---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys St Stephens 1
  
St Stephens           
W-L: (12- 8) PR = 84.5273

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 3-16 227 A Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 16- 2 304 A Lincoln Charter (10-11, 83.8) 17-12 306 A Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 12- 1 311 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 17- 5 313 A Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 8-15 318 H North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 7-13 319 A South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 17- 0 320 H Sun Valley ( 8-11, 81.2) 20-10 325 A Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 12-11 327 H TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 6-11 403 H Southlake Christian (12- 6, 89.7) 4-12 410 H Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 13- 7 416 H Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 13- 1 429 H Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 7-16 501 A North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 5-18 506 H Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 17-11 516 A Bishop McGuinness (10-11, 83.0) 17-13 516 H Bishop McGuinness (10-11, 83.0) 17-13 520 A Christ The King (14- 6, 91.2) 5-23

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A TC Roberson             3-16     -13    -4          -0.80
   227 A Patton  Morganton      16- 2      14     8           0.00
   304 A Lincoln Charter        17-12       5     0    ++     4.53
   306 A Glenn                  12- 1      11     5           0.15
   311 A Watauga                17- 5      12     5           0.00
   313 A Hickory                 8-15      -7    -3    -     -2.49
   318 H North Lincoln           7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.28
   319 A South Iredell          17- 0      17    13           0.00
   320 H Sun Valley             20-10      10     4           1.38
   325 A Asheville HS           12-11       1     2          -1.30
   327 H TC Roberson             6-11      -5    -4          -1.34
   403 H Southlake Christian     4-12      -8    -5          -0.11
   410 H Watauga                13- 7       6     6           0.00
   416 H Patton  Morganton      13- 1      12     9           0.00
   429 H Hickory                 7-16      -9    -2    -     -3.03
   501 A North Lincoln           5-18     -13    -3          -1.73
   506 H Asheville HS           17-11       6     3    +      2.16
   516 A Bishop McGuinness      17-13       4     1    +      2.70
   516 H Bishop McGuinness      17-13       4     2    +      2.16
   520 A Christ The King         5-23     -18    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Hickory                 8-15      -7    -3    -     -2.49
   318 H North Lincoln           7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.28
   429 H Hickory                 7-16      -9    -2    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Lincoln Charter        17-12       5     0    ++     4.53
   506 H Asheville HS           17-11       6     3    +      2.16
   516 A Bishop McGuinness      17-13       4     1    +      2.70
   516 H Bishop McGuinness      17-13       4     2    +      2.16

