St Paul/Two Rivers
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 88.7520
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
411 H Hermantown/Proctor ( 6- 6, 87.7) 11- 7
415 H Breck School ( 6- 7, 86.4) 13- 4
418 H Waconia ( 6- 9, 87.7) 7- 6
422 H Hastings ( 7- 7, 89.1) 10- 6
425 A Hill-Murray (13- 1, 94.0) 5-11
430 H Bloomington Kennedy/ ( 4-10, 83.8) 12- 3
506 A Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 2-12
509 H Simley ( 1-12, 84.2) 9- 7
510 A St Thomas Academy (12- 3, 94.8) 0- 1
514 H Providence Academy ( 7- 7, 86.3) 7- 8
517 H Blake School ( 5-10, 85.8) 7- 4
521 H TriMAC Academy ( 2-11, 85.6) 9- 5
522 A Minneapolis United ( 8- 5, 87.6) 4- 6
529 A Cretin-Derham Hall (10- 5, 94.6) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Hermantown/Proctor 11- 7 4 2 + 2.20
415 H Breck School 13- 4 9 3 1.92
418 H Waconia 7- 6 1 2 -0.80
422 H Hastings 10- 6 4 0 + 3.62
425 A Hill-Murray 5-11 -6 -6 0.00
430 H Bloomington Kennedy/ 12- 3 9 6 0.00
506 A Mahtomedi 2-12 -10 -6 0.00
509 H Simley 9- 7 2 5 - -3.00
514 H Providence Academy 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.22
517 H Blake School 7- 4 3 4 -0.72
521 H TriMAC Academy 9- 5 4 4 0.07
522 A Minneapolis United 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.39
529 A Cretin-Derham Hall 4- 7 -3 -7 + 2.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
514 H Providence Academy 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.22
509 H Simley 9- 7 2 5 - -3.00
522 A Minneapolis United 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.39
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Hermantown/Proctor 11- 7 4 2 + 2.20
422 H Hastings 10- 6 4 0 + 3.62
529 A Cretin-Derham Hall 4- 7 -3 -7 + 2.00
|
St Paul/Two Rivers Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Andover |
Andover |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Andover |
Anoka |
Anoka |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Anoka |
Becker |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Benilde-St Margarets |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Big Lake/Princeton |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
 
| St Paul/Two Rivers |
Blaine |
Blaine |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Blaine |
Blake School |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
 
| |
Bloomington Jefferso |
Bloomington Jefferso |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Bloomington Jefferso |
Bloomington Kennedy/ |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
 
| |
Brainerd |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
 
| St Paul/Two Rivers |
Breck School |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
 
| |
Buffalo |
Buffalo |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Buffalo |
Centennial |
Centennial |
|
 
| Centennial |
Champlin Park |
Champlin Park |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Champlin Park |
Chanhassen |
Chanhassen |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Chanhassen |
Chaska |
Chaska |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Chaska |
Chisago Lakes |
Chisago Lakes |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Chisago Lakes |
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
 
| |
Delano/Rockford |
Delano/Rockford |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Delano/Rockford |
Duluth East/Denfield |
Duluth East/Denfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Duluth East/Denfield |
Duluth Marshall |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
St Paul/Two Rivers   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Eagan |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
East Ridge |
East Ridge |
|
East Ridge   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Eastview/Apple Valle |
Eastview/Apple Valle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Eastview/Apple Valle |
Eden Prairie |
Eden Prairie |
|
 
| Eden Prairie |
Edina |
Edina |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Edina |
Elk River/Zimmerman |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
 
| St Paul/Two Rivers |
Farmington |
Farmington |
|
 
| Farmington |
Forest Lake |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Grand Rapids/Greenwa |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Hastings |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
 
