All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.4100037 home-field advantage = -0.59 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Boys Latin (13- 5, 96.7) 7- 8 307 H St Pauls ( 8- 8, 94.2) 15-16 314 A Gilman ( 4-13, 92.1) 10- 6 318 H Culver Military Academ (15- 2, 99.1) 9-12 322 H Taft School (10- 8, 93.8) 11- 6 325 A St Anthonys (13- 4, 98.4) 7-11 328 A Severn School ( 5-11, 92.8) 12-11 401 A St Marys Ryken (11- 8, 89.5) 8- 3 404 A Bishop OConnell ( 8-11, 76.8) 19- 1 408 H DeMatha (15- 4, 93.7) 6- 7 411 H Paul VI (11-10, 92.1) 11-10 416 H Heights (11- 7, 90.2) 12- 8 422 A Bishop McNamara ( 1-16, 62.8) 23- 1 425 A Bishop Ireton ( 9-11, 82.5) 14- 1 429 H Good Counsel (13- 6, 92.2) 8- 7 502 A Gonzaga (10-10, 94.5) 9- 6 506 H St Marys Ryken (11- 8, 89.5) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Boys Latin 7- 8 -1 -1 0.74 307 H St Pauls 15-16 -1 0 -1.80 314 A Gilman 10- 6 4 1 + 2.24 318 H Culver Military Academ 9-12 -3 -3 n/a 322 H Taft School 11- 6 5 0 n/a 325 A St Anthonys 7-11 -4 -4 n/a 328 A Severn School 12-11 1 1 -0.05 401 A St Marys Ryken 8- 3 5 4 0.72 404 A Bishop OConnell 19- 1 18 16 n/a 408 H DeMatha 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.26 411 H Paul VI 11-10 1 3 n/a 416 H Heights 12- 8 4 4 -0.79 422 A Bishop McNamara 23- 1 22 31 0.00 425 A Bishop Ireton 14- 1 13 11 n/a 429 H Good Counsel 8- 7 1 2 -1.77 502 A Gonzaga 9- 6 3 0 + 3.66 506 H St Marys Ryken 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.46UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 H St Marys Ryken 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.46 408 H DeMatha 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.26 411 H Paul VI 11-10 1 3 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Taft School 11- 6 5 0 ++ 314 A Gilman 10- 6 4 1 + 2.24 502 A Gonzaga 9- 6 3 0 + 3.66
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.41 Power Rank................. 9 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 78.24 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 17 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5259 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 120 RPI Rating............... .5261 RPI Rank................... 76 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 48 Selection sum ........... 281 Selection Rank ............ 85 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 15. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 18 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 85 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0