---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Summit 1
  
Summit                
W-L: ( 3- 7) PR = 78.9986

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Glenwood Springs ( 7- 8, 82.7) 6- 3 322 A Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 3-13 329 A Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 1-13 403 H Battle Mountain ( 8- 8, 84.9) 6-14 405 A Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 12-13 412 H Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 14- 8 416 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 0- 1 429 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 3- 9 430 A Thomas Jefferson ( 3-12, 72.3) 10- 2 502 A Durango ( 6- 8, 81.6) 6-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Glenwood Springs        6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.35
   322 A Vail Mountain           3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   329 A Steamboat Springs       1-13     -12    -9           0.00
   403 H Battle Mountain         6-14      -8    -6           0.00
   405 A Montrose               12-13      -1     0          -1.39
   412 H Eagle Valley           14- 8       6     4           1.25
   429 A Crested Butte           3- 9      -6    -1    --    -4.16
   430 A Thomas Jefferson       10- 2       8     6           0.00
   502 A Durango                 6-14      -8    -3    -     -2.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Crested Butte           3- 9      -6    -1    --    -4.16
   502 A Durango                 6-14      -8    -3    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Glenwood Springs        6- 3       3    -3    +++    6.35

Summit Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy Air Academy   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Arapahoe Arapahoe   Arapahoe
Arvada West Summit tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Summit
Aspen Aspen Aspen  
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain Battle Mountain  
Boulder Boulder   Boulder
Castle View Castle View insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Castle View
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Chatfield Chatfield   Chatfield
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail   Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain   Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine   Columbine
Conifer Conifer tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Conifer
Crested Butte Crested Butte Crested Butte  
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge   Dakota Ridge
Denver East Denver East   Denver East
Denver North Summit tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Summit
Denver South Denver South tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Denver South
Douglas County Douglas County   Douglas County
Durango Durango Durango  
Eagle Valley Summit Summit  
Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   Eaglecrest
Erie Erie   Erie
Evergreen Evergreen Evergreen   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Fairview Fairview   Fairview
Fountain Valley Summit   Summit
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument Fruita Monument   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Glenwood Springs Summit Summit  
Golden Golden insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Golden
Grand Junction Grand Junction Grand Junction   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Grandview Grandview   Grandview
Green Mountain Green Mountain tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Green Mountain
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Holy Family Holy Family insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Holy Family
Jefferson Academy Summit tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Summit
Kent Denver Kent Denver   Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood   Lakewood
Legend Legend   Legend
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer   Lewis Palmer
Littleton Summit insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Summit
Lutheran Lutheran tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lutheran
Middle Park Middle Park tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Middle Park
Monarch Monarch   Monarch
Montrose Montrose Montrose  
Mountain Range Mountain Range   Mountain Range
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista   Mountain Vista
Mullen Mullen tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mullen
Northfield Northfield   Northfield
Palmer Summit tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Summit
Pine Creek Pine Creek   Pine Creek
Ponderosa Ponderosa   Ponderosa
Poudre District Poudre District   Poudre District
Prairie View Prairie View   Prairie View
Pueblo West Pueblo West insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Pueblo West
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley   Ralston Valley
Rangeview Summit tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Summit
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit   Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi   Resurrection Christi
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Smoky Hill Summit insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Summit
St Marys HS Summit insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Summit
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs  
Telluride Telluride Telluride   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Thomas Jefferson Summit Summit  
Thompson Valley Summit tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Summit
ThunderRidge ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Vail Mountain Vail Mountain Vail Mountain  
Valor Christian Valor Christian   Valor Christian
Vanguard School Summit tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Summit
Windsor Windsor insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Windsor

PowerWise = 14


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Glenwood Sprin  ( 7- 8, 82.7)     6- 3      -17.19      16.32      -0.37         1.50            23.99
   0 A Vail Mountain   ( 8- 9, 84.5)     3-13      -15.41      18.09       0.37         1.50           -22.62
   0 A Steamboat Spri  (10- 7, 87.3)     1-13      -12.59      20.91       0.37         1.50           -18.39
   0 H Battle Mountai  ( 8- 8, 84.9)     6-14      -15.00      18.50      -0.37         1.50           -23.11
   0 A Montrose        ( 3-11, 78.2)    12-13      -21.66      11.84       0.37         1.50           -32.03
   0 H Eagle Valley    ( 0-12, 75.6)    14- 8      -24.29       9.22      -0.37         1.50            13.31
   0 A Aspen           (16- 1, 89.3)     0- 1      -10.57      22.94       0.37         1.50           -15.34
   0 A Crested Butte   ( 4-11, 79.5)     3- 9      -20.43      13.07       0.37         1.50           -30.17
   0 A Thomas Jeffers  ( 3-12, 72.3)    10- 2      -27.63       5.87       0.37         1.50             9.38
   0 A Durango         ( 6- 8, 81.6)     6-14      -18.33      15.17       0.37         1.50           -27.02
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -122.01

winning pts = 46.6767 losing points = -168.6838

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------