Swartz Creek
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 78.6867Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 3-17 326 H DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 2-12 327 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 3- 5 408 H Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 6- 9 409 A Waterford United ( 7-11, 82.5) 3- 9 411 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 79.8) 10- 6 416 A Brighton B ( 6- 5, 83.4) 1-12 421 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 11- 2 422 A Fenton ( 9- 9, 80.6) 2-14 425 A Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 2- 7 428 A Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 8, 78.2) 1- 0 429 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 79.8) 10- 9 506 H Ortonville Brandon ( 4-11, 78.0) 5- 7 512 H Fenton ( 9- 9, 80.6) 5- 7 515 A Ortonville Brandon ( 4-11, 78.0) 8- 6 516 A Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 0-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 A Midland Dow 3-17 -14 -8 0.00
326 H DeWitt 2-12 -10 -5 -0.32
327 H Lapeer 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.03
408 H Linden 6- 9 -3 -2 -0.52
409 A Waterford United 3- 9 -6 -4 -0.69
411 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.57
416 A Brighton B 1-12 -11 -5 0.00
421 A Davison 11- 2 9 1 + 3.54
422 A Fenton 2-14 -12 -2 - -2.61
425 A Linden 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.53
429 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.56
506 H Ortonville Brandon 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.18
512 H Fenton 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.61
515 A Ortonville Brandon 8- 6 2 0 1.81
516 A Grand Blanc 0-20 -20 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Lapeer 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.03 422 A Fenton 2-14 -12 -2 - -2.61 506 H Ortonville Brandon 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.57 421 A Davison 11- 2 9 1 + 3.54 429 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.56 |
Swartz Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Anchor Bay | Anchor Bay | Anchor Bay | ||
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | ||
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Bay City Central | Bay City Central | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Bay City Central | |
| Bay City John Glenn | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Bay City Western | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 5) | Swartz Creek | |
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Belleville | Belleville | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Belleville | |
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | Birmingham United | ||
| Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | ||
| Bishop Foley | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton | |
| Brighton B | Brighton B | Brighton B | ||
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | Brother Rice | ||
| Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brother Rice Orange | |
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Cadillac | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Cass Tech | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Chelsea | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Chippewa Valley | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Clarkston | Clarkston | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Clarkston | |
| Coopersville | Coopersville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Coopersville | |
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | Cranbrook | ||
| Dakota | Dakota | Dakota | ||
| Davison | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| De La Salle | De La Salle | De La Salle | ||
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | DeWitt | ||
| Dexter | Dexter | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dexter | |
| Divine Child | Divine Child | Divine Child | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Kentwood | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| East Lansing | East Lansing | East Lansing 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Farmington | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Fenton | Fenton | Fenton | ||
| Flint Powers | Flint Powers | Flint Powers 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | ||
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Hills Norther | |
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | ||
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | Grand Haven | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | ||
| Grand Rapids Christi | Grand Rapids Christi | Grand Rapids Christi | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Ile | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Harper Creek | Harper Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Harper Creek | |
| Hartland | Hartland | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Hartland | |
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Haslett-Williamston | |
| Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | ||
| Holland Christian | Holland Christian | Holland Christian | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | ||
| Holt | Holt | Holt 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Howell | Howell | Howell | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jackson | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Jenison | Jenison | Jenison | ||
| Kalamazoo United | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kenowa Hills | |
| L'Anse Creuse | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| L'Anse Creuse North | L'Anse Creuse North | L'Anse Creuse North | ||
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Lake Shore | Lake Shore | Lake Shore | ||
| Lakeview | Lakeview | Lakeview | ||
| Lansing Catholic | Lansing Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lansing Catholic | |
| Lapeer | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Linden | Linden | Linden | ||
| Livonia United | Livonia United | Livonia United | ||
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Midland | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Midland Dow | Midland Dow | Midland Dow | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Northville | Northville | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame Prep | |
| Novi | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Okemos | Okemos | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Okemos | |
| Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Ortonville Brandon | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Oxford | Oxford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Oxford | |
| Pennfield | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Petoskey | Petoskey | Petoskey 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Pinckney | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Plymouth | Plymouth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Plymouth | |
| Port Huron United | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Portage Central | Portage Central | Portage Central | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | Portage Northern | ||
| Reeths Puffer | Reeths Puffer | Reeths Puffer | ||
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Rochester HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Rochester HS | |
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rochester Stoney Cre | |
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Romeo | Romeo | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Romeo | |
| Royal Oak HS | Royal Oak HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Royal Oak HS | |
| Royal Oak Shrine | Royal Oak Shrine | Royal Oak Shrine | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salem | |
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| Sault Area | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Clair | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Swartz Creek | |
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Tecumseh | Tecumseh | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tecumseh | |
| Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Traverse City West | Traverse City West | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City West | |
| Troy | Troy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Troy | |
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Troy Athens | |
| University Detroit J | University Detroit J | University Detroit J | ||
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Utica Eisenhower | |
| Vicksburg | Vicksburg | Vicksburg | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | ||
| Waterford United | Waterford United | Waterford United | ||
| West Bloomfield | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Swartz Creek | |
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Zeeland | Zeeland | Zeeland |
PowerWise = 32
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 3-17 -13.67 18.64 0.50 1.00 -13.22
0 H DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 2-12 -16.03 16.28 -0.50 1.00 -16.59
0 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 3- 5 -21.75 10.57 -0.50 1.00 -22.33
0 H Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 6- 9 -18.24 14.08 -0.50 1.00 -18.80
0 A Waterford Unit ( 7-11, 82.5) 3- 9 -17.40 14.91 0.50 1.00 -16.96
0 H Goodrich/Lake ( 6- 8, 79.8) 10- 6 -20.15 12.16 -0.50 1.00 11.71
0 A Brighton B ( 6- 5, 83.4) 1-12 -16.46 15.85 0.50 1.00 -16.02
0 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 11- 2 -23.17 9.14 0.50 1.00 9.67
0 A Fenton ( 9- 9, 80.6) 2-14 -19.32 12.99 0.50 1.00 -18.89
0 A Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 2- 7 -18.24 14.08 0.50 1.00 -17.80
0 A Bay City John ( 6- 8, 78.2) 1- 0 -21.65 10.66 0.50 1.00 11.20
0 A Goodrich/Lake ( 6- 8, 79.8) 10- 9 -20.15 12.16 0.50 1.00 12.71
0 H Ortonville Bra ( 4-11, 78.0) 5- 7 -21.90 10.41 -0.50 1.00 -22.48
0 H Fenton ( 9- 9, 80.6) 5- 7 -19.32 12.99 -0.50 1.00 -19.89
0 A Ortonville Bra ( 4-11, 78.0) 8- 6 -21.90 10.41 0.50 1.00 10.95
0 A Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 0-20 -12.64 19.68 0.50 1.00 -12.18
------
-138.94
|
winning pts = 56.2409 losing points = -195.1857
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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