.37         1.16           -12.27
   0 A Legend          (11- 4, 94.6)     3-19       -5.26      28.24       0.37         1.16            -5.66
   0 H Rock Canyon     ( 6- 9, 89.3)     4-14      -10.56      22.94      -0.37         1.16           -12.64
   0 H Mountain Vista  (10- 5, 93.6)     6-18       -6.31      27.19      -0.37         1.16            -7.72
   0 H Mullen          ( 7- 7, 82.4)     6- 9      -17.54      15.97      -0.37         1.16           -20.71
   0 H Ponderosa       ( 7- 8, 79.3)     5- 3      -20.57      12.93      -0.37         1.16            14.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -72.61

winning pts = 43.4845 losing points = -116.0898

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------