All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.2399979 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Smithtown West ( 7-10, 83.9) 16- 4 409 H Greenwich HS (11- 7, 88.3) 5- 7 415 H Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 69.3) 24- 1 417 H Ridgefield (17- 4, 95.6) 10- 6 419 H New Fairfield (21- 2, 84.2) 16- 3 422 A Archbishop Stepinac ( 5-12, 83.3) 17- 6 424 A New Canaan (18- 3, 96.0) 7- 6 426 A St Johns Prep Danvers (22- 1, 90.9) 12- 6 429 A St Joseph Trumbull (15- 6, 87.4) 14- 6 501 A Brunswick School (14- 3, 98.6) 5- 6 503 H Bishop Guertin (17- 4, 87.6) 12- 7 506 A Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 6, 87.1) 15- 6 508 A Wilton ( 5-12, 89.3) 11- 6 510 A St Anthonys (13- 4, 98.4) 8-10 513 H Danbury ( 2-13, 56.0) 24- 2 519 H Darien (13- 8, 95.0) 6- 9 523 H Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 6, 87.1) 16- 2 527 N Ridgefield (17- 4, 95.6) 9-11 604 H Norwich Free Academy ( 7- 9, 61.4) 24- 0 607 H Greenwich HS (11- 7, 88.3) 10- 2 610 N Ridgefield (17- 4, 95.6) 10- 9 614 N Darien (13- 8, 95.0) 7- 6
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Smithtown West 16- 4 12 10 n/a 409 H Greenwich HS 5- 7 -2 7 --- -9.00 415 H Brien McMahon 24- 1 23 26 0.00 417 H Ridgefield 10- 6 4 0 + 3.73 419 H New Fairfield 16- 3 13 11 0.00 422 A Archbishop Stepinac 17- 6 11 11 n/a 424 A New Canaan 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.41 426 A St Johns Prep Danvers 12- 6 6 3 n/a 429 A St Joseph Trumbull 14- 6 8 7 0.00 501 A Brunswick School 5- 6 -1 -3 n/a 503 H Bishop Guertin 12- 7 5 8 n/a 506 A Fairfield Ludlowe 15- 6 9 7 0.00 508 A Wilton 11- 6 5 5 -0.33 510 A St Anthonys 8-10 -2 -3 n/a 513 H Danbury 24- 2 22 39 0.00 519 H Darien 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.87 523 H Fairfield Ludlowe 16- 2 14 8 0.00 527 N Ridgefield 9-11 -2 0 -1.63 604 H Norwich Free Academy 24- 0 24 34 0.00 607 H Greenwich HS 10- 2 8 7 0.00 610 N Ridgefield 10- 9 1 0 1.37 614 N Darien 7- 6 1 0 0.77UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Greenwich HS 5- 7 -2 7 --- -9.00 503 H Bishop Guertin 12- 7 5 8 - 519 H Darien 6- 9 -3 0 - -3.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Ridgefield 10- 6 4 0 + 3.73 424 A New Canaan 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.41 426 A St Johns Prep Danvers 12- 6 6 3 + 501 A Brunswick School 5- 6 -1 -3 +
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.24 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 72.65 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6410 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 19 RPI Rating............... .6927 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 16.0 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 24 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 210. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 160. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 2 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 5.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3