safe3step boys Shaler Area 1

  
Shaler Area           
W-L: ( 8- 6)  PR =    83.0113
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 314 A Butler Area                          ( 5- 8, 83.5)    11- 8   
 318 H North Catholic                       ( 1- 9, 74.5)    15- 3   
 320 H Central Catholic                     ( 8-10, 84.7)    10- 9   
 401 A Winchester Thurston                  ( 2- 7, 72.8)    20- 3   
 403 H Sewickley Academy                    ( 8- 3, 83.4)     8- 9   
 407 H Taylor Allderdice                    ( 1-11, 71.9)    21- 0   
 410 A Moon Area                            ( 2- 7, 79.6)    20- 8   
 414 A Freeport Area                        ( 6- 6, 78.7)     9- 7   
 417 H Fox Chapel                           (10- 5, 86.8)     5- 9   
 422 H Hampton                              (16- 6, 87.6)     3-18   
 424 H Mars Area                            (19- 3, 89.6)     7-11   
 428 A Indiana Area                         ( 9- 9, 81.6)     8- 6   
 430 A Quaker Valley                        ( 9- 6, 82.3)     6- 8   
 513 A Penn-Trafford                        ( 8- 7, 83.2)     8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Butler Area            11- 8       3    -1    +      3.65
   318 H North Catholic         15- 3      12     9           0.00
   320 H Central Catholic       10- 9       1    -2    +      2.53
   401 A Winchester Thurston    20- 3      17    10           0.00
   403 H Sewickley Academy       8- 9      -1     0          -0.79
   407 H Taylor Allderdice      21- 0      21    11           0.00
   410 A Moon Area              20- 8      12     3           1.78
   414 A Freeport Area           9- 7       2     4    -     -2.13
   417 H Fox Chapel              5- 9      -4    -4          -0.41
   422 H Hampton                 3-18     -15    -4          -0.63
   424 H Mars Area               7-11      -4    -6           1.00
   428 A Indiana Area            8- 6       2     1           0.77
   430 A Quaker Valley           6- 8      -2     1    -     -2.53
   513 A Penn-Trafford           8-13      -5     0    --    -4.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Penn-Trafford           8-13      -5     0    --    -4.60
   414 A Freeport Area           9- 7       2     4    -     -2.13
   430 A Quaker Valley           6- 8      -2     1    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Butler Area            11- 8       3    -1    +      3.65
   320 H Central Catholic       10- 9       1    -2    +      2.53

