South Lakes
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 84.2713Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Herndon ( 8- 4, 89.9) 2- 9 319 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 7- 9 321 H Washington-Liberty (10- 6, 89.3) 4-10 328 H Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 18- 3 401 H Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 2-16 404 A Kellam (16- 3, 87.2) 2-19 405 A Ocean Lakes ( 8- 7, 78.5) 12- 5 412 N Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 16- 3 414 N South County ( 9- 9, 86.0) 7-11 423 H West Springfield ( 0-14, 83.3) 7- 2 425 A Centreville ( 2- 8, 86.1) 9-11 426 N Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 5- 8 501 H Westfield ( 6-12, 86.0) 5- 6 507 A Madison (15- 1, 94.0) 3- 9 512 H Chantilly ( 9- 5, 90.3) 9-18 515 A Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 1-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Herndon 2- 9 -7 -6 0.00
319 A Hayfield 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.61
321 H Washington-Liberty 4-10 -6 -4 -0.53
328 H Annandale 18- 3 15 11 0.00
401 H Oakton 2-16 -14 -6 0.00
404 A Kellam 2-19 -17 -4 -1.42
405 A Ocean Lakes 12- 5 7 5 0.00
412 N Falls Church 16- 3 13 4 1.30
414 N South County 7-11 -4 -2 - -2.22
423 H West Springfield 7- 2 5 2 + 3.38
425 A Centreville 9-11 -2 -2 0.39
426 N Woodson 5- 8 -3 -3 -0.39
501 H Westfield 5- 6 -1 -1 0.16
507 A Madison 3- 9 -6 -10 0.00
512 H Chantilly 9-18 -9 -5 0.00
515 A Oakton 1-15 -14 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 N South County 7-11 -4 -2 - -2.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 H West Springfield 7- 2 5 2 + 3.38 |
South Lakes Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Alexandria City | |
| Annandale | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Battlefield | |
| Bayside | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Benedictine | Benedictine | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Benedictine | |
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Briar Woods | |
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cape Henry Collegiat | |
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Clover Hill | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Colgan | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | South Lakes | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Culpeper County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | South Lakes | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | South Lakes | |
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Fairfax | |
| Falls Church | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fauquier | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| First Colonial | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Fishburne Military A | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Forest Park | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Freedom South Ridin | |
| Freedom Woodbridge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gainesville | |
| Gar-field | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Glen Allen | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Goochland | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Grafton LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Grassfield LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Green Run | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Hidden Valley | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Highland School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Highland Springs | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Hylton | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | South Lakes | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Justice | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | South Lakes | |
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Kettle Run | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lafayette LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock 5- 3 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Landstown | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Langley | Langley | Langley 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Lewis | South Lakes | South Lakes 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lord Botetourt | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | South Lakes | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | South Lakes | |
| Massaponax | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Matoaca | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Maury LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean 6- 3 vs 0- 9 | ||
| Mechanicsville | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Menchville LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Midlothian | |
| Mills Godwin | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Monacan | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | South Lakes | |
| Mountain View | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | |
| New Covenant School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Norfolk Collegiate | South Lakes | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Lakes | |
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Orange County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Osbourn | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Osbourn Park | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Park View | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Powhatan | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Princess Anne | South Lakes | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Riverbend | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Riverside | |
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Rock Ridge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Rockbridge County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Seton School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Steward School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Tabb LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Tallwood | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Tandem Friends | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Thomas Dale | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | South Lakes | |
| Trinity Christian | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Tuscarora | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Unity Reed | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Veritas School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Virginia Academy | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Wakefield HS | South Lakes | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Wakefield School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| West Springfield | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| William Fleming | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown 4- 3 vs 1- 6 |
PowerWise = 103
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Herndon ( 8- 4, 89.9) 2- 9 -10.00 25.00 0.61 0.87 -8.18
0 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 7- 9 -14.85 20.15 0.61 0.87 -12.41
0 H Washington-Lib (10- 6, 89.3) 4-10 -10.55 24.45 -0.61 0.87 -9.73
0 H Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 18- 3 -25.71 9.29 -0.61 0.87 7.57
0 H Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 2-16 -9.09 25.92 -0.61 0.87 -8.45
0 A Kellam (16- 3, 87.2) 2-19 -12.65 22.35 0.61 0.87 -10.50
0 A Ocean Lakes ( 8- 7, 78.5) 12- 5 -21.43 13.57 0.61 0.87 12.36
0 N Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 16- 3 -19.32 15.68 -0.00 0.87 13.66
0 N South County ( 9- 9, 86.0) 7-11 -13.85 21.15 -0.00 0.87 -12.07
0 H West Springfie ( 0-14, 83.3) 7- 2 -16.64 18.36 -0.61 0.87 15.47
0 A Centreville ( 2- 8, 86.1) 9-11 -13.85 21.16 0.61 0.87 -11.54
0 N Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 5- 8 -13.02 21.99 -0.00 0.87 -11.34
0 H Westfield ( 6-12, 86.0) 5- 6 -13.86 21.14 -0.61 0.87 -12.61
0 A Madison (15- 1, 94.0) 3- 9 -5.91 29.10 0.61 0.87 -4.62
0 H Chantilly ( 9- 5, 90.3) 9-18 -9.58 25.42 -0.61 0.87 -8.88
0 A Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 1-15 -9.09 25.92 0.61 0.87 -7.39
------
-68.64
|
winning pts = 49.0592 losing points = -117.7004
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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