South Walton
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 90.5959Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Leon ( 4- 9, 79.5) 15- 0 215 H Lincoln Tallahassee ( 4-11, 76.6) 16- 1 218 H West Florida ( 7- 7, 79.0) 17- 3 220 H Navarre (11- 7, 83.2) 17- 2 225 A Niceville (10- 6, 86.6) 11- 4 228 A Nease (13- 7, 91.0) 6- 7 301 A Episcopal Jacksonvi (17- 4, 92.6) 3-10 305 A Pensacola Catholic (15- 4, 89.6) 4- 7 307 A Bolles (16- 5, 93.7) 2-14 308 A Trinity Catholic ( 9-10, 87.1) 10- 5 312 A Fort Walton Beach ( 1- 9, 72.9) 17- 4 328 A Maclay ( 9-10, 86.2) 11- 5 329 H Chiles ( 7- 9, 81.5) 16- 4 401 A Gulf Breeze (14- 2, 91.3) 11-12 404 A Pensacola ( 0-11, 69.7) 20- 1 409 A North Bay Haven ( 0-11, 69.7) 1- 0 412 A West Florida ( 7- 7, 79.0) 21- 3 416 A Pensacola Catholic (15- 4, 89.6) 16- 6 426 H Pensacola Catholic (15- 4, 89.6) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Leon 15- 0 15 10 0.00
215 H Lincoln Tallahassee 16- 1 15 15 0.00
218 H West Florida 17- 3 14 12 0.00
220 H Navarre 17- 2 15 8 0.00
225 A Niceville 11- 4 7 3 1.64
228 A Nease 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.02
301 A Episcopal Jacksonvi 3-10 -7 -3 - -2.44
305 A Pensacola Catholic 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.40
307 A Bolles 2-14 -12 -4 -1.31
308 A Trinity Catholic 10- 5 5 3 + 2.09
312 A Fort Walton Beach 17- 4 13 17 0.00
328 A Maclay 11- 5 6 4 1.25
329 H Chiles 16- 4 12 10 0.00
401 A Gulf Breeze 11-12 -1 -1 0.31
404 A Pensacola 20- 1 19 20 0.00
412 A West Florida 21- 3 18 11 0.00
416 A Pensacola Catholic 16- 6 10 0 ++ 4.60
426 H Pensacola Catholic 9-10 -1 2 - -2.61
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Episcopal Jacksonvi 3-10 -7 -3 - -2.44 305 A Pensacola Catholic 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.40 426 H Pensacola Catholic 9-10 -1 2 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Pensacola Catholic 16- 6 10 0 ++ 4.60 308 A Trinity Catholic 10- 5 5 3 + 2.09 |
South Walton Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admiral Farragut Aca | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| All Saints Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Alonso | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| American Heritage De | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| American Heritage Pl | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Angeline Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Apopka | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Atlantic Coast | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beac | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Barron Collier | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bartow | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bartram Trail | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | South Walton | |
| Beachside | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 2) | South Walton | |
| Belen Jesuit | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bishop McLaughlin | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Moore | |
| Bishop Verot | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Bloomingdale | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Boca Ciega | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Boca Raton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bolles | Bolles | Bolles | ||
| Boone | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bradenton Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Buchholz | South Walton | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | South Walton | |
| Calvary Christian Ac | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cardinal Newman | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Celebration | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Chiles | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Clearwater Central C | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cocoa Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Colonial | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Columbus Catholic | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | ||
| Cooper City | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Coral Glades | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Coral Reef | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Coral Shores | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Coral Springs | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Countryside | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Creekside | South Walton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | South Walton | |
| Cypress Bay | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cypress Creek | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cypress Lake | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Dr Phillips | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Durant | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Dwyer | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| East Lake | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| East Ridge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| East River | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Eastside | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Edgewater | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Edgewood | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | ||
| Estero | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Evans | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Father Lopez | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Fernandina Beach | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | South Walton | |
| First Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Fleming Island | South Walton | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | South Walton | |
| Fletcher | South Walton | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | South Walton | |
| Florida Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Forest | South Walton | South Walton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fort Myers | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Foundation Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Freedom Orlando | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Freedom Tampa | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Golden Gate | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Gulliver Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Hagerty | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcop | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Horizon | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | ||
| Immaculata LaSalle | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Immokalee | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Indian Rocks Christi | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Innovation | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Jensen Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | ||
| John Carroll Catholi | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Key West | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Keys Gate | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Kings Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Brantley | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Highland Prep | |
| Lake Howell | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Mary | Lake Mary | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Mary | |
| Lake Minneola | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Lake Nona | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Wales | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lakeland Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lakeland HS | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Lakewood Ranch | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Land O Lakes | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lely | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Leon | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lincoln Tallahassee | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lyman | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Maclay | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Manatee | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Mandarin | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Marco Island Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Martin County | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Matanzas | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Melbourne | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Melbourne Central Ca | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Menendez | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South Walton | |
