---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys South River 1
  
South River           
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 91.4773

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Arundel ( 3-12, 79.9) 14- 3 322 H Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 9- 8 325 A Mount Hebron ( 6- 8, 85.9) 10- 3 328 A North County ( 7- 8, 83.4) 11- 2 401 H Marriotts Ridge (11- 6, 88.8) 11- 5 404 H Broadneck (12- 3, 93.1) 6- 5 410 H Northeast AA (10- 4, 85.2) 13- 3 423 H Severna Park (17- 1, 94.4) 5- 7 425 A Southern AA ( 3-11, 80.1) 19- 1 429 A Crofton (10- 4, 89.8) 12- 8 430 H Northern Calvert (10- 4, 87.8) 9- 6 502 A Chesapeake AA (13- 4, 87.9) 4- 5 509 H Crofton (10- 4, 89.8) 8- 6 512 A Severna Park (17- 1, 94.4) 5-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Arundel                14- 3      11    12           0.00
   322 H Fallston                9- 8       1     1          -0.09
   325 A Mount Hebron           10- 3       7     5           0.00
   328 A North County           11- 2       9     8           0.00
   401 H Marriotts Ridge        11- 5       6     3           1.90
   404 H Broadneck               6- 5       1    -1    +      2.13
   410 H Northeast AA           13- 3      10     7           0.00
   423 H Severna Park            5- 7      -2    -2           0.45
   425 A Southern AA            19- 1      18    11           0.00
   429 A Crofton                12- 8       4     1    +      2.72
   430 H Northern Calvert        9- 6       3     4          -1.08
   502 A Chesapeake  AA          4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.10
   509 H Crofton                 8- 6       2     2          -0.17
   512 A Severna Park            5-15     -10    -3          -1.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Chesapeake  AA          4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Broadneck               6- 5       1    -1    +      2.13
   429 A Crofton                12- 8       4     1    +      2.72

