St Marys Annapolis
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 94.5196Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Georgetown Prep ( 5- 5, 94.0) 11-12 314 A DeMatha ( 9- 3, 95.3) 8- 7 328 H Calvert Hall (12- 2, 98.6) 9-17 401 A St Pauls ( 7- 6, 95.4) 6- 7 404 H McDonogh ( 9- 3, 97.7) 5-15 408 H Archbishop Spalding (11- 2, 99.9) 9-17 411 A Loyola-Blakefield ( 7- 5, 96.6) 9-13 415 H Mount St Joseph ( 7- 8, 94.6) 10- 5 422 A Gilman ( 4-10, 93.8) 11-13 425 H John Carroll ( 0-12, 89.2) 13- 6 429 A Boys Latin (11- 3, 97.3) 4-13 506 A Severn School ( 4-11, 93.6) 11- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Georgetown Prep 11-12 -1 1 -1.93
314 A DeMatha 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.26
328 H Calvert Hall 9-17 -8 -4 -1.34
401 A St Pauls 6- 7 -1 -1 0.35
404 H McDonogh 5-15 -10 -3 - -2.30
408 H Archbishop Spalding 9-17 -8 -5 -0.07
411 A Loyola-Blakefield 9-13 -4 -3 -1.47
415 H Mount St Joseph 10- 5 5 0 ++ 4.67
422 A Gilman 11-13 -2 0 - -2.30
425 H John Carroll 13- 6 7 6 0.00
429 A Boys Latin 4-13 -9 -3 -1.73
506 A Severn School 11- 3 8 0 ++ 4.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H McDonogh 5-15 -10 -3 - -2.30 422 A Gilman 11-13 -2 0 - -2.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Mount St Joseph 10- 5 5 0 ++ 4.67 506 A Severn School 11- 3 8 0 ++ 4.57 314 A DeMatha 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.26 |
St Marys Annapolis Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Archbishop Curley | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Bishop McNamara | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Bullis | |
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Concordia Prep | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| DeMatha | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| FCA LC | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Friends | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Garrett County LC | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Georgetown Day | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Gonzaga | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| Good Counsel | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| Gunston School | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Heights | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| Indian Creek School | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Jemicy School | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| John Carroll | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Key School | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Mount Carmel | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Mount St Joseph | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Park School | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Salisbury School | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Severn School | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Sidwell Friends | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Albans | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St James | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | St Johns College HS | |
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| Tome School | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Worcester Prep | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Aberdeen | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Academy for College | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Atholton | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Bel Air | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Bladensburg | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Blair | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Blake | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Bohemia Manor | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Boonsboro | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Bowie | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Broadneck | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Brunswick | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Calvert | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Cambridge SD | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Carver A&T | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Catoctin | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Catonsville | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| Centennial | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Century | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| CH Flowers | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Chesapeake AA | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Chesapeake BC | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Chopticon | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| City College | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Clarksburg | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| CM Wright | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Crofton | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Damascus | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Digital Harbor | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Dulaney | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Dunbar | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Dundalk | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| DuVal | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Eastern Tech | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Easton | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Edgewood | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Einstein | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Elkton | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Fairmont Heights | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Fallston | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Forest Park | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Francis Scott Key | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Franklin | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Frederick | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Friendly | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Gaithersburg | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Glen Burnie | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Glenelg HS | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Great Mills | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Guilford Park | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Gwynn Park | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Hammond | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Harford Tech | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Havre De Grace | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Hereford | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| High Point | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Howard | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Huntingtown | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| JM Bennett | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Joppatowne | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Kennedy | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Kent County | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| La Plata | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Lackey | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Lake Clifton | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Lansdowne | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Laurel | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Leonardtown | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Liberty | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Linganore | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Loch Raven | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Long Reach | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Magruder | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Manchester Valley | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Meade | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Mergenthaler | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Middletown | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Milford Mill | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| MJ McDonough | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Mount Hebron | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| National Academy Fou | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| New Town | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| North Caroline | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| North County | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| North Dorchester | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| North East Cecil | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| North Hagerstown | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| North Harford | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| North Point | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Northeast AA | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Northern Calvert | St Marys Annapolis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys Annapolis | |
| Northwest | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Northwestern PG | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Northwood | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Oakdale | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Oakland Mills | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Old Mill | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Overlea | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Owings Mills | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Oxon Hill | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Paint Branch | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Parkdale | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Parkside | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Parkville | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Patapsco | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Patterson HS | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Patterson Mill | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Patuxent | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Perry Hall | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Perryville | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Pikesville | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Poolesville | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Queen Annes County | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Quince Orchard | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Randallstown | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Reservoir | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Richard Montgomery | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Rising Sun | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| River Hill | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Rockville | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Seneca Valley | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Severn Run | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Severna Park | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Sherwood | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Smithsburg | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| South Carroll | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| South Hagerstown | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| South River | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Southern AA | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Sparrows Point | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Springbrook | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Charles | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Surrattsville | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Thomas Stone | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Towson | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Tuscarora | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Urbana | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Walkersville | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Walt Whitman | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Walter Johnson | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Watkins Mill | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Western STES | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Westlake | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Westminster | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Wheaton | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Wicomico | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Wilde Lake | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Winston Churchill | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Winters Mill | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Woodlawn | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Wootton | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| DC International PCS | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| Jackson Reed | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis |
PowerWise = 208
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Georgetown Pre ( 5- 5, 94.0) 11-12 -5.86 29.73 -0.45 1.01 -6.38
0 A DeMatha ( 9- 3, 95.3) 8- 7 -4.56 31.03 0.45 1.01 31.83
0 H Calvert Hall (12- 2, 98.6) 9-17 -1.27 34.32 -0.45 1.01 -1.74
0 A St Pauls ( 7- 6, 95.4) 6- 7 -4.48 31.12 0.45 1.01 -4.08
0 H McDonogh ( 9- 3, 97.7) 5-15 -2.24 33.36 -0.45 1.01 -2.71
0 H Archbishop Spa (11- 2, 99.9) 9-17 -0.00 35.59 -0.45 1.01 -0.45
0 A Loyola-Blakefi ( 7- 5, 96.6) 9-13 -3.30 32.30 0.45 1.01 -2.88
0 H Mount St Josep ( 7- 8, 94.6) 10- 5 -5.27 30.33 -0.45 1.01 30.22
0 A Gilman ( 4-10, 93.8) 11-13 -6.13 29.47 0.45 1.01 -5.74
0 H John Carroll ( 0-12, 89.2) 13- 6 -10.67 24.92 -0.45 1.01 24.75
0 A Boys Latin (11- 3, 97.3) 4-13 -2.55 33.04 0.45 1.01 -2.13
0 A Severn School ( 4-11, 93.6) 11- 3 -6.26 29.34 0.45 1.01 30.12
------
90.81
|
winning pts = 116.9180 losing points = -26.1104
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------