---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys St Paul/Two Rivers 1
  
St Paul/Two Rivers    
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 88.7520

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H Hermantown/Proctor ( 6- 6, 87.7) 11- 7 415 H Breck School ( 6- 7, 86.4) 13- 4 418 H Waconia ( 6- 9, 87.7) 7- 6 422 H Hastings ( 7- 7, 89.1) 10- 6 425 A Hill-Murray (13- 1, 94.0) 5-11 430 H Bloomington Kennedy/ ( 4-10, 83.8) 12- 3 506 A Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 2-12 509 H Simley ( 1-12, 84.2) 9- 7 510 A St Thomas Academy (12- 3, 94.8) 0- 1 514 H Providence Academy ( 7- 7, 86.3) 7- 8 517 H Blake School ( 5-10, 85.8) 7- 4 521 H TriMAC Academy ( 2-11, 85.6) 9- 5 522 A Minneapolis United ( 8- 5, 87.6) 4- 6 529 A Cretin-Derham Hall (10- 5, 94.6) 4- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Hermantown/Proctor     11- 7       4     2    +      2.20
   415 H Breck School           13- 4       9     3           1.92
   418 H Waconia                 7- 6       1     2          -0.80
   422 H Hastings               10- 6       4     0    +      3.62
   425 A Hill-Murray             5-11      -6    -6           0.00
   430 H Bloomington Kennedy/   12- 3       9     6           0.00
   506 A Mahtomedi               2-12     -10    -6           0.00
   509 H Simley                  9- 7       2     5    -     -3.00
   514 H Providence Academy      7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.22
   517 H Blake School            7- 4       3     4          -0.72
   521 H TriMAC Academy          9- 5       4     4           0.07
   522 A Minneapolis United      4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.39
   529 A Cretin-Derham Hall      4- 7      -3    -7    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Providence Academy      7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.22
   509 H Simley                  9- 7       2     5    -     -3.00
   522 A Minneapolis United      4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Hermantown/Proctor     11- 7       4     2    +      2.20
   422 H Hastings               10- 6       4     0    +      3.62
   529 A Cretin-Derham Hall      4- 7      -3    -7    +      2.00

St Paul/Two Rivers Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Andover
Anoka Anoka tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Anoka
Becker St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake/Princeton St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Blaine Blaine tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Blaine
Blake School St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Bloomington Jefferso Bloomington Jefferso tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bloomington Jefferso
Bloomington Kennedy/ St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Brainerd St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Breck School St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Buffalo Buffalo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Buffalo
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) St Paul/Two Rivers
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall  
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Delano/Rockford
Duluth East/Denfield Duluth East/Denfield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Duluth East/Denfield
Duluth Marshall St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eagan St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) St Paul/Two Rivers
East Ridge East Ridge East Ridge   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Eastview/Apple Valle Eastview/Apple Valle insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Eastview/Apple Valle
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie   Eden Prairie
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Forest Lake St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Grand Rapids/Greenwa St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Hastings St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Hermantown/Proctor St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray Hill-Murray  
Holy Angels St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers   5- 3 vs 1- 7
Holy Family Catholic St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hopkins/St Louis Par St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Hutchinson St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Irondale Irondale tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Irondale
Lakeville North Lakeville North   Lakeville North
Lakeville South Lakeville South tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mahtomedi  
Mankato United St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Maple Grove Maple Grove tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Maple Grove
Minneapolis United Minneapolis United Minneapolis United  
Minnetonka Minnetonka tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Minnetonka
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Moorhead Moorhead tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Moorhead
Mound Westonka St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Mounds View Mounds View insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mounds View
New Prague New Prague tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) New Prague
Northfield Northfield   Northfield
Orono Orono tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Orono
Osseo/Park Center St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Owatonna Owatonna   Owatonna
Park Cottage Grove Park Cottage Grove insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) Park Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake   Prior Lake
Providence Academy Providence Academy Providence Academy  
Robbinsdale Armstron St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Paul/Two Rivers
Rochester United St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Rocori St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Rogers Rogers   Rogers
Rosemount Rosemount   Rosemount
Roseville St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) St Paul/Two Rivers
Sartell/Sauk Rapids St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Paul/Two Rivers
Shakopee Shakopee   Shakopee
Simley St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Southwest Christian St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Paul/Two Rivers
Spring Lake Park/Coo Spring Lake Park/Coo tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Spring Lake Park/Coo
St Cloud Unified St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
St Michael-Albertvil St Michael-Albertvil insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) St Michael-Albertvil
St Thomas Academy St Thomas Academy St Thomas Academy  
Stillwater Stillwater Stillwater   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Totino Grace St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers   2- 0 vs 0- 2
TriMAC Academy St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Waconia St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Wayzata Wayzata insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake White Bear Lake   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Woodbury Woodbury tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Woodbury

PowerWise = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Hermantown/Pro  ( 6- 6, 87.7)    11- 7      -12.21      12.86      -0.74         1.04            12.66
   0 H Breck School    ( 6- 7, 86.4)    13- 4      -13.49      11.58      -0.74         1.04            11.32
   0 H Waconia         ( 6- 9, 87.7)     7- 6      -12.21      12.86      -0.74         1.04            12.66
   0 H Hastings        ( 7- 7, 89.1)    10- 6      -10.79      14.28      -0.74         1.04            14.14
   0 A Hill-Murray     (13- 1, 94.0)     5-11       -5.91      19.16       0.74         1.04            -5.40
   0 H Bloomington Ke  ( 4-10, 83.8)    12- 3      -16.11       8.96      -0.74         1.04             8.58
   0 A Mahtomedi       ( 9- 5, 93.6)     2-12       -6.28      18.78       0.74         1.04            -5.79
   0 H Simley          ( 1-12, 84.2)     9- 7      -15.72       9.34      -0.74         1.04             8.99
   0 A St Thomas Acad  (12- 3, 94.8)     0- 1       -5.08      19.99       0.74         1.04            -4.54
   0 H Providence Aca  ( 7- 7, 86.3)     7- 8      -13.63      11.44      -0.74         1.04           -15.01
   0 H Blake School    ( 5-10, 85.8)     7- 4      -14.13      10.94      -0.74         1.04            10.65
   0 H TriMAC Academy  ( 2-11, 85.6)     9- 5      -14.34      10.73      -0.74         1.04            10.43
   0 A Minneapolis Un  ( 8- 5, 87.6)     4- 6      -12.27      12.79       0.74         1.04           -12.05
   0 A Cretin-Derham   (10- 5, 94.6)     4- 7       -5.26      19.81       0.74         1.04            -4.72
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        41.95

winning pts = 89.4478 losing points = -47.5025

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------