---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Shorecrest 1
  
Shorecrest            
W-L: ( 6-12) PR = 87.3543

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 315 A Bothell (11- 5, 96.2) 6-16 317 H Snohomish ( 9- 5, 91.7) 8-11 319 A Arlington ( 3-12, 85.8) 11-10 321 H Seattle Prep (13- 1, 99.5) 3-14 324 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 18- 3 327 A Glacier Peak (11- 2, 93.9) 8-16 331 H Lake Stevens ( 7- 7, 90.0) 6- 9 401 H Ballard (11- 6, 92.5) 5-13 404 A Nathan Hale (10- 2, 92.1) 4- 8 407 A Roosevelt ( 6- 6, 87.5) 4-11 411 A Blanchet ( 5- 7, 89.8) 5-11 414 A Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 16- 8 416 H Arlington ( 3-12, 85.8) 7- 4 418 A Snohomish ( 9- 5, 91.7) 8-15 429 H Glacier Peak (11- 2, 93.9) 10-23 501 A Lake Stevens ( 7- 7, 90.0) 10-11 507 H Jackson ( 0- 9, 75.1) 13- 0 508 H Squalicum ( 7- 4, 84.6) 19- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Bothell                 6-16     -10    -9           0.00
   317 H Snohomish               8-11      -3    -4           0.81
   319 A Arlington              11-10       1     1          -0.06
   321 H Seattle Prep            3-14     -11   -12           0.00
   324 H Stanwood               18- 3      15     5           0.00
   327 A Glacier Peak            8-16      -8    -7           0.00
   331 H Lake Stevens            6- 9      -3    -2          -0.83
   401 H Ballard                 5-13      -8    -5          -0.36
   404 A Nathan Hale             4- 8      -4    -5           1.00
   407 A Roosevelt               4-11      -7    -1    --    -4.38
   411 A Blanchet                5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.03
   414 A Stanwood               16- 8       8     4           0.92
   416 H Arlington               7- 4       3     2           0.90
   418 A Snohomish               8-15      -7    -5          -0.15
   429 H Glacier Peak           10-23     -13    -6           0.00
   501 A Lake Stevens           10-11      -1    -3    +      2.21
   507 H Jackson                13- 0      13    13           0.00
   508 H Squalicum              19- 6      13     3           1.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Roosevelt               4-11      -7    -1    --    -4.38
   411 A Blanchet                5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Lake Stevens           10-11      -1    -3    +      2.21

