---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Sault Area 1
  
Sault Area            
W-L: ( 0- 5) PR = 77.6476

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 3-12 426 A Bay City Central (10- 6, 79.7) 4- 5 506 H Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 4-10 509 A Jenison (13- 7, 85.3) 8-19 510 A Fenton ( 9- 9, 80.6) 6-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Petoskey                3-12      -9    -9           0.00
   426 A Bay City Central        4- 5      -1    -3           1.56
   506 H Petoskey                4-10      -6    -8           0.00
   509 A Jenison                 8-19     -11    -8           0.00
   510 A Fenton                  6-15      -9    -3          -1.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Sault Area Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Sault Area   Sault Area
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay   Anchor Bay
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills Sault Area   Sault Area
Ann Arbor Huron Sault Area   Sault Area
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   Ann Arbor Skyline
Bay City Central Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bay City John Glenn
Bay City Western Bay City Western tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bay City Western
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Belleville
Birmingham United Birmingham United   Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Sault Area   Sault Area
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Sault Area   Sault Area
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Cadillac Cadillac tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech Sault Area   Sault Area
Chelsea Sault Area tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sault Area
Chippewa Valley Sault Area   Sault Area
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville   Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Sault Area insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sault Area
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Sault Area tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Sault Area
East Lansing East Lansing   East Lansing
Farmington Sault Area   Sault Area
Fenton Fenton Fenton  
Flint Powers Flint Powers Flint Powers   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Goodrich/Lake Fenton
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grandville
Grosse Ile Sault Area   Sault Area
Grosse Pointe North Sault Area   Sault Area
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland   Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston   Haslett-Williamston
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt   Holt
Howell Howell   Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jackson Sault Area   Sault Area
Jenison Jenison Jenison  
Kalamazoo United Kalamazoo United   Kalamazoo United
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse Sault Area tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sault Area
L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North   L'Anse Creuse North
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview   Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Lapeer insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lapeer
Lincoln Ypsilanti Sault Area   Sault Area
Linden Linden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Linden
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Sault Area tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Sault Area
Midland Dow Midland Dow Midland Dow   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mona Shores
Northview Northview tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northview
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos   Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ortonville Brandon
Oxford Oxford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oxford
Pennfield Sault Area   Sault Area
Petoskey Petoskey Petoskey  
Pinckney Sault Area   Sault Area
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Port Huron United Sault Area   Sault Area
Portage Central Portage Central   Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS   Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Romeo Romeo   Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Royal Oak Shrine   Royal Oak Shrine
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem   Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair Sault Area   Sault Area
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Sault Area tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sault Area
St Mary Catholic Cen Sault Area   Sault Area
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Swartz Creek
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City West
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Troy Athens
University Detroit J University Detroit J   University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waterford United
West Bloomfield Sault Area tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Sault Area
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PowerWise = 24


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Petoskey        (11- 4, 85.7)     3-12      -14.23      18.08       0.50         3.21           -44.11
   0 A Bay City Centr  (10- 6, 79.7)     4- 5      -20.19      12.12       0.50         3.21           -63.24
   0 H Petoskey        (11- 4, 85.7)     4-10      -14.23      18.08      -0.50         3.21           -47.30
   0 A Jenison         (13- 7, 85.3)     8-19      -14.64      17.67       0.50         3.21           -45.42
   0 A Fenton          ( 9- 9, 80.6)     6-15      -19.32      12.99       0.50         3.21           -60.46
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -260.52

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -260.5240

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------