South River Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris South River   South River
Archbishop Curley South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh South River   South River
Bishop McNamara South River   South River
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian South River   South River
Concordia Prep South River   South River
Cristo Rey Jesuit South River   South River
DeMatha DeMatha tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) DeMatha
FCA LC South River   South River
Friends South River   South River
Garrett County LC South River   South River
Georgetown Day South River   South River
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy South River   South River
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country South River   South River
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School South River   South River
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School South River   South River
Jemicy School South River   South River
John Carroll South River   South River
Key School South River   South River
Landon Landon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret South River   South River
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy South River   South River
Mount Carmel South River   South River
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School South River   South River
Salisbury School South River   South River
Sandy Spring Friends South River   South River
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends South River   South River
St Albans South River   South River
St Andrews Episcopal South River   South River
St James South River   South River
St Johns Catholic Pr South River   South River
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti South River   South River
Sts Peter & Paul South River   South River
Tome School South River   South River
Worcester Prep South River   South River
Aberdeen South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Academy for College South River   South River
Annapolis South River South River   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Arundel South River South River  
Atholton South River South River   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Baltimore Polytechni South River   South River
Bel Air South River insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) South River
Bethesda-Chevy Chase South River   South River
Bladensburg South River   South River
Blair South River   South River
Blake South River   South River
Bohemia Manor South River   South River
Boonsboro South River   South River
Bowie South River   South River
Broadneck South River South River  
Brunswick South River   South River
Calvert South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Cambridge SD South River insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) South River
Carver A&T South River   South River
Catoctin South River   South River
Catonsville South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Centennial South River South River   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Century South River   South River
CH Flowers South River   South River
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Chesapeake BC South River   South River
Chopticon South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
City College South River   South River
Clarksburg South River   South River
CM Wright South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Crofton South River South River  
Damascus South River   South River
Digital Harbor South River   South River
Dr Henry Wise South River   South River
Dulaney South River   South River
Dunbar South River   South River
Dundalk South River   South River
DuVal South River   South River
Eastern Tech South River   South River
Easton South River   South River
Edgewood South River   South River
Edmondson-Westside South River   South River
Einstein South River   South River
Eleanor Roosevelt South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Elkton South River   South River
Fairmont Heights South River   South River
Fallston South River South River  
Forest Park South River   South River
Francis Scott Key South River   South River
Franklin South River   South River
Frederick South River   South River
Frederick Douglass B South River   South River
Frederick Douglass P South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Friendly South River   South River
Gaithersburg South River   South River
Glen Burnie South River South River   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Glenelg HS South River insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) South River
Gov Thomas Johnson South River   South River
Great Mills South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Guilford Park South River   South River
Gwynn Park South River   South River
Hammond South River   South River
Harford Tech South River   South River
Havre De Grace South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Hereford South River insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) South River
High Point South River   South River
Howard South River insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) South River
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Huntingtown
JM Bennett South River   South River
Joppatowne South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Kennedy South River   South River
Kent County South River   South River
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood South River   South River
La Plata South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Lackey South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Lake Clifton South River   South River
Lansdowne South River   South River
Laurel South River   South River
Leonardtown South River insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) South River
Liberty South River South River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Linganore South River tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South River
Loch Raven South River   South River
Long Reach South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Magruder South River   South River
Manchester Valley South River   South River
Marriotts Ridge South River South River  
Meade South River South River   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Mergenthaler South River   South River
Middletown South River tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South River
Milford Mill South River   South River
MJ McDonough South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Mount Hebron South River South River  
National Academy Fou South River   South River
New Town South River   South River
North Caroline South River   South River
North County South River South River  
North Dorchester South River   South River
North East Cecil South River   South River
North Hagerstown South River   South River
North Harford South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
North Point South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Northeast AA South River South River  
Northern Calvert South River South River  
Northwest South River   South River
Northwestern PG South River   South River
Northwood South River   South River
Oakdale South River   South River
Oakland Mills South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Old Mill South River South River   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Overlea South River   South River
Owings Mills South River   South River
Oxon Hill South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Paint Branch South River   South River
Parkdale South River   South River
Parkside South River   South River
Parkville South River   South River
Patapsco South River   South River
Patterson HS South River   South River
Patterson Mill South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Patuxent South River   South River
Perry Hall South River   South River
Perryville South River South River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pikesville South River   South River
Poolesville South River   South River
Queen Annes County South River   South River
Quince Orchard South River   South River
Randallstown South River   South River
Reginald F Lewis South River   South River
Reservoir South River South River   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Richard Montgomery South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Rising Sun South River   South River
River Hill South River South River   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Rockville South River   South River
Seneca Valley South River   South River
Severn Run South River South River   5- 2 vs 0- 7
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park  
Sherwood South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Smithsburg South River   South River
South Carroll South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
South Hagerstown South River   South River
Southern AA South River South River  
Sparrows Point South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Springbrook South River   South River
St Charles South River   South River
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stephen Decatur
Suitland South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Surrattsville South River   South River
Thomas Stone South River   South River
Towson South River tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South River
Tuscarora South River   South River
Urbana Urbana tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville South River   South River
Walt Whitman South River   South River
Walter Johnson South River   South River
Watkins Mill South River   South River
Western STES South River   South River
Westlake South River insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South River
Westminster South River   South River
Wheaton South River   South River
Wicomico South River   South River
Wilde Lake South River South River   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Winston Churchill South River   South River
Winters Mill South River   South River
Woodlawn South River   South River
Wootton South River   South River
Archbishop Carroll South River   South River
DC International PCS South River   South River
Jackson Reed South River   South River

PowerWise = 196


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Arundel         ( 3-12, 79.9)    14- 3      -19.97      15.62      -0.45         0.87            13.15
   0 H Fallston        (18- 3, 90.8)     9- 8       -9.06      26.53      -0.45         0.87            22.61
   0 A Mount Hebron    ( 6- 8, 85.9)    10- 3      -14.04      21.56       0.45         0.87            19.07
   0 A North County    ( 7- 8, 83.4)    11- 2      -16.45      19.14       0.45         0.87            16.98
   0 H Marriotts Ridg  (11- 6, 88.8)    11- 5      -11.08      24.52      -0.45         0.87            20.87
   0 H Broadneck       (12- 3, 93.1)     6- 5       -6.84      28.75      -0.45         0.87            24.53
   0 H Northeast AA    (10- 4, 85.2)    13- 3      -14.68      20.91      -0.45         0.87            17.74
   0 H Severna Park    (17- 1, 94.4)     5- 7       -5.52      30.07      -0.45         0.87            -5.17
   0 A Southern AA     ( 3-11, 80.1)    19- 1      -19.84      15.75       0.45         0.87            14.04
   0 A Crofton         (10- 4, 89.8)    12- 8      -10.15      25.45       0.45         0.87            22.44
   0 H Northern Calve  (10- 4, 87.8)     9- 6      -12.06      23.53      -0.45         0.87            20.01
   0 A Chesapeake  AA  (13- 4, 87.9)     4- 5      -11.96      23.63       0.45         0.87            -9.98
   0 H Crofton         (10- 4, 89.8)     8- 6      -10.15      25.45      -0.45         0.87            21.67
   0 A Severna Park    (17- 1, 94.4)     5-15       -5.52      30.07       0.45         0.87            -4.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       193.56

winning pts = 213.1177 losing points = -19.5579

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------