---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Thomas Dale 1
  
Thomas Dale           
W-L: ( 1- 6) PR = 70.4421

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Manchester (12- 3, 86.1) 0-15 324 H Mechanicsville ( 8- 8, 77.7) 1-15 327 H Matoaca ( 2- 7, 72.9) 5-11 414 A Matoaca ( 2- 7, 72.9) 9-12 425 H Highland Springs ( 1-11, 73.9) 8- 7 428 A Manchester (12- 3, 86.1) 1-18 512 A Clover Hill ( 2-12, 74.1) 4-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Manchester              0-15     -15   -15           0.00
   324 H Mechanicsville          1-15     -14    -7           0.00
   327 H Matoaca                 5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.18
   414 A Matoaca                 9-12      -3    -3           0.04
   425 H Highland Springs        8- 7       1    -3    +      3.86
   428 A Manchester              1-18     -17   -16           0.00
   512 A Clover Hill             4-12      -8    -4          -0.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Matoaca                 5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Highland Springs        8- 7       1    -3    +      3.86

Thomas Dale Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Annandale   Annandale
Atlee Atlee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville   Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Brooke Point   Brooke Point
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Charlottesville   Charlottesville
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Clover Hill Clover Hill  
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby Cosby   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Culpeper County   Culpeper County
Deep Run Deep Run insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Deep Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Eastern View tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eastern View
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Edison   Edison
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Falls Church   Falls Church
Fauquier Fauquier   Fauquier
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fluvanna County
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Franklin County   Franklin County
Fredericksburg Acade Fredericksburg Acade   Fredericksburg Acade
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Glen Allen Glen Allen Glen Allen   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Goochland Goochland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Goochland
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Grassfield LC   Grassfield LC
Green Run Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Hidden Valley   Hidden Valley
Highland School Highland School   Highland School
Highland Springs Thomas Dale Thomas Dale  
Hylton Hylton   Hylton
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River James River   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe John Champe   John Champe
Justice Justice   Justice
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Landstown   Landstown
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Liberty Bealeton Liberty Bealeton   Liberty Bealeton
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Loudoun Valley   Loudoun Valley
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Manchester Manchester  
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Massaponax Massaponax   Massaponax
Matoaca Matoaca Matoaca  
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville Mechanicsville  
Menchville LC Menchville LC   Menchville LC
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Monacan Monacan insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Monacan
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Mount Vernon Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Norfolk Collegiate   Norfolk Collegiate
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford North Stafford   North Stafford
Northern VA Home Sch Northern VA Home Sch   Northern VA Home Sch
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County Orange County   Orange County
Osbourn Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Potomac-Dumfries   Potomac-Dumfries
Powhatan Powhatan Powhatan   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Rock Ridge   Rock Ridge
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Seton School Seton School   Seton School
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre St John Paul the Gre   St John Paul the Gre
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Steward School   Steward School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Tandem Friends Tandem Friends   Tandem Friends
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Virginia Academy   Virginia Academy
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Wakefield HS   Wakefield HS
Wakefield School Wakefield School   Wakefield School
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Woodbridge   Woodbridge
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 10


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Manchester      (12- 3, 86.1)     0-15      -13.78      21.23      -0.61         1.99           -28.65
   0 H Mechanicsville  ( 8- 8, 77.7)     1-15      -22.24      12.77      -0.61         1.99           -45.51
   0 H Matoaca         ( 2- 7, 72.9)     5-11      -27.03       7.97      -0.61         1.99           -55.05
   0 A Matoaca         ( 2- 7, 72.9)     9-12      -27.03       7.97       0.61         1.99           -52.63
   0 H Highland Sprin  ( 1-11, 73.9)     8- 7      -25.99       9.01      -0.61         1.99            16.74
   0 A Manchester      (12- 3, 86.1)     1-18      -13.78      21.23       0.61         1.99           -26.23
   0 A Clover Hill     ( 2-12, 74.1)     4-12      -25.82       9.18       0.61         1.99           -50.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -241.54

winning pts = 16.7359 losing points = -258.2753

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------