---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Stonington 1
  
Stonington            
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 77.4546

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 6-10 408 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 9- 7, 81.7) 8-11 410 A Norwich Free Academy ( 7- 9, 73.2) 9- 5 417 A Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 8-14 422 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 5-12 424 H Ledyard-Griswold ( 8- 8, 75.4) 11- 3 426 A Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 6-14 429 H Woodstock Academy ( 4-11, 73.2) 12- 7 501 A Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 11- 8 503 A North Haven ( 5-11, 77.1) 9- 3 506 H East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 3-16 508 A Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 4-12 510 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 9- 5 513 A Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 15- 4 517 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 4-18 530 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 5- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Branford                6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.30
   408 H St Bernard-Wheeler      8-11      -3    -4           0.73
   410 A Norwich Free Academy    9- 5       4     4           0.25
   417 A Lewis Mills             8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.46
   422 H Bacon Academy           5-12      -7    -5           0.00
   424 H Ledyard-Griswold       11- 3       8     3    +      2.46
   426 A Canton                  6-14      -8    -5          -0.34
   429 H Woodstock Academy      12- 7       5     5           0.23
   501 A Fitch  Groton          11- 8       3     2           0.57
   503 A North Haven             9- 3       6     0    ++     5.10
   506 H East Lyme               3-16     -13    -6           0.00
   508 A Waterford               4-12      -8    -3    -     -2.29
   510 H Old Lyme                9- 5       4     3           0.79
   513 A Montville              15- 4      11     7           0.00
   517 A Haddam-Killingworth     4-18     -14    -9           0.00
   530 H Morgan School           5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Branford                6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.30
   417 A Lewis Mills             8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.46
   508 A Waterford               4-12      -8    -3    -     -2.29
   530 H Morgan School           5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A North Haven             9- 3       6     0    ++     5.10
   424 H Ledyard-Griswold       11- 3       8     3    +      2.46

Stonington Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Berlin Stonington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stonington
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford Branford  
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bristol Co-Op
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Stonington   Stonington
Canton Canton Canton  
Capital-Classical Pr Stonington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stonington
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Conard
Cromwell Stonington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Stonington
Danbury Stonington   Stonington
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Ellington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ellington
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith Stonington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Stonington
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Farmington
Fitch Groton Stonington Stonington  
Foran Foran insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Hall Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hall
Hamden Hamden insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Hamden
Holy Cross Stonington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stonington
Immaculate Danbury Stonington   Stonington
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Stonington insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Stonington
Lakeview United Stonington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stonington
Ledyard-Griswold Stonington Stonington  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Stonington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Stonington
Masuk Masuk insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Masuk
Middletown Stonington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Stonington
Montville Stonington Stonington  
Morgan School Morgan School Morgan School  
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Milford
Newington Newington insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Newington
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford North Branford   5- 1 vs 2- 4
North Haven Stonington Stonington  
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Stonington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Stonington
Norwich Free Academy Stonington Stonington  
Norwich Tech Stonington Stonington   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Notre Dame-Fairfield Stonington   Stonington
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Stonington Stonington  
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   7- 1 vs 3- 5
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Stonington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Stonington
RHAM RHAM RHAM   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Stonington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stonington
Rocky Hill Stonington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Stonington
Sheehan Sheehan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Sheehan
Shelton Stonington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Stonington
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers   3- 0 vs 1- 2
South Windsor South Windsor insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) South Windsor
Southington Southington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Paul Catholic
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Staples
Suffield Suffield insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Suffield
Tolland Stonington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stonington
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Valley Regional tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Valley Regional
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Stonington   Stonington
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Watertown Stonington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stonington
West Haven Stonington insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Stonington
Westhill Stonington   Stonington
Weston Weston insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Stonington Stonington   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Stonington   Stonington
Wolcott Stonington   Stonington
Woodstock Academy Stonington Stonington  
Xavier Xavier insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Xavier

PowerWise = 34


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Branford        ( 9- 8, 78.7)     6-10      -21.22      19.04       0.47         1.06           -22.05
   0 H St Bernard-Whe  ( 9- 7, 81.7)     8-11      -18.24      22.02      -0.47         1.06           -19.89
   0 A Norwich Free A  ( 7- 9, 73.2)     9- 5      -26.67      13.59       0.47         1.06            14.95
   0 A Lewis Mills     ( 8- 9, 79.5)     8-14      -20.38      19.88       0.47         1.06           -21.16
   0 H Bacon Academy   (14- 5, 83.1)     5-12      -16.79      23.47      -0.47         1.06           -18.35
   0 H Ledyard-Griswo  ( 8- 8, 75.4)    11- 3      -24.51      15.75      -0.47         1.06            16.24
   0 A Canton          (12- 5, 81.6)     6-14      -18.25      22.00       0.47         1.06           -18.90
   0 H Woodstock Acad  ( 4-11, 73.2)    12- 7      -26.74      13.51      -0.47         1.06            13.86
   0 A Fitch  Groton   ( 3-10, 74.6)    11- 8      -25.34      14.91       0.47         1.06            16.35
   0 A North Haven     ( 5-11, 77.1)     9- 3      -22.82      17.43       0.47         1.06            19.04
   0 H East Lyme       (15- 4, 83.6)     3-16      -16.31      23.94      -0.47         1.06           -17.85
   0 A Waterford       (10- 5, 79.7)     4-12      -20.20      20.05       0.47         1.06           -20.98
   0 H Old Lyme        ( 4-12, 74.7)     9- 5      -25.18      15.07      -0.47         1.06            15.52
   0 A Montville       ( 2-14, 69.6)    15- 4      -30.27       9.99       0.47         1.06            11.12
   0 A Haddam-Killing  (19- 2, 86.2)     4-18      -13.74      26.52       0.47         1.06           -14.10
   0 H Morgan School   ( 8-10, 78.1)     5- 8      -21.77      18.48      -0.47         1.06           -23.65
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -69.86

winning pts = 107.0791 losing points = -176.9379

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------