All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.1999969 home-field advantage = -0.59 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A St Johns College HS (11- 6, 94.4) 16-15 312 H Bullis (16- 5, 96.2) 12-11 318 H Western Reserve Academ (15- 6, 95.8) 10-11 321 N Penn Charter ( 0-23, 82.0) 14- 5 328 H McDonogh (12- 6, 98.0) 8- 9 401 H St Marys Annapolis ( 6-10, 92.5) 7- 6 404 A Mount St Joseph (10- 8, 93.5) 4- 8 408 A John Carroll ( 1-14, 85.2) 13-11 415 A Severn School ( 5-11, 92.8) 17- 6 417 H Seton Hall Prep (19- 3, 96.4) 7-12 422 H Loyola-Blakefield (11- 7, 96.6) 11- 8 425 A Calvert Hall (16- 2, 98.9) 9-11 429 H Gilman ( 4-13, 92.1) 14-13 502 H Archbishop Spalding (18- 2, 99.9) 7- 9 506 A Boys Latin (13- 5, 96.7) 6-14 509 A Calvert Hall (16- 2, 98.9) 5-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A St Johns College HS 16-15 1 0 1.80 312 H Bullis 12-11 1 -1 + 2.46 318 H Western Reserve Academ 10-11 -1 0 n/a 321 N Penn Charter 14- 5 9 12 n/a 328 H McDonogh 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.20 401 H St Marys Annapolis 7- 6 1 2 -1.26 404 A Mount St Joseph 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.07 408 A John Carroll 13-11 2 8 -- -5.00 415 A Severn School 17- 6 11 0 +++ 6.16 417 H Seton Hall Prep 7-12 -5 -1 n/a 422 H Loyola-Blakefield 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.82 425 A Calvert Hall 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.34 429 H Gilman 14-13 1 2 -1.73 502 H Archbishop Spalding 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.14 506 A Boys Latin 6-14 -8 -3 - -3.87 509 A Calvert Hall 5-13 -8 -5 -1.66UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Mount St Joseph 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.07 408 A John Carroll 13-11 2 8 -- -5.00 417 H Seton Hall Prep 7-12 -5 -1 - 506 A Boys Latin 6-14 -8 -3 - -3.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Severn School 17- 6 11 0 +++ 6.16 422 H Loyola-Blakefield 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.82 312 H Bullis 12-11 1 -1 + 2.46 328 H McDonogh 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.20 425 A Calvert Hall 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.34 502 H Archbishop Spalding 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.14
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.20 Power Rank................. 10 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 86.94 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5365 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 105 RPI Rating............... .5614 RPI Rank................... 53 Champ. Probability ...... 8.0 Championship Rank ......... 6 Selection sum ........... 249 Selection Rank ............ 73 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 8 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 91 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.0