---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys State College 1
  
State College         
W-L: (16- 4) PR = 89.4193

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Central Dauphin (14- 6, 85.3) 15- 7 319 A Central Dauphin East ( 3-14, 75.8) 20- 4 321 H Mifflin County ( 1-17, 74.7) 20- 2 326 A Carlisle ( 7- 9, 79.3) 20- 3 327 A Chambersburg ( 8-10, 79.6) 19- 8 401 H Cedar Cliff ( 2-16, 75.1) 19- 2 405 A Central York (19- 4, 89.5) 8-10 410 H Cumberland Valley (16- 4, 88.0) 11-14 412 H Manheim Township (19- 4, 92.1) 13-14 414 A Central Dauphin (14- 6, 85.3) 13- 9 416 H Central Dauphin East ( 3-14, 75.8) 16- 0 417 A Mechanicsburg (14- 6, 84.8) 10- 6 422 A Mifflin County ( 1-17, 74.7) 18- 2 424 H Carlisle ( 7- 9, 79.3) 19- 6 429 H Chambersburg ( 8-10, 79.6) 19- 6 501 A Cedar Cliff ( 2-16, 75.1) 20- 5 508 H Mechanicsburg (14- 6, 84.8) 17- 8 512 A Cumberland Valley (16- 4, 88.0) 18-12 527 N Erie-McDowell ( 8- 4, 80.3) 16- 3 603 H Shady Side Academy (11- 7, 92.3) 9-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Central Dauphin        15- 7       8     4           0.68
   319 A Central Dauphin East   20- 4      16    13           0.00
   321 H Mifflin County         20- 2      18    15           0.00
   326 A Carlisle               20- 3      17    10           0.00
   327 A Chambersburg           19- 8      11    10           0.00
   401 H Cedar Cliff            19- 2      17    15           0.00
   405 A Central York            8-10      -2     0          -1.75
   410 H Cumberland Valley      11-14      -3     2    --    -4.67
   412 H Manheim Township       13-14      -1    -3           1.51
   414 A Central Dauphin        13- 9       4     4           0.09
   416 H Central Dauphin East   16- 0      16    14           0.00
   417 A Mechanicsburg          10- 6       4     4          -0.41
   422 A Mifflin County         18- 2      16    14           0.00
   424 H Carlisle               19- 6      13    10           0.00
   429 H Chambersburg           19- 6      13    10           0.00
   501 A Cedar Cliff            20- 5      15    14           0.00
   508 H Mechanicsburg          17- 8       9     5           0.18
   512 A Cumberland Valley      18-12       6     1    +      3.74
   527 N Erie-McDowell          16- 3      13     9           0.00
   603 H Shady Side Academy      9-11      -2    -3           0.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Cumberland Valley      11-14      -3     2    --    -4.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Cumberland Valley      18-12       6     1    +      3.74

