All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 69.8600006 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 H Highland School ( 8- 3, 69.9) 19-10 313 A Virginia Academy ( 5- 9, 60.2) 16- 4 314 A Maret ( 4- 9, 69.2) 5- 7 325 A Seton School ( 5- 8, 68.9) 8-11 328 H Virginia Episcopal Sch ( 5- 9, 72.0) 12-10 329 A North Cross School (13- 7, 79.6) 5-19 401 A Trinity Meadow View ( 9- 7, 70.5) 7- 5 403 H St John Paul the Great ( 5- 9, 68.7) 10- 6 408 A Fredericksburg Christi (11- 5, 71.1) 4-14 410 A St John Paul the Great ( 5- 9, 68.7) 7- 6 415 H Seton School ( 5- 8, 68.9) 12- 6 422 A Highland School ( 8- 3, 69.9) 4-12 425 H Covenant School ( 9- 7, 76.5) 4-12 502 H Fredericksburg Christi (11- 5, 71.1) 9- 8 506 H Seton School ( 5- 8, 68.9) 8- 7 509 A Fredericksburg Christi (11- 5, 71.1) 5- 7 515 A North Cross School (13- 7, 79.6) 5-22
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Highland School 19-10 9 0 +++ 6.27 313 A Virginia Academy 16- 4 12 8 0.00 314 A Maret 5- 7 -2 0 n/a 325 A Seton School 8-11 -3 0 - -3.20 328 H Virginia Episcopal Sch 12-10 2 -1 + 3.37 329 A North Cross School 5-19 -14 -10 0.00 401 A Trinity Meadow View 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.44 403 H St John Paul the Great 10- 6 4 1 + 2.01 408 A Fredericksburg Christi 4-14 -10 -1 -- -5.01 410 A St John Paul the Great 7- 6 1 0 0.57 415 H Seton School 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.24 422 A Highland School 4-12 -8 0 --- -6.17 425 H Covenant School 4-12 -8 -5 -1.16 502 H Fredericksburg Christi 9- 8 1 0 1.43 506 H Seton School 8- 7 1 1 -0.76 509 A Fredericksburg Christi 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.01 515 A North Cross School 5-22 -17 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Highland School 4-12 -8 0 --- -6.17 408 A Fredericksburg Christi 4-14 -10 -1 -- -5.01 314 A Maret 5- 7 -2 0 - 325 A Seton School 8-11 -3 0 - -3.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Highland School 19-10 9 0 +++ 6.27 415 H Seton School 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.24 328 H Virginia Episcopal Sch 12-10 2 -1 + 3.37 401 A Trinity Meadow View 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.44 403 H St John Paul the Great 10- 6 4 1 + 2.01
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 69.86 Power Rank................. 93 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 42.57 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 91 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5177 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 116 RPI Rating............... .5290 RPI Rank................... 63 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 157 Selection sum ........... 273 Selection Rank ............ 83 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -130. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 90 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -130. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 94 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.0