All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.5299988 home-field advantage = -0.59 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Georgetown Prep ( 8- 9, 92.5) 11-12 307 H Paul VI (11-10, 92.1) 7- 8 311 A Christ School (15- 5, 87.4) 10- 5 314 A DeMatha (15- 4, 93.7) 8- 7 318 A Haverford School (17- 4, 97.4) 4-12 321 H Springside Chestnut Hi (12- 9, 92.6) 6- 3 328 H Calvert Hall (16- 2, 98.9) 9-17 401 A St Pauls ( 8- 8, 94.2) 6- 7 404 H McDonogh (12- 6, 98.0) 5-15 408 H Archbishop Spalding (18- 2, 99.9) 9-17 411 A Loyola-Blakefield (11- 7, 96.6) 9-13 415 H Mount St Joseph (10- 8, 93.5) 10- 5 422 A Gilman ( 4-13, 92.1) 11-13 425 H John Carroll ( 1-14, 85.2) 13- 6 429 A Boys Latin (13- 5, 96.7) 4-13 506 A Severn School ( 5-11, 92.8) 11- 3
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Georgetown Prep 11-12 -1 0 -1.66 307 H Paul VI 7- 8 -1 1 n/a 311 A Christ School 10- 5 5 4 n/a 314 A DeMatha 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.80 318 A Haverford School 4-12 -8 -5 n/a 321 H Springside Chestnut Hi 6- 3 3 0 n/a 328 H Calvert Hall 9-17 -8 -5 -1.17 401 A St Pauls 6- 7 -1 -2 1.26 404 H McDonogh 5-15 -10 -4 - -2.13 408 H Archbishop Spalding 9-17 -8 -6 -0.19 411 A Loyola-Blakefield 9-13 -4 -4 0.67 415 H Mount St Joseph 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.42 422 A Gilman 11-13 -2 0 -1.88 425 H John Carroll 13- 6 7 7 0.00 429 A Boys Latin 4-13 -9 -4 - -2.20 506 A Severn School 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.83UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Paul VI 7- 8 -1 1 - 404 H McDonogh 5-15 -10 -4 - -2.13 429 A Boys Latin 4-13 -9 -4 - -2.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A Severn School 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.83 415 H Mount St Joseph 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.42 314 A DeMatha 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.80 321 H Springside Chestnut Hi 6- 3 3 0 +
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.53 Power Rank................. 14 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.87 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5873 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 64 RPI Rating............... .4919 RPI Rank................... 103 Champ. Probability ...... 2.0 Championship Rank ......... 10 Selection sum ........... 319 Selection Rank ............ 99 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -20. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 46 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -155. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 152 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0