All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 72.1399994 home-field advantage = -0.63 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Colchester ( 2-11, 59.1) 16- 3 411 A Champlain Valley Union (13- 5, 74.4) 7- 2 414 H Essex Junction ( 9- 9, 72.4) 10- 8 424 H Bellows Free Academy-S ( 0-15, 63.5) 13- 1 428 A Burr and Burton Academ ( 9- 8, 71.3) 7- 6 430 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 73.6) 8- 9 503 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 74.2) 10- 9 506 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 68.7) 7- 6 513 A Champlain Valley Union (13- 5, 74.4) 1-16 515 A Essex Junction ( 9- 9, 72.4) 5-11 516 H Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 74.2) 8-10 520 A Woodstock Union ( 7- 9, 70.0) 6- 5 523 H Middlebury Union (14- 4, 73.6) 9- 4 528 A Bellows Free Academy-S ( 0-15, 63.5) 16- 3 530 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 68.7) 9- 4 605 H Burr and Burton Academ ( 9- 8, 71.3) 11-10 612 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 74.2) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Colchester 16- 3 13 13 0.00 411 A Champlain Valley Union 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 7.85 414 H Essex Junction 10- 8 2 0 1.62 424 H Bellows Free Academy-S 13- 1 12 9 0.00 428 A Burr and Burton Academ 7- 6 1 0 0.78 430 A Middlebury Union 8- 9 -1 -2 1.11 503 A Mt Mansfield Union 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.66 506 A Rice Memorial 7- 6 1 2 -1.82 513 A Champlain Valley Union 1-16 -15 -2 -- -4.15 515 A Essex Junction 5-11 -6 0 -- -5.12 516 H Mt Mansfield Union 8-10 -2 -1 -0.60 520 A Woodstock Union 6- 5 1 1 -0.47 523 H Middlebury Union 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.85 528 A Bellows Free Academy-S 16- 3 13 8 0.00 530 H Rice Memorial 9- 4 5 4 0.92 605 H Burr and Burton Academ 11-10 1 1 -0.48 612 A Mt Mansfield Union 9-18 -9 -2 -- -4.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 A Champlain Valley Union 1-16 -15 -2 -- -4.15 515 A Essex Junction 5-11 -6 0 -- -5.12 612 A Mt Mansfield Union 9-18 -9 -2 -- -4.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Champlain Valley Union 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 7.85 523 H Middlebury Union 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.85 503 A Mt Mansfield Union 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.66
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 72.14 Power Rank................. 6 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 42.10 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 4 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6879 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 3 RPI Rating............... .5898 RPI Rank................... 5 Champ. Probability ...... 4.0 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 12 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 190. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 160. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0