Sun Valley
W-L: ( 8-11) PR = 81.1805Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 1-19 304 H South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 21- 3 312 A Providence ( 7-11, 86.7) 2-15 317 H Mountain Island Char ( 0-13, 71.4) 16- 2 318 A Butler ( 3-12, 77.4) 16- 4 320 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 10-20 325 H Lincoln Charter (10-11, 83.8) 11-18 328 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 13-12 401 H Parkwood ( 8-10, 81.5) 11-12 403 A Weddington (13- 5, 93.8) 3-24 405 A Ballantyne Ridge ( 8- 7, 83.7) 14-16 414 H Cuthbertson (10-10, 87.4) 11-16 416 H Parkwood ( 8-10, 81.5) 13- 4 428 H Weddington (13- 5, 93.8) 4-18 430 A Butler ( 3-12, 77.4) 12- 9 501 A Marvin Ridge (12- 9, 89.3) 6-18 505 A Porter Ridge ( 0-15, 72.6) 18- 5 507 A Cuthbertson (10-10, 87.4) 4-19 508 H Porter Ridge ( 0-15, 72.6) 16- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Ardrey Kell 1-19 -18 -13 0.00
304 H South Iredell 21- 3 18 11 0.00
312 A Providence 2-15 -13 -6 0.00
317 H Mountain Island Char 16- 2 14 10 0.00
318 A Butler 16- 4 12 4 1.45
320 A St Stephens 10-20 -10 -4 -1.38
325 H Lincoln Charter 11-18 -7 -2 - -2.66
328 A Grays Creek 13-12 1 4 - -2.61
401 H Parkwood 11-12 -1 0 -0.99
403 A Weddington 3-24 -21 -13 0.00
405 A Ballantyne Ridge 14-16 -2 -3 0.80
414 H Cuthbertson 11-16 -5 -6 0.00
416 H Parkwood 13- 4 9 0 ++ 5.01
428 H Weddington 4-18 -14 -12 0.00
430 A Butler 12- 9 3 4 -0.55
501 A Marvin Ridge 6-18 -12 -8 0.00
505 A Porter Ridge 18- 5 13 8 0.00
507 A Cuthbertson 4-19 -15 -6 0.00
508 H Porter Ridge 16- 5 11 9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Lincoln Charter 11-18 -7 -2 - -2.66 328 A Grays Creek 13-12 1 4 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H Parkwood 13- 4 9 0 ++ 5.01 |
Sun Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Arendell Parrott Aca | Arendell Parrott Aca | ||
| Asheville HS | Asheville HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Asheville HS | |
| Asheville School | Sun Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sun Valley | |
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Athens Drive | |
| Atkins | Atkins | Atkins | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Ballantyne Ridge | Ballantyne Ridge | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop McGuinness | |
| Bradford Prep | Sun Valley | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) | Sun Valley | |
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Sun Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sun Valley | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Carrboro | Carrboro | ||
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cary Christian | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Cary HS | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Cedar Ridge | Cedar Ridge | Cedar Ridge | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Clayton | Clayton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Clayton | |
| Cleveland | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Corinth Holders | Corinth Holders | Corinth Holders | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Cornerstone Charter | Cornerstone Charter | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davie | Davie | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Davie | |
| DH Conley | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | East Forsyth | East Forsyth | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Enloe | Enloe | Enloe | ||
| Fike | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Garner | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Glenn | Sun Valley | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Sun Valley | |
| Grays Creek | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level | ||
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Greensboro Day | |
| Grimsley | Grimsley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Grimsley | |
| Havelock | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Hickory | Hickory | Hickory 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| High Point Central | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hough | Hough | Hough 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Hunt | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| Jack Britt | Sun Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Sun Valley | |
| Jacksonville | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| JF Webb | JF Webb | JF Webb | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Jordan | Jordan | Jordan | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Lincoln Charter | Lincoln Charter | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | Mooresville | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Mooresville | |
| Mount Tabor | Sun Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sun Valley | |
