Seneca Valley
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 77.9131Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Wheaton ( 2-11, 69.7) 11- 1 324 A Northwest ( 9- 5, 80.9) 12-11 327 H Richard Montgomery ( 9- 6, 80.4) 6-19 331 A Gaithersburg ( 5- 8, 77.5) 14-17 402 H Clarksburg ( 7- 7, 79.0) 12-11 407 H Einstein ( 9- 5, 79.0) 6-15 409 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 6, 82.8) 4-14 411 A Poolesville ( 5- 8, 77.8) 17- 6 422 H Kennedy ( 0-13, 64.3) 19- 0 424 A Northwood ( 6- 8, 73.6) 18- 7 426 H Paint Branch ( 3-10, 73.4) 9- 4 501 A Watkins Mill ( 2-12, 66.8) 17- 0 508 H Northwest ( 9- 5, 80.9) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Wheaton 11- 1 10 9 0.00
324 A Northwest 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.44
327 H Richard Montgomery 6-19 -13 -2 - -2.98
331 A Gaithersburg 14-17 -3 0 - -2.93
402 H Clarksburg 12-11 1 -1 1.62
407 H Einstein 6-15 -9 -1 -- -4.33
409 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 4-14 -10 -5 0.00
411 A Poolesville 17- 6 11 0 ++ 5.29
422 H Kennedy 19- 0 19 14 0.00
424 A Northwood 18- 7 11 4 1.17
426 H Paint Branch 9- 4 5 5 0.06
501 A Watkins Mill 17- 0 17 11 0.00
508 H Northwest 8-13 -5 -3 - -2.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Einstein 6-15 -9 -1 -- -4.33 327 H Richard Montgomery 6-19 -13 -2 - -2.98 331 A Gaithersburg 14-17 -3 0 - -2.93 508 H Northwest 8-13 -5 -3 - -2.45 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Northwest 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.44 411 A Poolesville 17- 6 11 0 ++ 5.29 |
Seneca Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | ||
| Jemicy School | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Maret | Maret | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | St Vincent Pallotti | St Vincent Pallotti | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Aberdeen | Aberdeen | ||
| Academy for College | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Blair | Blair | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Blair | |
| Blake | Blake | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Blake | |
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) | Damascus | |
| Digital Harbor | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Einstein | Einstein | Einstein | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Elkton | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Seneca Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Seneca Valley | |
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Gwynn Park | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Hammond | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Kennedy | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Kent County | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Lake Clifton | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Lansdowne | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Laurel | Seneca Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Seneca Valley | |
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley 5- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Mergenthaler | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| MJ McDonough | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| North East Cecil | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| North Hagerstown | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest 6- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Northwestern PG | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Northwood | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Owings Mills | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Oxon Hill | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Paint Branch | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Parkdale | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Patapsco | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Patterson HS | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Pikesville | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Poolesville | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Randallstown | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) | Rockville | |
| Severn Run | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Walt Whitman | |
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Watkins Mill | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Western STES | Western STES | Western STES | ||
| Westlake | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Wicomico | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wilde Lake | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Wootton | Seneca Valley | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Seneca Valley | |
| Archbishop Carroll | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| DC International PCS | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 79
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Wheaton ( 2-11, 69.7) 11- 1 -30.25 5.35 -0.45 0.93 4.57
0 A Northwest ( 9- 5, 80.9) 12-11 -18.99 16.60 0.45 0.93 15.91
0 H Richard Montgo ( 9- 6, 80.4) 6-19 -19.52 16.07 -0.45 0.93 -18.64
0 A Gaithersburg ( 5- 8, 77.5) 14-17 -22.36 13.23 0.45 0.93 -20.46
0 H Clarksburg ( 7- 7, 79.0) 12-11 -20.92 14.67 -0.45 0.93 13.28
0 H Einstein ( 9- 5, 79.0) 6-15 -20.88 14.72 -0.45 0.93 -19.90
0 A Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 6, 82.8) 4-14 -17.12 18.48 0.45 0.93 -15.56
0 A Poolesville ( 5- 8, 77.8) 17- 6 -22.14 13.45 0.45 0.93 12.97
0 H Kennedy ( 0-13, 64.3) 19- 0 -35.59 1.00 -0.45 0.93 0.52
0 A Northwood ( 6- 8, 73.6) 18- 7 -26.26 9.33 0.45 0.93 9.12
0 H Paint Branch ( 3-10, 73.4) 9- 4 -26.49 9.11 -0.45 0.93 8.09
0 A Watkins Mill ( 2-12, 66.8) 17- 0 -33.13 2.46 0.45 0.93 2.71
0 H Northwest ( 9- 5, 80.9) 8-13 -18.99 16.60 -0.45 0.93 -18.14
------
-25.52
|
winning pts = 67.1763 losing points = -92.7012
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------