Stillwater
W-L: (18- 1) PR = 99.1246Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 H Minnetonka (14- 5, 97.3) 9- 7 415 H Forest Lake ( 1-13, 85.0) 25- 0 417 A Cretin-Derham Hall (10- 5, 94.6) 7- 3 419 H Prior Lake ( 8- 6, 95.8) 13- 2 422 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 16- 8 424 A White Bear Lake (10- 5, 96.1) 12-10 429 H Roseville ( 2-10, 88.7) 21- 0 501 A East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 11-10 503 A Chanhassen ( 6- 9, 91.6) 17- 4 506 H Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 14- 4 508 H Park Cottage Grove ( 7- 8, 89.8) 17- 3 513 A Woodbury ( 6- 9, 93.8) 15- 7 515 A Benilde-St Margarets (13- 5, 96.4) 11- 4 530 H Totino Grace ( 1-13, 81.8) 21- 2 602 H Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 12- 8 604 H White Bear Lake (10- 5, 96.1) 10- 9 610 N Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 14- 3 612 N East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 12- 6 614 N Edina (18- 1, 99.9) 7- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Minnetonka 9- 7 2 3 -0.53
415 H Forest Lake 25- 0 25 15 0.00
417 A Cretin-Derham Hall 7- 3 4 4 0.26
419 H Prior Lake 13- 2 11 4 0.93
422 H Mounds View 16- 8 8 7 0.00
424 A White Bear Lake 12-10 2 2 -0.27
429 H Roseville 21- 0 21 11 0.00
501 A East Ridge 11-10 1 2 -0.75
503 A Chanhassen 17- 4 13 7 0.00
506 H Irondale 14- 4 10 6 0.00
508 H Park Cottage Grove 17- 3 14 10 0.00
513 A Woodbury 15- 7 8 5 0.38
515 A Benilde-St Margarets 11- 4 7 2 + 3.02
530 H Totino Grace 21- 2 19 18 0.00
602 H Mahtomedi 12- 8 4 6 -1.00
604 H White Bear Lake 10- 9 1 4 - -2.75
610 N Moorhead 14- 3 11 4 0.68
612 N East Ridge 12- 6 6 2 + 2.51
614 N Edina 7- 9 -2 -1 -1.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 604 H White Bear Lake 10- 9 1 4 - -2.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Benilde-St Margarets 11- 4 7 2 + 3.02 612 N East Ridge 12- 6 6 2 + 2.51 |
Stillwater Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Anoka | Stillwater | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Becker | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Benilde-St Margarets | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Big Lake/Princeton | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Blaine | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Blake School | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Bloomington Jefferso | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Bloomington Kennedy/ | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Brainerd | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Breck School | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Buffalo | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Centennial | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Champlin Park | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Chanhassen | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Chaska | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Chisago Lakes | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Cloquet/Esko/Carlton | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Delano/Rockford | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Duluth East/Denfield | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Duluth Marshall | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Eagan | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| East Ridge | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Eastview/Apple Valle | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Eden Prairie | Stillwater | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Edina | Edina | Edina | ||
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Farmington | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Forest Lake | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Grand Rapids/Greenwa | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hastings | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Hermantown/Proctor | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Hill-Murray | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Holy Angels | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Hopkins/St Louis Par | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hutchinson | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Irondale | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Lakeville North | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Lakeville South | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Mahtomedi | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Mankato United | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Maple Grove | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Minneapolis United | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Stillwater | |
| Minnetonka | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Monticello | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Moorhead | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Mound Westonka | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Mounds View | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| New Prague | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Northfield | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Orono | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Osseo/Park Center | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Owatonna | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Park Cottage Grove | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Prior Lake | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Providence Academy | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Robbinsdale Armstron | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Rochester United | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Rocori | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Rogers | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Rosemount | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Roseville | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Sartell/Sauk Rapids | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Shakopee | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Simley | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Southwest Christian | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Spring Lake Park/Coo | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| St Cloud Unified | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| St Michael-Albertvil | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Thomas Academy | Stillwater | Stillwater 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Totino Grace | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| TriMAC Academy | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Waconia | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wayzata | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| White Bear Lake | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Woodbury | Stillwater | Stillwater |
PowerWise = 78
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Minnetonka (14- 5, 97.3) 9- 7 -2.57 22.50 -0.74 0.77 16.75
0 H Forest Lake ( 1-13, 85.0) 25- 0 -14.93 10.14 -0.74 0.77 7.23
0 A Cretin-Derham (10- 5, 94.6) 7- 3 -5.26 19.81 0.74 0.77 15.82
0 H Prior Lake ( 8- 6, 95.8) 13- 2 -4.10 20.96 -0.74 0.77 15.57
0 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 16- 8 -6.93 18.14 -0.74 0.77 13.39
0 A White Bear Lak (10- 5, 96.1) 12-10 -3.79 21.28 0.74 0.77 16.95
0 H Roseville ( 2-10, 88.7) 21- 0 -11.23 13.84 -0.74 0.77 10.08
0 A East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 11-10 -3.26 21.80 0.74 0.77 17.35
0 A Chanhassen ( 6- 9, 91.6) 17- 4 -8.27 16.79 0.74 0.77 13.50
0 H Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 14- 4 -6.20 18.87 -0.74 0.77 13.95
0 H Park Cottage G ( 7- 8, 89.8) 17- 3 -10.12 14.95 -0.74 0.77 10.94
0 A Woodbury ( 6- 9, 93.8) 15- 7 -6.14 18.93 0.74 0.77 15.14
0 A Benilde-St Mar (13- 5, 96.4) 11- 4 -3.50 21.57 0.74 0.77 17.17
0 H Totino Grace ( 1-13, 81.8) 21- 2 -18.12 6.95 -0.74 0.77 4.78
0 H Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 12- 8 -6.28 18.78 -0.74 0.77 13.89
0 H White Bear Lak (10- 5, 96.1) 10- 9 -3.79 21.28 -0.74 0.77 15.81
0 N Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 14- 3 -5.09 19.98 -0.00 0.77 15.38
0 N East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 12- 6 -3.26 21.80 -0.00 0.77 16.78
0 N Edina (18- 1, 99.9) 7- 9 -0.00 25.07 -0.00 0.77 -0.00
------
250.47
|
winning pts = 250.4689 losing points = 0.0000
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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