St Johnsbury Academy
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 93.8704Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 14- 5 411 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 1-11 415 H Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 0-12 418 H Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 14- 6 424 H Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 11- 4 426 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 8- 7 429 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 14- 3 502 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 16- 8 507 A Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 14-10 510 A Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 2-12 514 H Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 9- 2 517 A Brattleboro Union ( 5-11, 90.3) 11- 5 521 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 9- 3 523 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 13- 1 531 A Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 10-11 604 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 A Lyndon Institute 14- 5 9 11 0.00
411 A Milton 1-11 -10 -2 - -3.09
415 H Harwood Union 0-12 -12 -5 -0.08
418 H Mount Abraham 14- 6 8 4 0.87
424 H Randolph Union 11- 4 7 5 0.42
426 H Rice Memorial 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.37
429 A Colchester 14- 3 11 5 0.22
502 H Spaulding 16- 8 8 6 0.00
507 A Bellows Free Academy 14-10 4 6 -1.00
510 A Hartford Union 2-12 -10 -4 -0.68
514 H Montpelier 9- 2 7 4 1.38
517 A Brattleboro Union 11- 5 6 3 1.84
521 H Stowe 9- 3 6 3 1.89
523 H Lyndon Institute 13- 1 12 11 0.00
531 A Burlington 10-11 -1 -1 -0.03
604 A Milton 6-13 -7 -2 - -3.09
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Milton 1-11 -10 -2 - -3.09 604 A Milton 6-13 -7 -2 - -3.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Rice Memorial 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.37 |
St Johnsbury Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Brattleboro Union | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Burlington | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Burr and Burton Acad | |
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Champlain Valley Uni | |
| Colchester | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Essex Junction | Essex Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Essex Junction | |
| Green Mountain Valle | St Johnsbury Academy | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Hartford Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Lamoille Union | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Lyndon Institute | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | Milton | Milton | ||
| Montpelier | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Mount Abraham | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | St Johnsbury Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Otter Valley Union | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Randolph Union | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Rice Memorial | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Rutland | Rutland | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rutland | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Spaulding | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stowe | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stratton Mountain Sc | St Johnsbury Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 16
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 14- 5 -17.04 1.00 0.42 0.88 1.25
0 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 1-11 -4.53 12.51 0.42 0.88 -3.64
0 H Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 0-12 -0.69 16.35 -0.42 0.88 -0.98
0 H Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 14- 6 -9.74 7.30 -0.42 0.88 6.08
0 H Randolph Union ( 6- 5, 89.7) 11- 4 -10.19 6.85 -0.42 0.88 5.69
0 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 8- 7 -4.24 12.80 -0.42 0.88 10.95
0 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 14- 3 -11.23 5.82 0.42 0.88 5.51
0 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 16- 8 -11.42 5.63 -0.42 0.88 4.61
0 A Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 87.4) 14-10 -12.48 4.56 0.42 0.88 4.40
0 A Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 2-12 -2.13 14.92 0.42 0.88 -1.51
0 H Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 9- 2 -9.23 7.81 -0.42 0.88 6.53
0 A Brattleboro Un ( 5-11, 90.3) 11- 5 -9.60 7.44 0.42 0.88 6.94
0 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 9- 3 -8.72 8.32 -0.42 0.88 6.99
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 13- 1 -17.04 1.00 -0.42 0.88 0.52
0 A Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 10-11 -5.47 11.57 0.42 0.88 -4.47
0 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 6-13 -4.53 12.51 0.42 0.88 -3.64
------
45.23
|
winning pts = 59.4606 losing points = -14.2349
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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