Telluride
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 86.7045Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 A Fruita Monument (11- 5, 84.0) 12- 5 313 A Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 8- 6 320 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 13- 2 322 A Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 15- 2 326 H Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 15- 2 328 A Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 6- 7 329 A Conifer ( 5-11, 80.0) 15- 5 403 H Glenwood Springs ( 7- 8, 82.7) 9- 6 422 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 4-15 424 H Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 17- 1 425 H Fruita Monument (11- 5, 84.0) 7- 8 429 A Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 10-11 430 H Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 8- 3 503 H Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 14- 8 509 H Fruita Monument (11- 5, 84.0) 10- 4 513 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 6- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 A Fruita Monument 12- 5 7 2 + 2.69
313 A Durango 8- 6 2 5 - -2.77
320 A Crested Butte 13- 2 11 7 0.00
322 A Montrose 15- 2 13 8 0.00
326 H Montrose 15- 2 13 9 0.00
328 A Evergreen 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.03
329 A Conifer 15- 5 10 6 0.00
403 H Glenwood Springs 9- 6 3 4 -1.36
422 A Aspen 4-15 -11 -3 - -2.00
424 H Crested Butte 17- 1 16 8 0.00
425 H Fruita Monument 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.04
429 A Grand Junction 10-11 -1 1 -1.83
430 H Grand Junction 8- 3 5 2 + 3.44
503 H Durango 14- 8 6 6 0.00
509 H Fruita Monument 10- 4 6 3 1.96
513 A Dakota Ridge 6- 9 -3 -5 1.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Fruita Monument 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.04 313 A Durango 8- 6 2 5 - -2.77 422 A Aspen 4-15 -11 -3 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Fruita Monument 12- 5 7 2 + 2.69 328 A Evergreen 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.03 430 H Grand Junction 8- 3 5 2 + 3.44 |
Telluride Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Air Academy | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Arvada West | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Battle Mountain | Telluride | Telluride 4- 3 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Boulder | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View | ||
| Chaparral | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Colorado Academy | |
| Columbine | Columbine | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Crested Butte | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South | ||
| Douglas County | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Durango | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Eagle Valley | Telluride | Telluride 7- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Eaglecrest | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Erie | Erie | Erie | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fountain Valley | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Fruita Monument | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Golden | Golden | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Golden | |
| Grand Junction | Telluride | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 1) | Telluride | |
| Grandview | Grandview | Grandview | ||
| Green Mountain | Telluride | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Telluride | |
| Heritage | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Telluride | |
| Holy Family | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Telluride | |
| Jefferson Academy | Telluride | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Telluride | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Lakewood | Lakewood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lakewood | |
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lewis Palmer | |
| Littleton | Telluride | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Telluride | |
| Lutheran | Telluride | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Telluride | |
| Middle Park | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Telluride | |
| Monarch | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Montrose | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Mountain Range | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Telluride | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | ||
| Mullen | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Telluride | |
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Pine Creek | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Ponderosa | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Prairie View | Telluride | Telluride 4- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Pueblo West | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Telluride | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rangeview | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Resurrection Christi | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| St Marys HS | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Telluride | Telluride 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Thompson Valley | Telluride | Telluride 4- 3 vs 0- 4 | ||
| ThunderRidge | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Vail Mountain | Telluride | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Telluride | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian | ||
| Vanguard School | Telluride | Telluride 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Windsor | Telluride | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Telluride |
PowerWise = 41
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Fruita Monumen (11- 5, 84.0) 12- 5 -15.87 17.63 0.37 0.94 16.92
0 A Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 8- 6 -18.33 15.17 0.37 0.94 14.61
0 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 13- 2 -20.43 13.07 0.37 0.94 12.64
0 A Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 15- 2 -21.66 11.84 0.37 0.94 11.48
0 H Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 15- 2 -21.66 11.84 -0.37 0.94 10.78
0 A Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 6- 7 -10.53 22.97 0.37 0.94 -9.56
0 A Conifer ( 5-11, 80.0) 15- 5 -19.87 13.64 0.37 0.94 13.17
0 H Glenwood Sprin ( 7- 8, 82.7) 9- 6 -17.19 16.32 -0.37 0.94 14.99
0 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 4-15 -10.57 22.94 0.37 0.94 -9.59
0 H Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 17- 1 -20.43 13.07 -0.37 0.94 11.94
0 H Fruita Monumen (11- 5, 84.0) 7- 8 -15.87 17.63 -0.37 0.94 -15.27
0 A Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 10-11 -14.39 19.11 0.37 0.94 -13.18
0 H Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 8- 3 -14.39 19.11 -0.37 0.94 17.62
0 H Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 14- 8 -18.33 15.17 -0.37 0.94 13.92
0 H Fruita Monumen (11- 5, 84.0) 10- 4 -15.87 17.63 -0.37 0.94 16.23
0 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 6- 9 -8.69 24.81 0.37 0.94 -7.82
------
98.88
|
winning pts = 154.2924 losing points = -55.4123
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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