Alexandria City
W-L: (10- 9) PR = 85.5797Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 5- 8 321 H Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 8- 5 324 H Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 8- 4 326 H Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 11- 2 328 H Robinson (16- 4, 93.6) 0-14 403 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 2- 3 407 A South County ( 9- 9, 86.0) 2- 4 409 H Wakefield HS ( 4-10, 81.9) 8- 3 423 A Washington-Liberty (10- 6, 89.3) 2-16 425 A West Springfield ( 0-14, 83.3) 6- 5 501 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 6- 8 506 H West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 5-12 508 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 7- 6 513 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 9- 7 515 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 5- 4 519 N West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 2-14 521 H Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 16- 2 523 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 7- 6 527 H West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 4-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Hayfield 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.92
321 H Falls Church 8- 5 3 6 - -2.00
324 H Meridian 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.90
326 H Woodbridge 11- 2 9 9 0.00
328 H Robinson 0-14 -14 -7 0.00
403 A Lake Braddock 2- 3 -1 -1 0.02
407 A South County 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.92
409 H Wakefield HS 8- 3 5 4 0.66
423 A Washington-Liberty 2-16 -14 -4 -0.62
425 A West Springfield 6- 5 1 2 -0.71
501 A Woodson 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.09
506 H West Potomac 5-12 -7 -6 0.00
508 H Fairfax 7- 6 1 2 -0.88
513 H Fairfax 9- 7 2 2 0.12
515 A Lake Braddock 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.02
519 N West Potomac 2-14 -12 -7 0.00
521 H Falls Church 16- 2 14 6 0.00
523 A Hayfield 7- 6 1 0 1.08
527 H West Potomac 4-11 -7 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Hayfield 5- 8 -3 0 - -2.92 321 H Falls Church 8- 5 3 6 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Meridian 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.90 515 A Lake Braddock 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.02 |
Alexandria City Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Alexandria City | Alexandria City 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Battlefield | |
| Bayside | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop Ireton | |
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Brooke Point | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Centreville | |
| Chantilly | Chantilly | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 1) | Chantilly | |
| Charlottesville | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Clover Hill | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Colgan | Alexandria City | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Alexandria City | |
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cosby | |
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Culpeper County | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Alexandria City | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Alexandria City | Alexandria City 4- 3 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Fairfax | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Falls Church | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Fauquier | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| First Colonial | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Forest Park | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Freedom South Ridin | |
| Freedom Woodbridge | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Gainesville | |
| Gar-field | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Glen Allen | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Goochland | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Grafton LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Grassfield LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Green Run | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Handley | Handley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Handley | |
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Alexandria City | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) | Alexandria City | |
| Heritage Leesburg | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Herndon | |
| Hickory LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Hidden Valley | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Highland School | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Highland Springs | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Hylton | Alexandria City | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Alexandria City | |
| Independence | Independence | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Justice | Alexandria City | Alexandria City 5- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Kettle Run | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Lafayette LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | insuffient: ( 4- 6)( 5- 4) | Lake Braddock | |
| Landstown | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lewis | Alexandria City | Alexandria City 4- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Lightridge | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Lloyd C Bird | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loudoun County | |
| Loudoun Valley | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Alexandria City | |
| Massaponax | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Matoaca | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Maury LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Mechanicsville | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Menchville LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Meridian | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Monacan | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Monticello | Monticello | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Mount Vernon | Alexandria City | Alexandria City 3- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mountain View | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton 6- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Orange County | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Osbourn | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Osbourn Park | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Park View | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Powhatan | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Princess Anne | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Riverbend | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Rockbridge County | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Seton School | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 4) | Alexandria City | |
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Steward School | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Tabb LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Tallwood | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Tandem Friends | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Thomas Dale | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Alexandria City | Alexandria City 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Trinity Christian | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Alexandria City | |
| Tuscarora | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Unity Reed | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Veritas School | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Virginia Academy | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Wakefield HS | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Wakefield School | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Westfield | Westfield | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | Westfield | |
| William Byrd | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| William Fleming | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Woodgrove | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 112
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 5- 8 -14.85 20.15 0.61 0.73 -10.45
0 H Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 8- 5 -19.32 15.68 -0.61 0.73 11.06
0 H Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 8- 4 -12.81 22.19 -0.61 0.73 15.84
0 H Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 11- 2 -22.31 12.69 -0.61 0.73 8.87
0 H Robinson (16- 4, 93.6) 0-14 -6.30 28.70 -0.61 0.73 -5.07
0 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 2- 3 -13.90 21.10 0.61 0.73 -9.76
0 A South County ( 9- 9, 86.0) 2- 4 -13.85 21.15 0.61 0.73 -9.72
0 H Wakefield HS ( 4-10, 81.9) 8- 3 -18.05 16.95 -0.61 0.73 11.99
0 A Washington-Lib (10- 6, 89.3) 2-16 -10.55 24.45 0.61 0.73 -7.30
0 A West Springfie ( 0-14, 83.3) 6- 5 -16.64 18.36 0.61 0.73 13.92
0 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 6- 8 -13.02 21.99 0.61 0.73 -9.10
0 H West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 5-12 -7.32 27.68 -0.61 0.73 -5.82
0 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 7- 6 -15.59 19.41 -0.61 0.73 13.80
0 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 9- 7 -15.59 19.41 -0.61 0.73 13.80
0 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 5- 4 -13.90 21.10 0.61 0.73 15.93
0 N West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 2-14 -7.32 27.68 -0.00 0.73 -5.37
0 H Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 16- 2 -19.32 15.68 -0.61 0.73 11.06
0 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 7- 6 -14.85 20.15 0.61 0.73 15.24
0 H West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 4-11 -7.32 27.68 -0.61 0.73 -5.82
------
63.10
|
winning pts = 131.4999 losing points = -68.4041
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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