All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.1999969 home-field advantage = -0.85 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 H Hamilton-Wenham Region ( 1-15, 68.2) 16- 3 401 A Manchester-Essex Reg (17- 5, 79.2) 4- 5 403 A Lynnfield (13- 7, 77.9) 8-11 408 A Winthrop (15- 5, 75.1) 5- 9 411 A Marblehead (10- 9, 77.4) 8- 7 414 H Gloucester ( 5-11, 66.5) 12- 2 416 A Salem ( 7-11, 65.7) 13- 3 422 A Burlington (11- 9, 81.0) 10-11 424 A Dracut (17- 4, 84.9) 1- 8 429 A Danvers ( 6-12, 71.4) 5- 3 501 H Winthrop (15- 5, 75.1) 7- 8 506 A Gloucester ( 5-11, 66.5) 15- 5 508 H Peabody Vets Memorial ( 6-12, 69.9) 8- 2 510 H Pentucket Regional (13- 7, 77.7) 6-10 512 H Salem ( 7-11, 65.7) 22- 4 515 H Beverly ( 4-12, 70.5) 12-10 520 A Masconomet (13- 6, 77.2) 12-13 526 H Marblehead (10- 9, 77.4) 7- 6 602 H Fairhaven (13- 6, 73.7) 14- 6 605 A Weston (16- 3, 82.1) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Hamilton-Wenham Region 16- 3 13 8 0.00 401 A Manchester-Essex Reg 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.87 403 A Lynnfield 8-11 -3 -2 -0.48 408 A Winthrop 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.25 411 A Marblehead 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.04 414 H Gloucester 12- 2 10 10 0.00 416 A Salem 13- 3 10 9 0.00 422 A Burlington 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.66 424 A Dracut 1- 8 -7 -9 0.00 429 A Danvers 5- 3 2 3 -1.98 501 H Winthrop 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.95 506 A Gloucester 15- 5 10 8 0.00 508 H Peabody Vets Memorial 8- 2 6 7 -1.00 510 H Pentucket Regional 6-10 -4 0 - -3.40 512 H Salem 22- 4 18 11 0.00 515 H Beverly 12-10 2 6 -- -4.57 520 A Masconomet 12-13 -1 -1 0.86 526 H Marblehead 7- 6 1 0 1.34 602 H Fairhaven 14- 6 8 3 + 3.62 605 A Weston 6-14 -8 -6 -0.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Winthrop 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.25 515 H Beverly 12-10 2 6 -- -4.57 501 H Winthrop 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.95 510 H Pentucket Regional 6-10 -4 0 - -3.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Burlington 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.66 401 A Manchester-Essex Reg 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.87 411 A Marblehead 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.04 602 H Fairhaven 14- 6 8 3 + 3.62
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 76.20 Power Rank................. 81 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 47.87 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 106 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6410 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 71 RPI Rating............... .5299 RPI Rank................... 77 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 184 Selection sum ........... 263 Selection Rank ............ 82 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -170. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 110 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -170. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 115 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3