State College Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington State College   State College
Academy New Church Academy New Church insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Academy New Church
AIM Academy State College   State College
Allentown Central Ca Allentown Central Ca   Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll State College   State College
Archbishop Ryan State College   State College
Archbishop Wood State College   State College
Avon Grove Avon Grove   Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter State College   State College
Bayard Rustin Bayard Rustin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic State College   State College
Bishop Shanahan Bishop Shanahan   Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter State College   State College
Bonner-Prendergast State College   State College
Boyertown State College   State College
Cardinal OHara State College   State College
Central Bucks East State College   State College
Central Bucks South State College   State College
Central Bucks West State College   State College
Central Philadelphia State College   State College
Cheltenham State College   State College
Church Farm School State College   State College
Coatesville State College   State College
Conestoga Conestoga   Conestoga
Conwell Egan State College   State College
Council Rock North State College   State College
Council Rock South State College   State College
Delaware Valley Frie State College   State College
Devon Prep State College   State College
Downingtown East Downingtown East   Downingtown East
Downingtown West Downingtown West   Downingtown West
Easton Area Easton Area   Easton Area
Emmaus State College   State College
Episcopal Academy Episcopal Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Episcopal Academy
Father Judge State College   State College
Frankford State College   State College
Freedom Bethlehem State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Garnet Valley Garnet Valley   Garnet Valley
George School State College   State College
George Washington State College   State College
Germantown Academy Germantown Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Germantown Academy
Great Valley State College   State College
Harriton State College   State College
Hatboro-Horsham State College   State College
Haverford HS Haverford HS   Haverford HS
Haverford School Haverford School   Haverford School
Hill School Hill School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep State College   State College
Interboro State College   State College
Jack Barrack Academy State College   State College
Kennett State College   State College
La Salle College La Salle College   La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic State College   State College
Liberty Bethlehem State College   State College
Lower Merion State College   State College
Malvern Prep Malvern Prep   Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown Marple Newtown   Marple Newtown
Masterman State College   State College
Mastery Charter Nort State College   State College
Methacton State College   State College
Moravian Academy State College   State College
Nazareth Area State College   State College
Neshaminy State College   State College
New Hope-Solebury State College   State College
North Penn State College   State College
Northampton Area State College   State College
Northeast State College   State College
Northwestern Lehigh State College   State College
Olney Charter State College   State College
Owen J Roberts Owen J Roberts   Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area State College   State College
Parkland Parkland   Parkland
Penn Charter State College   State College
Penncrest Penncrest   Penncrest
Pennridge Pennridge   Pennridge
Pennsbury State College   State College
Perkiomen School Perkiomen School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley Perkiomen Valley   Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville State College   State College
Pleasant Valley State College   State College
Plymouth-Whitemarsh State College   State College
Pope John Paul II State College   State College
Pottsgrove State College   State College
Quakertown State College   State College
Radnor Radnor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Radnor
Ridley Ridley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Ridley
Roman Catholic State College   State College
Saucon Valley State College   State College
Shipley School State College   State College
Solanco State College   State College
Souderton Souderton   Souderton
South Philadelphia State College   State College
Southern Lehigh State College   State College
Spring-Ford Spring-Ford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp State College   State College
Springfield-Delco Springfield-Delco   Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut Springside Chestnut   Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep St Josephs Prep   St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven State College   State College
Sun Valley State College   State College
Truman State College   State College
Unionville State College   State College
Upper Darby State College   State College
Upper Dublin State College   State College
Upper Merion State College   State College
Upper Moreland State College   State College
West Chester East State College   State College
West Chester Henders State College   State College
West Philadelphia State College   State College
Westtown Westtown   Westtown
William Tennent State College   State College
Wissahickon State College   State College
Baldwin State College   State College
Bethel Park State College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) State College
Butler Area State College tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) State College
Canon-McMillan State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Cathedral Prep State College insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) State College
Central Catholic State College   State College
Chartiers Valley State College   State College
Conneaut State College   State College
Erie-McDowell State College State College  
Fairview State College insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) State College
Fox Chapel State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Franklin Regional State College   State College
Freeport Area State College   State College
Gateway State College   State College
Greensburg Central C State College   State College
Hampton State College   State College
Hempfield Greensburg State College   State College
Hickory State College insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) State College
Indiana Area State College   State College
Knoch State College   State College
Latrobe State College   State College
Mars Area Mars Area   Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C State College insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) State College
Moon Area State College   State College
Mount Lebanon Mount Lebanon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny North Allegheny tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) North Allegheny
North Catholic State College   State College
North Hills State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Norwin State College   State College
Penn-Trafford State College   State College
Peters Township State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Pine Richland State College insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) State College
Plum State College   State College
Quaker Valley State College   State College
Seneca Valley State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Seton LaSalle State College   State College
Sewickley Academy State College   State College
Shady Side Academy Shady Side Academy Shady Side Academy  
Shaler Area State College   State College
South Fayette State College   State College
Taylor Allderdice State College   State College
Trinity Area State College   State College
Upper St Clair Upper St Clair tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Upper St Clair
West Allegheny State College   State College
Winchester Thurston State College   State College
Abington Heights State College   State College
Bellefonte State College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) State College
Berks Catholic State College   State College
Bishop McDevitt State College   State College
Carlisle State College State College  
Cedar Cliff State College State College  
Cedar Crest State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Central Dauphin State College State College  
Central Dauphin East State College State College  
Central York Central York Central York  
Chambersburg State College State College  
Cocalico State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Conestoga Valley State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Conrad Weiser State College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) State College
Crestwood State College   State College
Cumberland Valley State College tied - ( 7- 1) ( 7- 1) State College
Dallas State College   State College
Dallastown State College insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) State College
Daniel Boone State College   State College
Danville Area State College insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) State College
Delaware Valley State College   State College
Delone Catholic State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Dover Area State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Eastern York State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Elizabethtown State College insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) State College
Ephrata State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Exeter Township State College insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) State College
Garden Spot State College   State College
Gettysburg State College   State College
Governor Mifflin State College   State College
Hempfield State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Hershey State College   State College
Kennard-Dale State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Lake-Lehman State College   State College
Lakeland State College   State College
Lampeter-Strasburg State College insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) State College
Lancaster CDS State College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) State College
Lewisburg State College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) State College
Lower Dauphin State College   State College
Manheim Township Manheim Township Manheim Township  
Mechanicsburg State College State College  
Mifflin County State College State College  
Mifflinburg State College   State College
Muhlenberg State College insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) State College
New Oxford State College insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) State College
North Pocono State College   State College
Northern York State College   State College
Palmyra State College   State College
Penn Manor State College insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 2) State College
Red Land State College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) State College
Red Lion State College insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) State College
Schuylkill Valley State College   State College
Scranton Prep State College   State College
Selinsgrove State College   State College
South-Western State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Spring Grove State College insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) State College
Susquehannock State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Trinity HS Trinity HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Trinity HS
Tunkhannock State College   State College
Twin Valley Twin Valley   Twin Valley
Warwick State College   State College
West York State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
Wilkes-Barre Area State College   State College
Wilson West Lawn Wilson West Lawn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area State College   State College
Wyoming Seminary State College   State College
Wyomissing State College   State College
York Catholic State College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) State College
York Suburban State College tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) State College