| Merritt Island | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Miami Country Day | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Miami Palmetto | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Milton | South Walton | South Walton 8- 0 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Mitchell | South Walton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Walton | |
| Montverde Academy | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Naples | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Navarre | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Nease | Nease | Nease | ||
| Newberry | South Walton | South Walton 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newsome | |
| Niceville | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| North Bay Haven | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| North Broward Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Northeast St Petersb | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Northside Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| NSU University Schoo | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall 6- 1 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Ocoee | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Okeechobee | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Olympia | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Olympic Heights | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Osceola | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Oviedo | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palm Beach Central | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palm Harbor Universi | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palmer Trinity | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Park Vista | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Pasco | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Paxon Institute | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Pensacola | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra 3- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Providence School | South Walton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Walton | |
| Ransom Everglades | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Rickards | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Riverdale | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Riverside | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Robinson | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Rockledge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Sandalwood | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Santa Fe | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Sarasota HS | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Satellite | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Sebastian River | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Seminole | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Seminole Ridge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Sickles | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| South Fork | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| South Lake | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| South Plantation | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Andrews | |
| St Augustine | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | South Walton | |
| St Brendan | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Cloud | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Edwards School | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | ||
| St Joseph Academy | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| St Petersburg Cathol | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Petersburg HS | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Stephens Episcopa | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Steinbrenner | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Suncoast | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Sunlake | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Tampa Catholic | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Tampa Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Taravella | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Timber Creek | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Tocoi Creek | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Tohopekaliga | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Trinity Catholic | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Trinity Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| University Orlando | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Venice | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Vero Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Viera | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Village School Naple | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Washington | South Walton | South Walton 6- 3 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Wellington | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wesley Chapel | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Boca Raton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Broward | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Florida | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Orange | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Shore | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Western Davie | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Westminster Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Westminster Christia | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wharton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Windermere HS | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Windermere Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Winter Haven | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | Winter Park 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Winter Springs | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | South Walton | South Walton |
PowerWise = 206
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Leon ( 4- 9, 79.5) 15- 0 -20.36 18.04 0.60 0.80 14.87
0 H Lincoln Tallah ( 4-11, 76.6) 16- 1 -23.32 15.07 -0.60 0.80 11.55
0 H West Florida ( 7- 7, 79.0) 17- 3 -20.87 17.52 -0.60 0.80 13.50
0 H Navarre (11- 7, 83.2) 17- 2 -16.68 21.72 -0.60 0.80 16.85
0 A Niceville (10- 6, 86.6) 11- 4 -13.26 25.13 0.60 0.80 20.53
0 A Nease (13- 7, 91.0) 6- 7 -8.93 29.47 0.60 0.80 -6.65
0 A Episcopal Jac (17- 4, 92.6) 3-10 -7.34 31.05 0.60 0.80 -5.38
0 A Pensacola Cath (15- 4, 89.6) 4- 7 -10.31 28.09 0.60 0.80 -7.75
0 A Bolles (16- 5, 93.7) 2-14 -6.22 32.18 0.60 0.80 -4.48
0 A Trinity Cathol ( 9-10, 87.1) 10- 5 -12.82 25.58 0.60 0.80 20.89
0 A Fort Walton Be ( 1- 9, 72.9) 17- 4 -26.96 11.44 0.60 0.80 9.61
0 A Maclay ( 9-10, 86.2) 11- 5 -13.66 24.74 0.60 0.80 20.22
0 H Chiles ( 7- 9, 81.5) 16- 4 -18.37 20.03 -0.60 0.80 15.50
0 A Gulf Breeze (14- 2, 91.3) 11-12 -8.60 29.80 0.60 0.80 -6.38
0 A Pensacola ( 0-11, 69.7) 20- 1 -30.24 8.16 0.60 0.80 6.99
0 A North Bay Have ( 0-11, 69.7) 1- 0 -30.24 8.16 0.60 0.80 6.99
0 A West Florida ( 7- 7, 79.0) 21- 3 -20.87 17.52 0.60 0.80 14.46
0 A Pensacola Cath (15- 4, 89.6) 16- 6 -10.31 28.09 0.60 0.80 22.89
0 H Pensacola Cath (15- 4, 89.6) 9-10 -10.31 28.09 -0.60 0.80 -8.71
------
155.52
|
winning pts = 194.8627 losing points = -39.3403
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------