Stowe
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 91.1798Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 10-11 411 A Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 8- 7 415 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 5-13 429 A Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 17-11 502 H Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 16- 9 505 H Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 3-16 507 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 7- 8 512 H Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 12- 5 514 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 1-16 521 A St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 3- 9 527 A Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 11-12 528 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 14- 3 529 H Green Mountain Valle (12- 1, 93.4) 6-14 607 A Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 2-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 A Milton 10-11 -1 -5 + 3.60
411 A Mount Abraham 8- 7 1 1 0.39
415 A Rice Memorial 5-13 -8 -5 -0.11
429 A Spaulding 17-11 6 2 + 2.72
502 H Bellows Free Academy 16- 9 7 4 0.82
505 H Milton 3-16 -13 -4 -1.23
507 A Montpelier 7- 8 -1 0 -1.10
512 H Colchester 12- 5 7 3 + 2.08
514 H Hartford Union 1-16 -15 -6 0.00
521 A St Johnsbury Academy 3- 9 -6 -3 -1.89
527 A Randolph Union 11-12 -1 1 - -2.05
528 A Lyndon Institute 14- 3 11 8 0.00
529 H Green Mountain Valle 6-14 -8 -2 - -3.23
607 A Hartford Union 2-14 -12 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 527 A Randolph Union 11-12 -1 1 - -2.05 529 H Green Mountain Valle 6-14 -8 -2 - -3.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Milton 10-11 -1 -5 + 3.60 429 A Spaulding 17-11 6 2 + 2.72 512 H Colchester 12- 5 7 3 + 2.08 |
Stowe Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Stowe | Stowe | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Stowe | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Stowe | |
| Brattleboro Union | Stowe | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Stowe | |
| Burlington | Burlington | Burlington 8- 1 vs 4- 5 | ||
| Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | ||
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Champlain Valley Uni | |
| Colchester | Stowe | Stowe | ||
| Essex Junction | Essex Junction | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Essex Junction | |
| Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | ||
| Hartford Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union 8- 0 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Lamoille Union | Lamoille Union | Lamoille Union | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Stowe | Stowe | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | Milton | Milton | ||
| Montpelier | Montpelier | Montpelier | ||
| Mount Abraham | Stowe | Stowe | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mt Anthony Union | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Otter Valley Union | Stowe | Stowe 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Randolph Union | Randolph Union | Randolph Union | ||
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | ||
| Rutland | Rutland | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rutland | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Spaulding | Stowe | Stowe | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Stowe | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stowe | |
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 9
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 10-11 -4.53 12.51 0.42 1.01 -4.16
0 A Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 8- 7 -9.74 7.30 0.42 1.01 7.79
0 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 5-13 -4.24 12.80 0.42 1.01 -3.86
0 A Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 17-11 -11.42 5.63 0.42 1.01 6.10
0 H Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 87.4) 16- 9 -12.48 4.56 -0.42 1.01 4.19
0 H Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 3-16 -4.53 12.51 -0.42 1.01 -5.00
0 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 7- 8 -9.23 7.81 0.42 1.01 -8.91
0 H Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 12- 5 -11.23 5.82 -0.42 1.01 5.45
0 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 1-16 -2.13 14.92 -0.42 1.01 -2.57
0 A St Johnsbury A (11- 5, 93.9) 3- 9 -6.03 11.01 0.42 1.01 -5.67
0 A Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 11-12 -10.19 6.85 0.42 1.01 -9.87
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 14- 3 -17.04 1.00 0.42 1.01 1.43
0 H Green Mountain (12- 1, 93.4) 6-14 -6.54 10.51 -0.42 1.01 -7.02
0 A Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 2-14 -2.13 14.92 0.42 1.01 -1.73
------
-23.82
|
winning pts = 24.9688 losing points = -48.7907
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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