South Burlington
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 98.8375Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 16- 3 411 A Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 7- 2 414 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 10- 8 424 H Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 13- 1 428 A Burr and Burton Acad ( 9- 5, 97.8) 7- 6 430 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 8- 9 503 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 10- 9 506 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 7- 6 513 A Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 1-16 515 A Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 5-11 516 H Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 8-10 520 A Woodstock Union ( 7- 9, 96.1) 6- 5 523 H Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 9- 4 528 A Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 16- 3 530 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 9- 4 605 H Burr and Burton Acad ( 9- 5, 97.8) 11-10 612 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 H Colchester 16- 3 13 11 0.00
411 A Champlain Valley Uni 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.24
414 H Essex Junction 10- 8 2 1 1.39
424 H Bellows Free Academy 13- 1 12 9 0.00
428 A Burr and Burton Acad 7- 6 1 1 0.33
430 A Middlebury Union 8- 9 -1 -1 0.01
503 A Mt Mansfield Union 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.48
506 A Rice Memorial 7- 6 1 3 -1.76
513 A Champlain Valley Uni 1-16 -15 -1 - -3.76
515 A Essex Junction 5-11 -6 0 -- -4.78
516 H Mt Mansfield Union 8-10 -2 -1 -1.35
520 A Woodstock Union 6- 5 1 2 -1.34
523 H Middlebury Union 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.18
528 A Bellows Free Academy 16- 3 13 8 0.00
530 H Rice Memorial 9- 4 5 4 1.40
605 H Burr and Burton Acad 11-10 1 2 -0.50
612 A Mt Mansfield Union 9-18 -9 -1 - -3.52
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Essex Junction 5-11 -6 0 -- -4.78 513 A Champlain Valley Uni 1-16 -15 -1 - -3.76 612 A Mt Mansfield Union 9-18 -9 -1 - -3.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Champlain Valley Uni 7- 2 5 -1 +++ 6.24 523 H Middlebury Union 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.18 503 A Mt Mansfield Union 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.48 |
South Burlington Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Brattleboro Union | South Burlington | South Burlington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Burlington | South Burlington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Burr and Burton Acad | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Champlain Valley Uni | South Burlington | South Burlington 7- 3 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Colchester | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Essex Junction | South Burlington | South Burlington 6- 3 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Green Mountain Valle | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Hartford Union | South Burlington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| Lamoille Union | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Lyndon Institute | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Burlington | |
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 7- 3)( 6- 1) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | South Burlington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Montpelier | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Burlington | |
| Mount Abraham | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | South Burlington | South Burlington 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Otter Valley Union | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Randolph Union | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Rice Memorial | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Rutland | South Burlington | South Burlington 6- 3 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Spaulding | South Burlington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Burlington | |
| St Johnsbury Academy | South Burlington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Stowe | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | South Burlington | |
| Stratton Mountain Sc | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Burlington | |
| Woodstock Union | South Burlington | South Burlington |
PowerWise = 25
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 16- 3 -11.23 5.82 -0.42 0.83 4.49
0 A Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 7- 2 -0.23 16.81 0.42 0.83 14.33
0 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 10- 8 -1.26 15.79 -0.42 0.83 12.78
0 H Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 13- 1 -9.48 7.56 -0.42 0.83 5.95
0 A Burr and Burto ( 9- 5, 97.8) 7- 6 -2.15 14.90 0.42 0.83 12.73
0 A Middlebury Uni (14- 4, 99.4) 8- 9 -0.47 16.57 0.42 0.83 -0.05
0 A Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 10- 9 -0.00 17.04 0.42 0.83 14.52
0 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 7- 6 -4.24 12.80 0.42 0.83 10.99
0 A Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 1-16 -0.23 16.81 0.42 0.83 -0.15
0 A Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 5-11 -1.26 15.79 0.42 0.83 -0.70
0 H Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 8-10 -0.00 17.04 -0.42 0.83 -0.35
0 A Woodstock Unio ( 7- 9, 96.1) 6- 5 -3.82 13.22 0.42 0.83 11.34
0 H Middlebury Uni (14- 4, 99.4) 9- 4 -0.47 16.57 -0.42 0.83 13.44
0 A Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 16- 3 -9.48 7.56 0.42 0.83 6.64
0 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 9- 4 -4.24 12.80 -0.42 0.83 10.30
0 H Burr and Burto ( 9- 5, 97.8) 11-10 -2.15 14.90 -0.42 0.83 12.04
0 A Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 9-18 -0.00 17.04 0.42 0.83 -0.35
------
127.96
|
winning pts = 129.5531 losing points = -1.5883
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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