Shaler Area Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Academy New Church	Academy New Church			Academy New Church
AIM Academy	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Allentown Central Ca	Allentown Central Ca		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Archbishop Ryan	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Archbishop Wood	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Avon Grove	Avon Grove			Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Bayard Rustin	Bayard Rustin			Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan			Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Bonner-Prendergast	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Boyertown	Boyertown			Boyertown
Cardinal OHara	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Central Bucks East	Central Bucks East			Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South	Central Bucks South			Central Bucks South
Central Bucks West	Central Bucks West			Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Cheltenham	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Church Farm School	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Coatesville	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Conestoga	Conestoga			Conestoga
Conwell Egan	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Council Rock North	Council Rock North			Council Rock North
Council Rock South	Council Rock South			Council Rock South
Delaware Valley Frie	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Devon Prep	Devon Prep			Devon Prep
Downingtown East	Downingtown East			Downingtown East
Downingtown West	Downingtown West			Downingtown West
Easton Area	Easton Area			Easton Area
Emmaus	Emmaus			Emmaus
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy			Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Frankford	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Freedom Bethlehem	Freedom Bethlehem			Freedom Bethlehem
Garnet Valley	Garnet Valley			Garnet Valley
George School	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
George Washington	George Washington			George Washington
Germantown Academy	Germantown Academy			Germantown Academy
Great Valley	Great Valley			Great Valley
Harriton	Harriton			Harriton
Hatboro-Horsham	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Haverford HS	Haverford HS			Haverford HS
Haverford School	Haverford School			Haverford School
Hill School	Hill School			Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Interboro	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Jack Barrack Academy	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Kennett	Kennett			Kennett
La Salle College	La Salle College			La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Liberty Bethlehem	Liberty Bethlehem			Liberty Bethlehem
Lower Merion	Lower Merion		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Lower Merion
Malvern Prep	Malvern Prep			Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown	Marple Newtown			Marple Newtown
Masterman	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Mastery Charter Nort	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Methacton	Methacton			Methacton
Moravian Academy	Moravian Academy			Moravian Academy
Nazareth Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Neshaminy	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
New Hope-Solebury	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
North Penn	North Penn			North Penn
Northampton Area	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Northeast	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Northwestern Lehigh	Northwestern Lehigh			Northwestern Lehigh
Olney Charter	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Owen J Roberts	Owen J Roberts			Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Parkland	Parkland			Parkland
Penn Charter	Penn Charter			Penn Charter
Penncrest	Penncrest			Penncrest
Pennridge	Pennridge			Pennridge
Pennsbury	Pennsbury			Pennsbury
Perkiomen School	Perkiomen School			Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley	Perkiomen Valley			Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Pleasant Valley	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	Plymouth-Whitemarsh			Plymouth-Whitemarsh
Pope John Paul II	Pope John Paul II			Pope John Paul II
Pottsgrove	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Quakertown	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Radnor	Radnor			Radnor
Ridley	Ridley			Ridley
Roman Catholic	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Saucon Valley	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Shipley School	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Solanco	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Souderton	Souderton			Souderton
South Philadelphia	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Southern Lehigh	Southern Lehigh			Southern Lehigh
Spring-Ford	Spring-Ford			Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Springfield-Delco	Springfield-Delco			Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut	Springside Chestnut			Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep	St Josephs Prep			St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven	Strath Haven			Strath Haven
Sun Valley	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Truman	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Unionville	Unionville			Unionville
Upper Darby	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Upper Dublin	Upper Dublin			Upper Dublin
Upper Merion	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Upper Moreland	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
West Chester East	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
West Chester Henders	West Chester Henders		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	West Chester Henders
West Philadelphia	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Westtown	Westtown			Westtown
William Tennent	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Wissahickon	Wissahickon			Wissahickon
Baldwin	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	Shaler Area
Bethel Park	Bethel Park		insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 3)	Bethel Park
Butler Area	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
Canon-McMillan	Canon-McMillan		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Canon-McMillan
Cathedral Prep	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Central Catholic	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
Chartiers Valley	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)	Shaler Area
Conneaut	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Erie-McDowell	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Shaler Area
Fairview	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Fox Chapel	Fox Chapel	Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	Shaler Area
Freeport Area	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
Gateway	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Greensburg Central C	Shaler Area		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Shaler Area
Hampton	Hampton	Hampton
Hempfield Greensburg	Shaler Area		Shaler Area 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hickory	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Indiana Area	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
Knoch	Shaler Area		Shaler Area 3- 3 vs 0- 6
Latrobe	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	Shaler Area
Mars Area	Mars Area	Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C	Shaler Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Shaler Area
Moon Area	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny	North Allegheny		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)	North Allegheny
North Catholic	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
North Hills	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2)	Shaler Area
Norwin	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	Shaler Area
Penn-Trafford	Penn-Trafford	Penn-Trafford
Peters Township	Peters Township		insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2)	Peters Township
Pine Richland	Pine Richland		Pine Richland 4- 1 vs 2- 3
Plum	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Shaler Area
Quaker Valley	Quaker Valley	Quaker Valley
Seneca Valley	Seneca Valley		tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)	Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Sewickley Academy	Sewickley Academy	Sewickley Academy
Shady Side Academy	Shady Side Academy		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Shady Side Academy
South Fayette	South Fayette		South Fayette 4- 1 vs 2- 3
Taylor Allderdice	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
Trinity Area	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair		Upper St Clair 3- 1 vs 1- 3
West Allegheny	Shaler Area		Shaler Area 4- 1 vs 0- 5
Winchester Thurston	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
Abington Heights	Abington Heights			Abington Heights
Bellefonte	Shaler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Shaler Area
Berks Catholic	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Bishop McDevitt	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Carlisle	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Cedar Cliff	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Cedar Crest	Cedar Crest			Cedar Crest
Central Dauphin	Central Dauphin			Central Dauphin
Central Dauphin East	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Central York	Central York			Central York
Chambersburg	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Cocalico	Cocalico			Cocalico
Conestoga Valley	Conestoga Valley			Conestoga Valley
Conrad Weiser	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Crestwood	Crestwood		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Crestwood
Cumberland Valley	Cumberland Valley			Cumberland Valley
Dallas	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Dallastown	Dallastown			Dallastown
Daniel Boone	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Danville Area	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Delaware Valley	Delaware Valley			Delaware Valley
Delone Catholic	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Dover Area	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Eastern York	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Elizabethtown	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Ephrata	Ephrata			Ephrata
Exeter Township	Exeter Township			Exeter Township
Garden Spot	Garden Spot			Garden Spot
Gettysburg	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Governor Mifflin	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Hempfield	Hempfield			Hempfield
Hershey	Hershey			Hershey
Kennard-Dale	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Lake-Lehman	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Lakeland	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Lampeter-Strasburg	Lampeter-Strasburg			Lampeter-Strasburg
Lancaster CDS	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Lewisburg	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Lower Dauphin	Lower Dauphin		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Lower Dauphin
Manheim Township	Manheim Township			Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg	Mechanicsburg			Mechanicsburg
Mifflin County	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Mifflinburg	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Muhlenberg	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
New Oxford	New Oxford			New Oxford
North Pocono	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Northern York	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Palmyra	Palmyra			Palmyra
Penn Manor	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Red Land	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Red Lion	Red Lion			Red Lion
Schuylkill Valley	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Scranton Prep	Scranton Prep			Scranton Prep
Selinsgrove	Selinsgrove			Selinsgrove
South-Western	South-Western			South-Western
Spring Grove	Spring Grove			Spring Grove
State College	State College			State College
Susquehannock	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Trinity HS	Trinity HS		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Trinity HS
Tunkhannock	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Twin Valley	Twin Valley		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Twin Valley
Warwick	Warwick			Warwick
West York	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Wilkes-Barre Area	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Wilson West Lawn	Wilson West Lawn			Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Wyoming Seminary	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
Wyomissing	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
York Catholic	York Catholic			York Catholic
York Suburban	Shaler Area			Shaler Area