PowerWise = 184


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Central Dauphi  (14- 6, 85.3)    15- 7      -14.60      19.74      -0.20         0.79            15.35
   0 A Central Dauphi  ( 3-14, 75.8)    20- 4      -24.13      10.20       0.20         0.79             8.18
   0 H Mifflin County  ( 1-17, 74.7)    20- 2      -25.18       9.16      -0.20         0.79             7.04
   0 A Carlisle        ( 7- 9, 79.3)    20- 3      -20.58      13.76       0.20         0.79            10.97
   0 A Chambersburg    ( 8-10, 79.6)    19- 8      -20.28      14.06       0.20         0.79            11.21
   0 H Cedar Cliff     ( 2-16, 75.1)    19- 2      -24.82       9.51      -0.20         0.79             7.32
   0 A Central York    (19- 4, 89.5)     8-10      -10.44      23.90       0.20         0.79            -8.04
   0 H Cumberland Val  (16- 4, 88.0)    11-14      -11.94      22.39      -0.20         0.79            -9.55
   0 H Manheim Townsh  (19- 4, 92.1)    13-14       -7.77      26.57      -0.20         0.79            -6.26
   0 A Central Dauphi  (14- 6, 85.3)    13- 9      -14.60      19.74       0.20         0.79            15.68
   0 H Central Dauphi  ( 3-14, 75.8)    16- 0      -24.13      10.20      -0.20         0.79             7.86
   0 A Mechanicsburg   (14- 6, 84.8)    10- 6      -15.10      19.24       0.20         0.79            15.28
   0 A Mifflin County  ( 1-17, 74.7)    18- 2      -25.18       9.16       0.20         0.79             7.36
   0 H Carlisle        ( 7- 9, 79.3)    19- 6      -20.58      13.76      -0.20         0.79            10.65
   0 H Chambersburg    ( 8-10, 79.6)    19- 6      -20.28      14.06      -0.20         0.79            10.89
   0 A Cedar Cliff     ( 2-16, 75.1)    20- 5      -24.82       9.51       0.20         0.79             7.64
   0 H Mechanicsburg   (14- 6, 84.8)    17- 8      -15.10      19.24      -0.20         0.79            14.96
   0 A Cumberland Val  (16- 4, 88.0)    18-12      -11.94      22.39       0.20         0.79            17.76
   0 N Erie-McDowell   ( 8- 4, 80.3)    16- 3      -19.59      14.75      -0.00         0.79            11.59
   0 H Shady Side Aca  (11- 7, 92.3)     9-11       -7.56      26.77      -0.20         0.79            -6.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       149.77

winning pts = 179.7294 losing points = -29.9595

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------