St Stephens Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca St Stephens   St Stephens
Asheville HS St Stephens St Stephens  
Asheville School St Stephens St Stephens   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins St Stephens tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Stephens
Ballantyne Ridge St Stephens tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) St Stephens
Bishop McGuinness St Stephens St Stephens  
Bradford Prep St Stephens insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) St Stephens
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler St Stephens insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Stephens
Cannon School Cannon School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS St Stephens   St Stephens
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian St Stephens   St Stephens
Cary HS St Stephens tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Stephens
Cedar Ridge St Stephens   St Stephens
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King Christ The King  
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland St Stephens   St Stephens
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Corinth Holders St Stephens   St Stephens
Cornerstone Charter St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Stephens
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Cuthbertson
Davie Davie tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Davie
DH Conley St Stephens   St Stephens
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth St Stephens insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) St Stephens
Eastern Alamance St Stephens   St Stephens
Eastern Guilford St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Stephens
Enloe St Stephens   St Stephens
Fike St Stephens   St Stephens
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner St Stephens   St Stephens
Glenn St Stephens St Stephens  
Grays Creek St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Stephens
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Greensboro Day
Grimsley St Stephens   St Stephens
Havelock St Stephens   St Stephens
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory Hickory  
High Point Central St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Stephens
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt St Stephens   St Stephens
Independence St Stephens   St Stephens
Jack Britt St Stephens   St Stephens
Jacksonville St Stephens   St Stephens
JF Webb St Stephens   St Stephens
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi St Stephens   St Stephens
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter St Stephens St Stephens  
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville St Stephens insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) St Stephens
Mount Tabor St Stephens tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) St Stephens
Mountain Island Char St Stephens St Stephens   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Myers Park Myers Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover St Stephens   St Stephens
North Brunswick St Stephens   St Stephens
North Davidson St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Stephens
North Lincoln North Lincoln North Lincoln  
North Raleigh Christ St Stephens   St Stephens
Northern Durham St Stephens   St Stephens
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside St Stephens   St Stephens
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood St Stephens   St Stephens
Page Page tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Page
Panther Creek St Stephens   St Stephens
Parkwood St Stephens tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Stephens
Patton Morganton St Stephens St Stephens  
Pine Forest St Stephens   St Stephens
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Stephens
Providence Providence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant St Stephens   St Stephens
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Stephens
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) Reagan
Riverside Durham St Stephens tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Stephens
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville St Stephens   St Stephens
Roxboro Community St Stephens   St Stephens
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick St Stephens   St Stephens
South Garner St Stephens   St Stephens
South Iredell St Stephens St Stephens  
South Mecklenburg St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) St Stephens
South View St Stephens   St Stephens
Southeast Alamance St Stephens   St Stephens
Southeast Guilford St Stephens   St Stephens
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian  
Southwest Guilford St Stephens St Stephens   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Davids School St Davids School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Davids School
Sun Valley St Stephens St Stephens  
Swansboro St Stephens   St Stephens
TC Roberson TC Roberson TC Roberson  
Terry Sanford St Stephens   St Stephens
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines St Stephens   St Stephens
Vance Charter St Stephens   St Stephens
Voyager Academy St Stephens insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Stephens
Wake Forest St Stephens   St Stephens
Wake Prep St Stephens   St Stephens
Wakefield St Stephens   St Stephens
Walter M Williams St Stephens   St Stephens
Watauga St Stephens St Stephens  
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Weddington
West Brunswick St Stephens   St Stephens
West Carteret St Stephens   St Stephens
West Forsyth St Stephens tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) St Stephens
West Stokes St Stephens insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) St Stephens
Western Alamance St Stephens   St Stephens
Western Guilford St Stephens St Stephens   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 79


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     3-16      -11.44      22.37       0.27         0.90           -10.01
   0 A Patton  Morgan  ( 2-13, 76.0)    16- 2      -23.90       9.91       0.27         0.90             9.13
   0 A Lincoln Charte  (10-11, 83.8)    17-12      -16.11      17.70       0.27         0.90            16.11
   0 A Glenn           ( 5-14, 79.4)    12- 1      -20.49      13.32       0.27         0.90            12.18
   0 A Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)    17- 5      -21.04      12.77       0.27         0.90            11.70
   0 A Hickory         (13- 5, 86.8)     8-15      -13.13      20.68       0.27         0.90           -11.53
   0 H North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)     7-13      -12.38      21.43      -0.27         0.90           -11.34
   0 A South Iredell   ( 0-18, 70.8)    17- 0      -29.06       4.75       0.27         0.90             4.50
   0 H Sun Valley      ( 8-11, 81.2)    20-10      -18.72      15.09      -0.27         0.90            13.29
   0 A Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)    12-11      -17.94      15.87       0.27         0.90            14.47
   0 H TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     6-11      -11.44      22.37      -0.27         0.90           -10.50
   0 H Southlake Chri  (12- 6, 89.7)     4-12      -10.21      23.59      -0.27         0.90            -9.40
   0 H Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)    13- 7      -21.04      12.77      -0.27         0.90            11.21
   0 H Patton  Morgan  ( 2-13, 76.0)    13- 1      -23.90       9.91      -0.27         0.90             8.64
   0 H Hickory         (13- 5, 86.8)     7-16      -13.13      20.68      -0.27         0.90           -12.02
   0 A North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)     5-18      -12.38      21.43       0.27         0.90           -10.85
   0 H Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)    17-11      -17.94      15.87      -0.27         0.90            13.98
   0 A Bishop McGuinn  (10-11, 83.0)    17-13      -16.94      16.87       0.27         0.90            15.37
   0 H Bishop McGuinn  (10-11, 83.0)    17-13      -16.94      16.87      -0.27         0.90            14.88
   0 A Christ The Kin  (14- 6, 91.2)     5-23       -8.68      25.13       0.27         0.90            -7.54
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        62.27

winning pts = 145.4653 losing points = -83.1986

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------