PowerWise = 115

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Butler Area     ( 5- 8, 83.5)    11- 8      -16.44      17.89       0.20         1.12            20.32
   0 H North Catholic  ( 1- 9, 74.5)    15- 3      -25.42       8.92      -0.20         1.12             9.79
   0 H Central Cathol  ( 8-10, 84.7)    10- 9      -15.16      19.18      -0.20         1.12            21.30
   0 A Winchester Thu  ( 2- 7, 72.8)    20- 3      -27.06       7.28       0.20         1.12             8.40
   0 H Sewickley Acad  ( 8- 3, 83.4)     8- 9      -16.47      17.86      -0.20         1.12           -18.73
   0 H Taylor Allderd  ( 1-11, 71.9)    21- 0      -28.01       6.33      -0.20         1.12             6.87
   0 A Moon Area       ( 2- 7, 79.6)    20- 8      -20.31      14.03       0.20         1.12            15.98
   0 A Freeport Area   ( 6- 6, 78.7)     9- 7      -21.23      13.11       0.20         1.12            14.95
   0 H Fox Chapel      (10- 5, 86.8)     5- 9      -13.10      21.24      -0.20         1.12           -14.93
   0 H Hampton         (16- 6, 87.6)     3-18      -12.31      22.03      -0.20         1.12           -14.05
   0 H Mars Area       (19- 3, 89.6)     7-11      -10.35      23.99      -0.20         1.12           -11.85
   0 A Indiana Area    ( 9- 9, 81.6)     8- 6      -18.32      16.01       0.20         1.12            18.21
   0 A Quaker Valley   ( 9- 6, 82.3)     6- 8      -17.62      16.72       0.20         1.12           -19.55
   0 A Penn-Trafford   ( 8- 7, 83.2)     8-13      -16.70      17.64       0.20         1.12           -18.51
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        18.19

winning pts = 115.8181 losing points = -97.6269

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------