Southern AA
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 80.0562Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Chesapeake AA (13- 4, 87.9) 4-17 328 A Crofton (10- 4, 89.8) 3-19 401 A River Hill ( 8- 6, 83.5) 3- 8 404 H Arundel ( 3-12, 79.9) 10- 9 407 H Old Mill ( 4- 8, 80.5) 5- 4 409 A Annapolis ( 9- 4, 86.4) 5-17 411 A North County ( 7- 8, 83.4) 3-18 414 A Northeast AA (10- 4, 85.2) 3-13 417 N Leonardtown (14- 2, 88.2) 5-20 423 H Broadneck (12- 3, 93.1) 0-23 425 H South River (11- 3, 91.5) 1-19 429 A Severna Park (17- 1, 94.4) 1-27 502 H Severn Run ( 4-11, 76.9) 14- 2 509 A Cambridge SD ( 5- 8, 81.1) 7- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Chesapeake AA 4-17 -13 -8 0.00
328 A Crofton 3-19 -16 -10 0.00
401 A River Hill 3- 8 -5 -4 -1.09
404 H Arundel 10- 9 1 1 0.42
407 H Old Mill 5- 4 1 0 1.01
409 A Annapolis 5-17 -12 -7 0.00
411 A North County 3-18 -15 -4 -1.16
414 A Northeast AA 3-13 -10 -6 0.00
417 N Leonardtown 5-20 -15 -8 0.00
423 H Broadneck 0-23 -23 -13 0.00
425 H South River 1-19 -18 -11 0.00
429 A Severna Park 1-27 -26 -15 0.00
502 H Severn Run 14- 2 12 4 1.42
509 A Cambridge SD 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.52
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Southern AA Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Jemicy School | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Landon | Landon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Landon | |
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Academy for College | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Atholton | Southern AA | Southern AA 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Blair | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Calvert | |
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Centennial | |
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chopticon | |
| City College | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Clarksburg | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Easton | |
| Edgewood | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Einstein | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Elkton | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Fallston | |
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) | Glen Burnie | |
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Great Mills | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Guilford Park | Southern AA | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Southern AA | |
| Gwynn Park | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Hammond | Southern AA | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Southern AA | |
| Harford Tech | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Huntingtown | |
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | JM Bennett | |
| Joppatowne | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Kennedy | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Kent County | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Kent Island | Kent Island | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent Island | |
| Kenwood | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | La Plata | |
| Lackey | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Lake Clifton | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Lansdowne | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Laurel | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Linganore | |
| Loch Raven | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Long Reach | Southern AA | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Magruder | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Southern AA | Southern AA 3- 4 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Mergenthaler | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| MJ McDonough | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Mount Hebron | |
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Caroline | |
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| North East Cecil | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| North Hagerstown | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northern Calvert | |
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Northwood | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Oakland Mills | |
| Old Mill | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Overlea | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Owings Mills | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Oxon Hill | Southern AA | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Paint Branch | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Parkdale | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Parkside | |
| Parkville | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Patapsco | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Patterson HS | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Perry Hall | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Perryville | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Pikesville | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Poolesville | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Queen Annes County | |
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Reservoir | |
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Richard Montgomery | |
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Severn Run | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Stephen Decatur | |
| Suitland | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Towson | Towson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Western STES | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Westlake | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Wicomico | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Wilde Lake | Southern AA | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Southern AA | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Wootton | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| DC International PCS | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Jackson Reed | Southern AA | Southern AA |
PowerWise = 103
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Chesapeake AA (13- 4, 87.9) 4-17 -11.96 23.63 0.45 0.87 -9.98
0 A Crofton (10- 4, 89.8) 3-19 -10.15 25.45 0.45 0.87 -8.41
0 A River Hill ( 8- 6, 83.5) 3- 8 -16.38 19.22 0.45 0.87 -13.81
0 H Arundel ( 3-12, 79.9) 10- 9 -19.97 15.62 -0.45 0.87 13.15
0 H Old Mill ( 4- 8, 80.5) 5- 4 -19.39 16.21 -0.45 0.87 13.66
0 A Annapolis ( 9- 4, 86.4) 5-17 -13.50 22.09 0.45 0.87 -11.32
0 A North County ( 7- 8, 83.4) 3-18 -16.45 19.14 0.45 0.87 -13.87
0 A Northeast AA (10- 4, 85.2) 3-13 -14.68 20.91 0.45 0.87 -12.34
0 N Leonardtown (14- 2, 88.2) 5-20 -11.65 23.94 -0.00 0.87 -10.10
0 H Broadneck (12- 3, 93.1) 0-23 -6.84 28.75 -0.45 0.87 -6.32
0 H South River (11- 3, 91.5) 1-19 -8.42 27.17 -0.45 0.87 -7.69
0 A Severna Park (17- 1, 94.4) 1-27 -5.52 30.07 0.45 0.87 -4.40
0 H Severn Run ( 4-11, 76.9) 14- 2 -22.98 12.61 -0.45 0.87 10.55
0 A Cambridge SD ( 5- 8, 81.1) 7- 9 -18.81 16.78 0.45 0.87 -15.92
------
-76.79
|
winning pts = 37.3633 losing points = -114.1568
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------