---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Spanish Springs 1
  
Spanish Springs       
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 94.3743

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 305 H Truckee/North Tahoe ( 9- 4, 96.5) 12-11 310 A Galena ( 6- 8, 91.1) 16- 5 324 A Douglas ( 8- 6, 87.6) 16- 2 404 H Reed ( 1-11, 81.3) 19- 0 409 A Truckee/North Tahoe ( 9- 4, 96.5) 6-10 415 H Bishop Manogue (15- 2, 99.5) 4-10 417 H Galena ( 6- 8, 91.1) 11- 9 424 A Damonte Ranch ( 0-11, 76.0) 18- 0 425 A McQueen ( 7- 7, 87.9) 16- 2 501 H Reno ( 5- 8, 85.6) 18- 2 507 A Bishop Manogue (15- 2, 99.5) 4-12 509 A Truckee/North Tahoe ( 9- 4, 96.5) 10-17 512 H McQueen ( 7- 7, 87.9) 15- 3 514 H Galena ( 6- 8, 91.1) 19- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Truckee/North Tahoe    12-11       1    -1    +      2.45
   310 A Galena                 16- 5      11     3    +      2.40
   324 A Douglas                16- 2      14     6           0.00
   404 H Reed                   19- 0      19    14           0.00
   409 A Truckee/North Tahoe     6-10      -4    -3          -1.26
   415 H Bishop Manogue          4-10      -6    -4          -0.55
   417 H Galena                 11- 9       2     4          -1.89
   424 A Damonte Ranch          18- 0      18    18           0.00
   425 A McQueen                16- 2      14     6           0.00
   501 H Reno                   18- 2      16     9           0.00
   507 A Bishop Manogue          4-12      -8    -6           0.00
   509 A Truckee/North Tahoe    10-17      -7    -3    -     -2.26
   512 H McQueen                15- 3      12     7           0.00
   514 H Galena                 19- 8      11     4           1.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Truckee/North Tahoe    10-17      -7    -3    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Truckee/North Tahoe    12-11       1    -1    +      2.45
   310 A Galena                 16- 5      11     3    +      2.40

Spanish Springs Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bishop Gorman Bishop Gorman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Gorman
Bishop Manogue Bishop Manogue Bishop Manogue  
Centennial Spanish Springs   Spanish Springs
Clark County Spanish Springs   Spanish Springs
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Damonte Ranch Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Douglas Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Faith Lutheran Faith Lutheran tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Faith Lutheran
Foothill Hendersonvi Spanish Springs   Spanish Springs
Galena Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
McQueen Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Palo Verde Palo Verde insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Palo Verde
Reed Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Reno Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Truckee/North Tahoe Truckee/North Tahoe Truckee/North Tahoe  

PowerWise = 9


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.38

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Truckee/North   ( 9- 4, 96.5)    12-11       -3.43      20.46      -0.64         0.81            16.10
   0 A Galena          ( 6- 8, 91.1)    16- 5       -8.77      15.12       0.64         0.81            12.81
   0 A Douglas         ( 8- 6, 87.6)    16- 2      -12.30      11.59       0.64         0.81             9.94
   0 H Reed            ( 1-11, 81.3)    19- 0      -18.56       5.33      -0.64         0.81             3.81
   0 A Truckee/North   ( 9- 4, 96.5)     6-10       -3.43      20.46       0.64         0.81            -2.26
   0 H Bishop Manogue  (15- 2, 99.5)     4-10       -0.43      23.47      -0.64         0.81            -0.87
   0 H Galena          ( 6- 8, 91.1)    11- 9       -8.77      15.12      -0.64         0.81            11.76
   0 A Damonte Ranch   ( 0-11, 76.0)    18- 0      -23.89       1.00       0.64         0.81             1.34
   0 A McQueen         ( 7- 7, 87.9)    16- 2      -11.99      11.90       0.64         0.81            10.19
   0 H Reno            ( 5- 8, 85.6)    18- 2      -14.33       9.57      -0.64         0.81             7.25
   0 A Bishop Manogue  (15- 2, 99.5)     4-12       -0.43      23.47       0.64         0.81            -0.18
   0 A Truckee/North   ( 9- 4, 96.5)    10-17       -3.43      20.46       0.64         0.81            -2.26
   0 H McQueen         ( 7- 7, 87.9)    15- 3      -11.99      11.90      -0.64         0.81             9.15
   0 H Galena          ( 6- 8, 91.1)    19- 8       -8.77      15.12      -0.64         0.81            11.76
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        88.54

winning pts = 94.1134 losing points = -5.5716

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------