All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.6399994 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A New Fairfield (21- 2, 84.2) 7-13 410 H RHAM (15- 5, 73.3) 13- 6 412 A Hingham (19- 4, 88.4) 7-19 419 H Southington (11- 7, 79.9) 6-14 421 H Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 72.7) 12- 4 424 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 69.5) 11- 4 426 A Cheshire HS (15- 6, 86.5) 6-14 429 H Xavier ( 6-10, 74.2) 10- 9 501 H East Catholic ( 8-10, 73.3) 8- 7 503 A Guilford (13- 8, 78.5) 5- 8 505 A Farmington (10- 9, 74.2) 13- 7 512 H Conard (16- 5, 80.9) 8-13 513 H Notre Dame-West Haven (12- 8, 83.9) 9-13 519 A Hall ( 7- 9, 73.0) 11- 7 521 A St Joseph Trumbull (15- 6, 87.4) 2-15 522 H Glastonbury (17- 3, 87.1) 3-13 527 A Glastonbury (17- 3, 87.1) 5-19 604 H Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 72.7) 15- 5 607 A Conard (16- 5, 80.9) 14-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A New Fairfield 7-13 -6 -7 1.00 410 H RHAM 13- 6 7 4 + 2.05 412 A Hingham 7-19 -12 -11 n/a 419 H Southington 6-14 -8 -1 -- -5.38 421 H Northwest Catholic 12- 4 8 5 1.42 424 A Avon HS 11- 4 7 7 0.00 426 A Cheshire HS 6-14 -8 -9 0.00 429 H Xavier 10- 9 1 4 - -3.06 501 H East Catholic 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.01 503 A Guilford 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.51 505 A Farmington 13- 7 6 2 + 3.16 512 H Conard 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.33 513 H Notre Dame-West Haven 9-13 -4 -5 1.59 519 A Hall 11- 7 4 4 -0.03 521 A St Joseph Trumbull 2-15 -13 -10 0.00 522 H Glastonbury 3-13 -10 -8 0.00 527 A Glastonbury 5-19 -14 -10 0.00 604 H Northwest Catholic 15- 5 10 5 1.42 607 A Conard 14-16 -2 -3 1.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 H Southington 6-14 -8 -1 -- -5.38 501 H East Catholic 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.01 429 H Xavier 10- 9 1 4 - -3.06 512 H Conard 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.33OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H RHAM 13- 6 7 4 + 2.05 505 A Farmington 13- 7 6 2 + 3.16
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 77.64 Power Rank................. 22 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 56.74 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 12 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5925 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 42 RPI Rating............... .5698 RPI Rank................... 24 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 76 Selection sum ........... 104 Selection Rank ............ 34 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -105. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 38 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -105. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 38 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -12.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0