| Mountain Island Char | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| New Bern | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| New Hanover | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| North Brunswick | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| North Davidson | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | North Lincoln 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | North Raleigh Christ | North Raleigh Christ | ||
| Northern Durham | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Guilford | |
| Northside | Northside | Northside | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 0) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Northwood | Northwood | ||
| Page | Page | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Panther Creek | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Parkwood | Parkwood | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 4) | Parkwood | |
| Patton Morganton | Sun Valley | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Sun Valley | |
| Pine Forest | Sun Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Sun Valley | |
| Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Pinecrest | |
| Porter Ridge | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Providence | Providence | Providence | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Queens Grant | Queens Grant | Queens Grant | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | ||
| Reagan | Reagan | Reagan | ||
| Riverside Durham | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Sun Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sun Valley | |
| Roxboro Community | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Sanderson | Sanderson | Sanderson | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| South Garner | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| South Iredell | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Sun Valley | tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) | Sun Valley | |
| South View | South View | South View | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Sun Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sun Valley | |
| St Davids School | St Davids School | St Davids School | ||
| St Stephens | St Stephens | St Stephens | ||
| Swansboro | Sun Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sun Valley | |
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | TC Roberson | |
| Terry Sanford | Sun Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Sun Valley | |
| Topsail | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Union Pines | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Union Pines | |
| Vance Charter | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Voyager Academy | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Wake Forest | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Wake Prep | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Wakefield | Wakefield | Wakefield | ||
| Walter M Williams | Walter M Williams | Walter M Williams | ||
| Watauga | Sun Valley | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Sun Valley | |
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| West Carteret | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | West Forsyth | |
| West Stokes | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Western Alamance | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Western Guilford | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 53
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 1-19 -5.86 27.95 0.27 0.94 -5.28
0 H South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 21- 3 -29.06 4.75 -0.27 0.94 4.23
0 A Providence ( 7-11, 86.7) 2-15 -13.21 20.60 0.27 0.94 -12.21
0 H Mountain Islan ( 0-13, 71.4) 16- 2 -28.52 5.29 -0.27 0.94 4.73
0 A Butler ( 3-12, 77.4) 16- 4 -22.54 11.27 0.27 0.94 10.89
0 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 10-20 -15.37 18.44 0.27 0.94 -14.25
0 H Lincoln Charte (10-11, 83.8) 11-18 -16.11 17.70 -0.27 0.94 -15.46
0 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 13-12 -22.60 11.21 0.27 0.94 10.84
0 H Parkwood ( 8-10, 81.5) 11-12 -18.43 15.37 -0.27 0.94 -17.66
0 A Weddington (13- 5, 93.8) 3-24 -6.09 27.72 0.27 0.94 -5.49
0 A Ballantyne Rid ( 8- 7, 83.7) 14-16 -16.19 17.62 0.27 0.94 -15.02
0 H Cuthbertson (10-10, 87.4) 11-16 -12.51 21.30 -0.27 0.94 -12.06
0 H Parkwood ( 8-10, 81.5) 13- 4 -18.43 15.37 -0.27 0.94 14.26
0 H Weddington (13- 5, 93.8) 4-18 -6.09 27.72 -0.27 0.94 -6.00
0 A Butler ( 3-12, 77.4) 12- 9 -22.54 11.27 0.27 0.94 10.89
0 A Marvin Ridge (12- 9, 89.3) 6-18 -10.60 23.21 0.27 0.94 -9.75
0 A Porter Ridge ( 0-15, 72.6) 18- 5 -27.30 6.51 0.27 0.94 6.40
0 A Cuthbertson (10-10, 87.4) 4-19 -12.51 21.30 0.27 0.94 -11.55
0 H Porter Ridge ( 0-15, 72.6) 16- 5 -27.30 6.51 -0.27 0.94 5.89
------
-56.60
|
winning pts = 68.1313 losing points = -124.7309
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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