Southern Alamance
W-L: (19- 5) PR = 84.6378Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Western Guilford ( 6-14, 77.2) 18- 3 306 A Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 14- 4 307 H Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 6-12 311 A Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 11- 6 313 A Southwest Guilford ( 2-17, 77.1) 9- 5 314 H Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 10- 4 317 H Southeast Guilford ( 6-11, 80.1) 15-10 318 A Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 7- 6 321 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 3-16 325 H Southwest Guilford ( 2-17, 77.1) 19- 7 327 A Southeast Guilford ( 6-11, 80.1) 14- 8 328 H Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 75.0) 18- 5 401 A Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 15- 1 404 A Western Alamance ( 2-17, 74.0) 16- 7 408 A Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 4-12 410 A Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 80.1) 15- 3 422 H Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 10-18 424 H Western Alamance ( 2-17, 74.0) 18- 7 428 H Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 16- 6 429 A Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 75.0) 18- 2 502 H Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 16- 3 505 H Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 7- 4 516 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 12- 9 520 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 2-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
226 A Western Guilford 18- 3 15 7 0.00
306 A Northwood 14- 4 10 3 + 2.40
307 H Hillsborough Orange 6-12 -6 -3 -1.90
311 A Walter M Williams 11- 6 5 2 + 2.59
313 A Southwest Guilford 9- 5 4 7 -1.00
314 H Northwood 10- 4 6 3 1.86
317 H Southeast Guilford 15-10 5 5 0.16
318 A Cedar Ridge 7- 6 1 3 -1.87
321 A Seaforth 3-16 -13 -4 -1.35
325 H Southwest Guilford 19- 7 12 8 0.00
327 A Southeast Guilford 14- 8 6 4 0.70
328 H Southeast Alamance 18- 5 13 10 0.00
401 A Eastern Alamance 15- 1 14 7 0.00
404 A Western Alamance 16- 7 9 10 0.00
408 A Hillsborough Orange 4-12 -8 -4 -1.36
410 A Riverside Durham 15- 3 12 4 0.78
422 H Seaforth 10-18 -8 -3 -1.89
424 H Western Alamance 18- 7 11 11 0.00
428 H Cedar Ridge 16- 6 10 3 1.59
429 A Southeast Alamance 18- 2 16 9 0.00
502 H Eastern Alamance 16- 3 13 8 0.00
505 H Walter M Williams 7- 4 3 3 0.05
516 H Northside 12- 9 3 2 1.44
520 A Croatan 2-19 -17 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Northwood 14- 4 10 3 + 2.40 311 A Walter M Williams 11- 6 5 2 + 2.59 |
Southern Alamance Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Asheville HS | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Asheville School | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Athens Drive | |
| Atkins | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Ballantyne Ridge | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Bradford Prep | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Carrboro | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Carrboro | |
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cary Christian | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Cary HS | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Cedar Ridge | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Clayton | Clayton | ||
| Cleveland | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davie | Davie | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Davie | |
| DH Conley | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| East Forsyth | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Eastern Alamance | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Enloe | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Fike | Southern Alamance | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Garner | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Glenn | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Grays Creek | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level | ||
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | ||
| Grimsley | Southern Alamance | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| Havelock | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Southern Alamance | |
| Heritage | Heritage | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Heritage | |
| Hickory | Hickory | Hickory | ||
| High Point Central | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Hoggard | |
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Independence | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Jack Britt | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Jacksonville | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 2) | Southern Alamance | |
| JF Webb | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | JH Rose | |
| John Paul II Catholi | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| Jordan | Jordan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jordan | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Laney | |
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Leesville Road | |
| Lincoln Charter | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Millbrook | |
| Mooresville | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Mount Tabor | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | New Bern | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 1) | New Bern | |
| New Hanover | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| North Brunswick | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| North Davidson | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Northern Durham | Southern Alamance | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Northern Guilford | |
| Northside | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Page | Page | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Page | |
| Panther Creek | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Parkwood | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Patton Morganton | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Pine Forest | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pinecrest | |
| Porter Ridge | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Providence | Providence | Providence | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Queens Grant | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | ||
| Reagan | Reagan | Reagan | ||
| Riverside Durham | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Roxboro Community | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Sanderson | Sanderson | Sanderson | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| South Garner | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| South Iredell | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| South View | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| St Davids School | St Davids School | St Davids School | ||
| St Stephens | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Sun Valley | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Swansboro | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) | Southern Alamance | |
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | Southern Alamance | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| Topsail | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Vance Charter | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Voyager Academy | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Wake Forest | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Wake Prep | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Wakefield | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Walter M Williams | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Watauga | Southern Alamance | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern Alamance | |
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| West Carteret | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) | Southern Alamance | |
| West Forsyth | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| West Stokes | Southern Alamance | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern Alamance | |
| Western Alamance | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Western Guilford | Southern Alamance | Southern Alamance | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 80
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Western Guilfo ( 6-14, 77.2) 18- 3 -22.70 11.11 0.27 0.75 8.50
0 A Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 14- 4 -18.13 15.68 0.27 0.75 11.92
0 H Hillsborough O (21- 5, 88.0) 6-12 -11.89 21.92 -0.27 0.75 -9.09
0 A Walter M Willi (11-11, 82.0) 11- 6 -17.94 15.87 0.27 0.75 12.06
0 A Southwest Guil ( 2-17, 77.1) 9- 5 -22.76 11.05 0.27 0.75 8.46
0 H Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 10- 4 -18.13 15.68 -0.27 0.75 11.51
0 H Southeast Guil ( 6-11, 80.1) 15-10 -19.83 13.98 -0.27 0.75 10.24
0 A Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 7- 6 -18.40 15.41 0.27 0.75 11.72
0 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 3-16 -11.88 21.93 0.27 0.75 -8.68
0 H Southwest Guil ( 2-17, 77.1) 19- 7 -22.76 11.05 -0.27 0.75 8.05
0 A Southeast Guil ( 6-11, 80.1) 14- 8 -19.83 13.98 0.27 0.75 10.65
0 H Southeast Alam ( 7-17, 75.0) 18- 5 -24.89 8.92 -0.27 0.75 6.46
0 A Eastern Alaman ( 5-15, 77.3) 15- 1 -22.62 11.19 0.27 0.75 8.56
0 A Western Alaman ( 2-17, 74.0) 16- 7 -25.89 7.92 0.27 0.75 6.12
0 A Hillsborough O (21- 5, 88.0) 4-12 -11.89 21.92 0.27 0.75 -8.68
0 A Riverside Durh ( 9- 8, 80.1) 15- 3 -19.75 14.06 0.27 0.75 10.71
0 H Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 10-18 -11.88 21.93 -0.27 0.75 -9.08
0 H Western Alaman ( 2-17, 74.0) 18- 7 -25.89 7.92 -0.27 0.75 5.72
0 H Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 16- 6 -18.40 15.41 -0.27 0.75 11.31
0 A Southeast Alam ( 7-17, 75.0) 18- 2 -24.89 8.92 0.27 0.75 6.87
0 H Eastern Alaman ( 5-15, 77.3) 16- 3 -22.62 11.19 -0.27 0.75 8.16
0 H Walter M Willi (11-11, 82.0) 7- 4 -17.94 15.87 -0.27 0.75 11.65
0 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 12- 9 -16.55 17.26 -0.27 0.75 12.70
0 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 2-19 -5.52 28.29 0.27 0.75 -3.92
------
141.91
|
winning pts = 181.3582 losing points = -39.4481
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------