---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys South Warren 1
  
South Warren          
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 83.6930

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Bowling Green ( 7- 6, 81.6) 6- 7 313 A Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 8, 84.2) 7- 9 325 A Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 7- 2 330 H Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 3-14 415 H Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 9- 5 418 H Bowling Green ( 7- 6, 81.6) 11- 3 426 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 1-12 503 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 16- 4 512 N Greenwood ( 7- 5, 80.4) 20- 3 515 H DeSales ( 8- 4, 76.1) 21- 0 517 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 11-10 519 N Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 0-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Bowling Green           6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.29
   313 A Louisville Collegiat    7- 9      -2    -1          -0.72
   325 A Greenwood               7- 2       5     2    +      2.50
   330 H Henry Clay              3-14     -11    -3          -1.97
   415 H Greenwood               9- 5       4     4          -0.00
   418 H Bowling Green          11- 3       8     3    +      2.20
   426 H Lexington Catholic      1-12     -11    -3          -1.84
   503 A Great Crossing         16- 4      12     5           0.02
   512 N Greenwood              20- 3      17     3           1.75
   515 H DeSales                21- 0      21     8           0.00
   517 H DuPont Manual          11-10       1     1           0.33
   519 N Trinity Louisville      0-19     -19   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Bowling Green           6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Greenwood               7- 2       5     2    +      2.50
   418 H Bowling Green          11- 3       8     3    +      2.20

South Warren Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County South Warren   South Warren
Atherton South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) South Warren
Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville   5- 1 vs 2- 5
Bluegrass South Warren   South Warren
Bowling Green South Warren South Warren   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bryan Station South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) South Warren
Central Hardin South Warren South Warren   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Christian Academy-Lo
Collins South Warren   South Warren
Cooper South Warren tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South Warren
Covington Catholic South Warren tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) South Warren
DeSales South Warren South Warren  
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Dixie Heights
DuPont Manual South Warren South Warren  
Eastern Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Eastern
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Great Crossing South Warren South Warren  
Greenwood South Warren South Warren  
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Kentucky Country Day
Lafayette South Warren tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Warren
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lexington Christian
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat  
Male South Warren South Warren   3- 1 vs 1- 3
North Hardin South Warren South Warren   4- 1 vs 0- 4
North Oldham North Oldham tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) North Oldham
Oldham County South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Warren
Owensboro South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) South Warren
Paul Laurence Dunbar South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) South Warren
Ryle South Warren tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South Warren
Sayre Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Sayre
Scott County South Warren South Warren   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Shelby County South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 1- 2
South Oldham South Oldham tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South Oldham
St Henry South Warren South Warren   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tates Creek South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) South Warren
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville  
Walton-Verona South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Warren
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   2- 1 vs 0- 3

PowerWise = 25


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bowling Green   ( 7- 6, 81.6)     6- 7      -18.25      13.73       0.75         1.13           -19.86
   0 A Louisville Col  ( 6- 8, 84.2)     7- 9      -15.68      16.30       0.75         1.13           -16.94
   0 A Greenwood       ( 7- 5, 80.4)     7- 2      -19.46      12.53       0.75         1.13            15.07
   0 H Henry Clay      (13- 5, 87.5)     3-14      -12.43      19.56      -0.75         1.13           -14.96
   0 H Greenwood       ( 7- 5, 80.4)     9- 5      -19.46      12.53      -0.75         1.13            13.36
   0 H Bowling Green   ( 7- 6, 81.6)    11- 3      -18.25      13.73      -0.75         1.13            14.73
   0 H Lexington Cath  (10- 7, 87.6)     1-12      -12.29      19.69      -0.75         1.13           -14.81
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 8-10, 78.0)    16- 4      -21.94      10.05       0.75         1.13            12.26
   0 N Greenwood       ( 7- 5, 80.4)    20- 3      -19.46      12.53      -0.00         1.13            14.22
   0 H DeSales         ( 8- 4, 76.1)    21- 0      -23.83       8.16      -0.75         1.13             8.41
   0 H DuPont Manual   (11- 8, 83.8)    11-10      -16.12      15.86      -0.75         1.13            17.15
   0 N Trinity Louisv  (13- 1, 99.9)     0-19       -0.00      31.98      -0.00         1.13            -0.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        28.62

winning pts = 95.1909 losing points = -66.5671

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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