St Pauls
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 95.4242Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A St Johns College HS ( 7- 4, 95.1) 16-15 312 H Bullis ( 8- 4, 96.1) 12-11 328 H McDonogh ( 9- 3, 97.7) 8- 9 401 H St Marys Annapolis ( 4- 8, 94.5) 7- 6 404 A Mount St Joseph ( 7- 8, 94.6) 4- 8 408 A John Carroll ( 0-12, 89.2) 13-11 415 A Severn School ( 4-11, 93.6) 17- 6 422 H Loyola-Blakefield ( 7- 5, 96.6) 11- 8 425 A Calvert Hall (12- 2, 98.6) 9-11 429 H Gilman ( 4-10, 93.8) 14-13 502 H Archbishop Spalding (11- 2, 99.9) 7- 9 506 A Boys Latin (11- 3, 97.3) 6-14 509 A Calvert Hall (12- 2, 98.6) 5-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 A St Johns College HS 16-15 1 0 1.17
312 H Bullis 12-11 1 0 1.21
328 H McDonogh 8- 9 -1 -2 0.79
401 H St Marys Annapolis 7- 6 1 1 -0.35
404 A Mount St Joseph 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.34
408 A John Carroll 13-11 2 6 - -3.00
415 A Severn School 17- 6 11 1 + 3.66
422 H Loyola-Blakefield 11- 8 3 -1 + 3.73
425 A Calvert Hall 9-11 -2 -4 1.65
429 H Gilman 14-13 1 2 -1.10
502 H Archbishop Spalding 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.03
506 A Boys Latin 6-14 -8 -2 - -2.63
509 A Calvert Hall 5-13 -8 -4 -1.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Mount St Joseph 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.34 408 A John Carroll 13-11 2 6 - -3.00 506 A Boys Latin 6-14 -8 -2 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Severn School 17- 6 11 1 + 3.66 422 H Loyola-Blakefield 11- 8 3 -1 + 3.73 502 H Archbishop Spalding 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.03 |
St Pauls Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Archbishop Curley | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Bishop McNamara | St Pauls | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Pauls | |
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Concordia Prep | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| DeMatha | St Pauls | St Pauls 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| FCA LC | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Friends | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Garrett County LC | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Georgetown Day | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Georgetown Prep | St Pauls | St Pauls 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Gerstell Academy | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Gilman | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Glenelg Country | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Gonzaga | St Pauls | St Pauls 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Good Counsel | St Pauls | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | St Pauls | |
| Gunston School | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Heights | St Pauls | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Pauls | |
| Indian Creek School | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Jemicy School | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| John Carroll | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Key School | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Landon | Landon | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Landon | |
| Loyola-Blakefield | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Maret | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Mount Carmel | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Salisbury School | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Severn School | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Sidwell Friends | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Albans | St Pauls | St Pauls 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St James | St Pauls | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Pauls | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Pauls | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Pauls | |
| St Vincent Pallotti | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | St Pauls | St Pauls 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tome School | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Worcester Prep | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Aberdeen | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Academy for College | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Annapolis | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Arundel | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Atholton | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Bel Air | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Bladensburg | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Blair | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Blake | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Bohemia Manor | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Boonsboro | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Bowie | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Broadneck | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Brunswick | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Calvert | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Cambridge SD | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Carver A&T | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Catoctin | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Catonsville | St Pauls | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Pauls | |
| Centennial | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Century | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| CH Flowers | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Chesapeake AA | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Chesapeake BC | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Chopticon | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| City College | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Clarksburg | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| CM Wright | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Crofton | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Damascus | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Digital Harbor | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Dulaney | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Dunbar | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Dundalk | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| DuVal | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Eastern Tech | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Easton | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Edgewood | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Einstein | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Elkton | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Fairmont Heights | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Fallston | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Forest Park | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Francis Scott Key | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Franklin | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Frederick | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Friendly | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Gaithersburg | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Glen Burnie | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Glenelg HS | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Great Mills | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Guilford Park | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Gwynn Park | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Hammond | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Harford Tech | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Havre De Grace | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Hereford | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| High Point | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Howard | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Huntingtown | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| JM Bennett | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Joppatowne | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Kennedy | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Kent County | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Kent Island | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Kenwood | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| La Plata | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Lackey | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Lake Clifton | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Lansdowne | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Laurel | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Leonardtown | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Liberty | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Linganore | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Loch Raven | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Long Reach | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Magruder | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Manchester Valley | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Meade | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Mergenthaler | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Middletown | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Milford Mill | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| MJ McDonough | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Mount Hebron | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| National Academy Fou | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| New Town | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| North Caroline | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| North County | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| North Dorchester | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| North East Cecil | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| North Hagerstown | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| North Harford | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| North Point | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Northeast AA | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Northern Calvert | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Northwest | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Northwestern PG | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Northwood | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Oakdale | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Oakland Mills | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Old Mill | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Overlea | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Owings Mills | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Oxon Hill | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Paint Branch | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Parkdale | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Parkside | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Parkville | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Patapsco | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Patterson HS | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Patterson Mill | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Patuxent | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Perry Hall | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Perryville | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Pikesville | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Poolesville | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Queen Annes County | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Quince Orchard | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Randallstown | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Reservoir | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Richard Montgomery | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Rising Sun | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| River Hill | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Rockville | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Seneca Valley | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Severn Run | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Severna Park | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Sherwood | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Smithsburg | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| South Carroll | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| South Hagerstown | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| South River | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Southern AA | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Sparrows Point | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Springbrook | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Charles | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Stephen Decatur | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Suitland | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Surrattsville | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Thomas Stone | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Towson | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Tuscarora | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Urbana | St Pauls | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Pauls | |
| Walkersville | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Walt Whitman | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Walter Johnson | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Watkins Mill | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Western STES | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Westlake | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Westminster | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Wheaton | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Wicomico | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Wilde Lake | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Winston Churchill | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Winters Mill | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Woodlawn | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Wootton | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| DC International PCS | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| Jackson Reed | St Pauls | St Pauls |
PowerWise = 215
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A St Johns Colle ( 7- 4, 95.1) 16-15 -4.75 30.84 0.45 0.93 29.21
0 H Bullis ( 8- 4, 96.1) 12-11 -3.82 31.77 -0.45 0.93 29.24
0 H McDonogh ( 9- 3, 97.7) 8- 9 -2.24 33.36 -0.45 0.93 -2.50
0 H St Marys Annap ( 4- 8, 94.5) 7- 6 -5.38 30.21 -0.45 0.93 27.79
0 A Mount St Josep ( 7- 8, 94.6) 4- 8 -5.27 30.33 0.45 0.93 -4.50
0 A John Carroll ( 0-12, 89.2) 13-11 -10.67 24.92 0.45 0.93 23.68
0 A Severn School ( 4-11, 93.6) 17- 6 -6.26 29.34 0.45 0.93 27.80
0 H Loyola-Blakefi ( 7- 5, 96.6) 11- 8 -3.30 32.30 -0.45 0.93 29.73
0 A Calvert Hall (12- 2, 98.6) 9-11 -1.27 34.32 0.45 0.93 -0.77
0 H Gilman ( 4-10, 93.8) 14-13 -6.13 29.47 -0.45 0.93 27.09
0 H Archbishop Spa (11- 2, 99.9) 7- 9 -0.00 35.59 -0.45 0.93 -0.42
0 A Boys Latin (11- 3, 97.3) 6-14 -2.55 33.04 0.45 0.93 -1.97
0 A Calvert Hall (12- 2, 98.6) 5-13 -1.27 34.32 0.45 0.93 -0.77
------
183.61
|
winning pts = 194.5387 losing points = -10.9316
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------