All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.9000015 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A New Milford ( 9- 9, 74.6) 10- 5 410 H South Windsor ( 8- 9, 69.1) 17- 3 412 H Newtown (13- 7, 75.8) 15- 7 417 H Norwich Free Academy ( 7- 9, 61.4) 19- 1 419 A Simsbury ( 8-11, 77.6) 14- 6 421 H Hall ( 7- 9, 73.0) 15- 5 424 A Glastonbury (17- 3, 87.1) 6-13 426 A Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 6, 87.1) 5-12 505 A Newington ( 5-12, 69.3) 15- 1 508 A East Catholic ( 8-10, 73.3) 20- 8 510 H Conard (16- 5, 80.9) 8-15 512 A Guilford (13- 8, 78.5) 5- 6 513 H Xavier ( 6-10, 74.2) 13- 8 516 A Notre Dame-West Haven (12- 8, 83.9) 6-15 521 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 69.5) 18- 4 523 A Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 72.7) 16- 5 527 A Conard (16- 5, 80.9) 10-11 604 A Notre Dame-West Haven (12- 8, 83.9) 8-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A New Milford 10- 5 5 4 0.37 410 H South Windsor 17- 3 14 11 0.00 412 H Newtown 15- 7 8 4 + 2.28 417 H Norwich Free Academy 19- 1 18 19 0.00 419 A Simsbury 14- 6 8 1 ++ 5.38 421 H Hall 15- 5 10 7 0.00 424 A Glastonbury 6-13 -7 -7 0.00 426 A Fairfield Ludlowe 5-12 -7 -7 0.00 505 A Newington 15- 1 14 9 0.00 508 A East Catholic 20- 8 12 5 1.01 510 H Conard 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.59 512 A Guilford 5- 6 -1 0 -1.77 513 H Xavier 13- 8 5 6 -1.32 516 A Notre Dame-West Haven 6-15 -9 -4 - -2.39 521 A Avon HS 18- 4 14 9 0.00 523 A Northwest Catholic 16- 5 11 6 0.44 527 A Conard 10-11 -1 -1 0.69 604 A Notre Dame-West Haven 8-17 -9 -4 - -2.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H Conard 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.59 516 A Notre Dame-West Haven 6-15 -9 -4 - -2.39 604 A Notre Dame-West Haven 8-17 -9 -4 - -2.39OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Simsbury 14- 6 8 1 ++ 5.38 412 H Newtown 15- 7 8 4 + 2.28
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 79.90 Power Rank................. 17 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.55 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 19 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6336 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 26 RPI Rating............... .5687 RPI Rank................... 25 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 79 Selection sum ........... 80 Selection Rank ............ 23 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 23 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -55. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 29 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3