St Paul Catholic
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 77.5157Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 16- 2 412 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 7-15 414 A Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 16- 4 415 H Wolcott ( 5-11, 70.3) 14- 2 421 A Capital-Classical Pr ( 0-13, 65.9) 14- 0 426 A South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 9-10 429 A Lakeview United ( 6- 9, 73.8) 18- 3 501 H Lakeview United ( 6- 9, 73.8) 9- 4 502 H Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 82.7) 5-10 506 A Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 16- 4 510 A Wolcott ( 5-11, 70.3) 16- 3 512 H Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 11- 7 515 A Bristol Co-Op (15- 3, 80.7) 11-21 517 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 8-18 520 H Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 6-18 521 H Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 12- 7 522 H Capital-Classical Pr ( 0-13, 65.9) 1- 0 530 H Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 A Holy Cross 16- 2 14 1 ++ 4.36
412 A Pomperaug 7-15 -8 -3 - -2.38
414 A Watertown 16- 4 12 5 0.00
415 H Wolcott 14- 2 12 8 0.00
421 A Capital-Classical Pr 14- 0 14 11 0.00
426 A South Windsor 9-10 -1 -3 1.73
429 A Lakeview United 18- 3 15 3 1.75
501 H Lakeview United 9- 4 5 4 0.81
502 H Northwest Catholic 5-10 -5 -5 -0.29
506 A Watertown 16- 4 12 5 0.00
510 A Wolcott 16- 3 13 7 0.00
512 H Holy Cross 11- 7 4 2 + 2.41
515 A Bristol Co-Op 11-21 -10 -4 -1.34
517 H East Catholic 8-18 -10 -5 0.00
520 H Lewis Mills 6-18 -12 -2 - -3.47
521 H Watertown 12- 7 5 6 0.00
530 H Holy Cross 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Pomperaug 7-15 -8 -3 - -2.38 520 H Lewis Mills 6-18 -12 -2 - -3.47 530 H Holy Cross 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Holy Cross 16- 2 14 1 ++ 4.36 512 H Holy Cross 11- 7 4 2 + 2.41 |
St Paul Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Avon HS | |
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bacon Academy | |
| Berlin | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Bethel | Bethel | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Branford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Canton | Canton | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Canton | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cromwell | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Danbury | St Paul Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Darien | |
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Enfield | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Enfield | |
| EO Smith | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Fitch Groton | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Foran | Foran | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Hamden | |
| Holy Cross | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Immaculate Danbury | St Paul Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jonathan Law | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Lakeview United | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Maloney-Platt | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Masuk | Masuk | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Masuk | |
| Middletown | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Montville | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Morgan School | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Milford | |
| Newington | Newington | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Norwich Tech | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | ||
| Old Lyme | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | St Paul Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | St Paul Catholic | |
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Rocky Hill | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Bernard-Wheeler | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Suffield | Suffield | Suffield 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tolland | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | St Paul Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Waterford | Waterford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| West Haven | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Westhill | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Weston | Weston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | Wethersfield 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Wilbur Cross | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | St Paul Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Paul Catholic | |
| Wolcott | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Woodstock Academy | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Xavier | Xavier | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Xavier |
PowerWise = 35
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 16- 2 -23.50 16.75 0.47 0.95 16.28
0 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 7-15 -20.23 20.02 0.47 0.95 -18.67
0 A Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 16- 4 -27.95 12.31 0.47 0.95 12.08
0 H Wolcott ( 5-11, 70.3) 14- 2 -29.60 10.66 -0.47 0.95 9.62
0 A Capital-Classi ( 0-13, 65.9) 14- 0 -33.95 6.30 0.47 0.95 6.41
0 A South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 9-10 -20.13 20.13 0.47 0.95 -18.57
0 A Lakeview Unite ( 6- 9, 73.8) 18- 3 -26.10 14.15 0.47 0.95 13.82
0 H Lakeview Unite ( 6- 9, 73.8) 9- 4 -26.10 14.15 -0.47 0.95 12.93
0 H Northwest Cath ( 8- 9, 82.7) 5-10 -17.20 23.06 -0.47 0.95 -16.70
0 A Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 16- 4 -27.95 12.31 0.47 0.95 12.08
0 A Wolcott ( 5-11, 70.3) 16- 3 -29.60 10.66 0.47 0.95 10.52
0 H Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 11- 7 -23.50 16.75 -0.47 0.95 15.39
0 A Bristol Co-Op (15- 3, 80.7) 11-21 -19.20 21.05 0.47 0.95 -17.70
0 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 8-18 -16.87 23.39 -0.47 0.95 -16.39
0 H Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 6-18 -20.38 19.88 -0.47 0.95 -19.70
0 H Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 12- 7 -27.95 12.31 -0.47 0.95 11.18
0 H Capital-Classi ( 0-13, 65.9) 1- 0 -33.95 6.30 -0.47 0.95 5.51
0 H Holy Cross (12- 6, 76.4) 5- 6 -23.50 16.75 -0.47 0.95 -22.66
------
-4.59
|
winning pts = 125.8074 losing points = -130.3936
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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