| |
Hermantown/Proctor |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
 
| |
Hill-Murray |
Hill-Murray |
Hill-Murray |
 
| |
Holy Angels |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
St Paul/Two Rivers   5- 3 vs 1- 7 |
|
Holy Family Catholic |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
St Paul/Two Rivers   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Hopkins/St Louis Par |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Hutchinson |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Irondale |
Irondale |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Irondale |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville North |
|
 
| Lakeville North |
Lakeville South |
Lakeville South |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Lakeville South |
Mahtomedi |
Mahtomedi |
Mahtomedi |
 
| |
Mankato United |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Maple Grove |
Maple Grove |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Maple Grove |
Minneapolis United |
Minneapolis United |
Minneapolis United |
 
| |
Minnetonka |
Minnetonka |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Minnetonka |
Monticello |
Monticello |
|
 
| Monticello |
Moorhead |
Moorhead |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Moorhead |
Mound Westonka |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Mounds View |
Mounds View |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Mounds View |
New Prague |
New Prague |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
New Prague |
Northfield |
Northfield |
|
 
| Northfield |
Orono |
Orono |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Orono |
Osseo/Park Center |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
St Paul/Two Rivers   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Owatonna |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Park Cottage Grove |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Prior Lake |
Prior Lake |
|
 
| Prior Lake |
Providence Academy |
Providence Academy |
Providence Academy |
 
|
Robbinsdale Armstron |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Rochester United |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Rocori |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Rogers |
Rogers |
|
 
| Rogers |
Rosemount |
Rosemount |
|
 
| Rosemount |
Roseville |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Sartell/Sauk Rapids |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Shakopee |
Shakopee |
|
 
| Shakopee |
Simley |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
 
| |
Southwest Christian |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
St Cloud Unified |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Michael-Albertvil |
St Michael-Albertvil |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
St Michael-Albertvil |
St Thomas Academy |
St Thomas Academy |
St Thomas Academy |
 
| |
Stillwater |
Stillwater |
|
Stillwater   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Totino Grace |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
|
St Paul/Two Rivers   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
TriMAC Academy |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
 
| |
Waconia |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
 
| |
Wayzata |
Wayzata |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Wayzata |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
|
White Bear Lake   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Woodbury |
Woodbury |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Woodbury |
PowerWise = 32

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Hermantown/Pro ( 6- 6, 87.7) 11- 7 -12.21 12.86 -0.74 1.04 12.66
0 H Breck School ( 6- 7, 86.4) 13- 4 -13.49 11.58 -0.74 1.04 11.32
0 H Waconia ( 6- 9, 87.7) 7- 6 -12.21 12.86 -0.74 1.04 12.66
0 H Hastings ( 7- 7, 89.1) 10- 6 -10.79 14.28 -0.74 1.04 14.14
0 A Hill-Murray (13- 1, 94.0) 5-11 -5.91 19.16 0.74 1.04 -5.40
0 H Bloomington Ke ( 4-10, 83.8) 12- 3 -16.11 8.96 -0.74 1.04 8.58
0 A Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 2-12 -6.28 18.78 0.74 1.04 -5.79
0 H Simley ( 1-12, 84.2) 9- 7 -15.72 9.34 -0.74 1.04 8.99
0 A St Thomas Acad (12- 3, 94.8) 0- 1 -5.08 19.99 0.74 1.04 -4.54
0 H Providence Aca ( 7- 7, 86.3) 7- 8 -13.63 11.44 -0.74 1.04 -15.01
0 H Blake School ( 5-10, 85.8) 7- 4 -14.13 10.94 -0.74 1.04 10.65
0 H TriMAC Academy ( 2-11, 85.6) 9- 5 -14.34 10.73 -0.74 1.04 10.43
0 A Minneapolis Un ( 8- 5, 87.6) 4- 6 -12.27 12.79 0.74 1.04 -12.05
0 A Cretin-Derham (10- 5, 94.6) 4- 7 -5.26 19.81 0.74 1.04 -4.72
------
41.95
|
winning pts = 89.4478 losing points = -47.5025
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------