Shorecrest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anacortes Anacortes tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Anacortes
Archbishop Murphy Shorecrest tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Shorecrest
Arlington Shorecrest Shorecrest  
Auburn Riverside Auburn Riverside   Auburn Riverside
Bainbridge Island Bainbridge Island Bainbridge Island   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Ballard Ballard Ballard  
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bellarmine Prep
Bellevue Bellevue Bellevue   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bellingham Shorecrest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Shorecrest
Blanchet Blanchet Blanchet  
Bonney Lake Bonney Lake   Bonney Lake
Bothell Bothell Bothell  
Burlington-Edison Shorecrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shorecrest
Camas Camas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Camas
Cedarcrest Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Chiawana Chiawana   Chiawana
Curtis Curtis insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Curtis
East Valley Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Eastlake Eastlake Eastlake   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Eastside Catholic Eastside Catholic Eastside Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Emerald Ridge Shorecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shorecrest
Enumclaw Enumclaw   Enumclaw
Franklin Franklin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Franklin
Gig Harbor Shorecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shorecrest
Glacier Peak Glacier Peak Glacier Peak  
Graham Kapowsin Graham Kapowsin   Graham Kapowsin
Hanford Hanford   Hanford
Hermiston Hermiston   Hermiston
Inglemoor Shorecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shorecrest
Interlake Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Issaquah Issaquah tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Issaquah
Jackson Shorecrest Shorecrest  
Juanita Juanita tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Juanita
Kamiak Shorecrest tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Shorecrest
Kamiakin Kamiakin   Kamiakin
Kennedy Catholic Shorecrest tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Shorecrest
Klahowya Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Lake Stevens Lake Stevens Lake Stevens  
Lake Washington Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Lakeside Lakeside insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Lakeside
Liberty Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Lincoln Shorecrest tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Shorecrest
Lynden Shorecrest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Shorecrest
Marysville Getchell Marysville Getchell   Marysville Getchell
Mercer Island Mercer Island Mercer Island   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Monroe Monroe   Monroe
Mount Si Mount Si Mount Si   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount Vernon Shorecrest Shorecrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mountain View Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Nathan Hale Nathan Hale Nathan Hale  
Newport Shorecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shorecrest
North Creek Shorecrest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Shorecrest
North Kitsap Shorecrest   Shorecrest
O'Dea O'Dea O'Dea   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Olympia Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Orting Orting   Orting
Overlake Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Peninsula Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Providence Classical Providence Classical   Providence Classical
Puyallup Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Redmond Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Richland Richland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Richland
Rogers Rogers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rogers
Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt  
Sammamish Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Seattle Academy Seattle Academy Seattle Academy   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Seattle Prep Seattle Prep Seattle Prep  
Sedro-Woolley Sedro-Woolley   Sedro-Woolley
Sehome Sehome   Sehome
Selah Selah   Selah
Skyline Skyline Skyline   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Skyview Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Snohomish Snohomish Snohomish  
South Kitsap Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Southridge Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Squalicum Shorecrest Shorecrest  
Stadium Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Stanwood Shorecrest Shorecrest  
Sumner Sumner   Sumner
Tahoma Tahoma insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Tahoma
Union Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Vashon Island Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Walla Walla Walla Walla   Walla Walla
Wenatchee Wenatchee   Wenatchee
West Seattle Shorecrest tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Shorecrest
White River Shorecrest   Shorecrest
Woodinville Woodinville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Woodinville

PowerWise = 39


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bothell         (11- 5, 96.2)     6-16       -3.66      22.14       0.52         0.63            -1.97
   0 H Snohomish       ( 9- 5, 91.7)     8-11       -8.22      17.58      -0.52         0.63            -5.51
   0 A Arlington       ( 3-12, 85.8)    11-10      -14.12      11.68       0.52         0.63             7.68
   0 H Seattle Prep    (13- 1, 99.5)     3-14       -0.43      25.37      -0.52         0.63            -0.60
   0 H Stanwood        ( 3-12, 82.7)    18- 3      -17.15       8.65      -0.52         0.63             5.12
   0 A Glacier Peak    (11- 2, 93.9)     8-16       -5.97      19.83       0.52         0.63            -3.43
   0 H Lake Stevens    ( 7- 7, 90.0)     6- 9       -9.86      15.94      -0.52         0.63            -6.54
   0 H Ballard         (11- 6, 92.5)     5-13       -7.39      18.41      -0.52         0.63            -4.98
   0 A Nathan Hale     (10- 2, 92.1)     4- 8       -7.76      18.04       0.52         0.63            -4.56
   0 A Roosevelt       ( 6- 6, 87.5)     4-11      -12.44      13.35       0.52         0.63            -7.51
   0 A Blanchet        ( 5- 7, 89.8)     5-11      -10.09      15.71       0.52         0.63            -6.03
   0 A Stanwood        ( 3-12, 82.7)    16- 8      -17.15       8.65       0.52         0.63             5.78
   0 H Arlington       ( 3-12, 85.8)     7- 4      -14.12      11.68      -0.52         0.63             7.03
   0 A Snohomish       ( 9- 5, 91.7)     8-15       -8.22      17.58       0.52         0.63            -4.85
   0 H Glacier Peak    (11- 2, 93.9)    10-23       -5.97      19.83      -0.52         0.63            -4.09
   0 A Lake Stevens    ( 7- 7, 90.0)    10-11       -9.86      15.94       0.52         0.63            -5.88
   0 H Jackson         ( 0- 9, 75.1)    13- 0      -24.77       1.03      -0.52         0.63             0.32
   0 H Squalicum       ( 7- 4, 84.6)    19- 6      -15.31      10.49      -0.52         0.63             6.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -23.75

winning pts = 32.2141 losing points = -55.9674

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------