Severn School
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 93.6422Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Landon (11- 0, 96.4) 7- 9 307 H St Albans ( 2- 7, 91.2) 13- 6 311 A DeMatha ( 9- 3, 95.3) 8-12 314 H Sts Peter & Paul (13- 6, 89.8) 18- 2 326 A John Carroll ( 0-12, 89.2) 22- 5 328 H St Johns College HS ( 7- 4, 95.1) 11-12 401 A McDonogh ( 9- 3, 97.7) 6-14 404 H Calvert Hall (12- 2, 98.6) 10-17 411 A Gilman ( 4-10, 93.8) 14-15 415 H St Pauls ( 7- 6, 95.4) 6-17 422 H Boys Latin (11- 3, 97.3) 6- 8 425 A Archbishop Spalding (11- 2, 99.9) 9-14 429 A Mount St Joseph ( 7- 8, 94.6) 12- 7 502 H Loyola-Blakefield ( 7- 5, 96.6) 7-11 506 H St Marys Annapolis ( 4- 8, 94.5) 3-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Landon 7- 9 -2 -2 0.33
307 H St Albans 13- 6 7 3 + 2.14
311 A DeMatha 8-12 -4 -2 -1.86
314 H Sts Peter & Paul 18- 2 16 4 0.72
326 A John Carroll 22- 5 17 4 1.03
328 H St Johns College HS 11-12 -1 -1 0.06
401 A McDonogh 6-14 -8 -4 -0.53
404 H Calvert Hall 10-17 -7 -5 -0.46
411 A Gilman 14-15 -1 -1 -0.42
415 H St Pauls 6-17 -11 -1 - -3.66
422 H Boys Latin 6- 8 -2 -3 1.26
425 A Archbishop Spalding 9-14 -5 -7 0.00
429 A Mount St Joseph 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.44
502 H Loyola-Blakefield 7-11 -4 -3 -1.48
506 H St Marys Annapolis 3-11 -8 0 -- -4.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 H St Marys Annapolis 3-11 -8 0 -- -4.57 415 H St Pauls 6-17 -11 -1 - -3.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Mount St Joseph 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.44 307 H St Albans 13- 6 7 3 + 2.14 |
Severn School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Severn School | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Severn School | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Severn School | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Severn School | |
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) | Bullis | |
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Concordia Prep | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Friends | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Garrett County LC | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Georgetown Day | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) | Georgetown Prep | |
| Gerstell Academy | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Gonzaga | |
| Good Counsel | Severn School | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Severn School | |
| Gunston School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Heights | Severn School | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Severn School | |
| Indian Creek School | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Jemicy School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| John Carroll | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Key School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Mount Carmel | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Park School | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Salisbury School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| St Albans | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| St James | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Severn School | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | Severn School | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Severn School | |
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Tome School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Worcester Prep | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Aberdeen | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Academy for College | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Annapolis | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Arundel | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Atholton | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Bel Air | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Bladensburg | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Blair | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Blake | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Boonsboro | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Bowie | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Broadneck | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Brunswick | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Calvert | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Cambridge SD | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Carver A&T | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Catoctin | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Catonsville | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Centennial | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Century | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| CH Flowers | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Chopticon | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| City College | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Clarksburg | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| CM Wright | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Crofton | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Damascus | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Digital Harbor | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Dulaney | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Dunbar | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Dundalk | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| DuVal | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Eastern Tech | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Easton | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Edgewood | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Einstein | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Elkton | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Fallston | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Forest Park | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Franklin | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Frederick | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Friendly | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Gaithersburg | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Glen Burnie | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Glenelg HS | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Great Mills | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Guilford Park | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Gwynn Park | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Hammond | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Harford Tech | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Havre De Grace | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Hereford | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| High Point | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Howard | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Huntingtown | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| JM Bennett | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Joppatowne | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Kennedy | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Kent County | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| La Plata | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Lackey | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Lake Clifton | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Lansdowne | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Laurel | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Leonardtown | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Liberty | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Linganore | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Loch Raven | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Long Reach | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Magruder | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Manchester Valley | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Meade | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Mergenthaler | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Middletown | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Milford Mill | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| MJ McDonough | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Mount Hebron | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| National Academy Fou | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| New Town | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| North Caroline | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| North County | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| North Dorchester | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| North East Cecil | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| North Hagerstown | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| North Harford | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| North Point | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Northeast AA | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Northern Calvert | Severn School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Northwest | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Northwestern PG | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Northwood | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Oakdale | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Oakland Mills | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Old Mill | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Overlea | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Owings Mills | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Oxon Hill | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Paint Branch | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Parkdale | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Parkside | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Parkville | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Patapsco | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Patterson HS | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Patterson Mill | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Patuxent | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Perry Hall | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Perryville | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Pikesville | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Poolesville | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Queen Annes County | Severn School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severn School | |
| Quince Orchard | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Randallstown | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Reservoir | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Rising Sun | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| River Hill | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Rockville | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Seneca Valley | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Severn Run | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Smithsburg | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| South Carroll | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| South Hagerstown | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| South River | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Southern AA | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sparrows Point | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Springbrook | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| St Charles | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Surrattsville | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Thomas Stone | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Towson | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Tuscarora | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Walt Whitman | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Walter Johnson | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Watkins Mill | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Western STES | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Westlake | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Westminster | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Wheaton | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Wicomico | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Wilde Lake | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Winston Churchill | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Winters Mill | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Woodlawn | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Wootton | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| DC International PCS | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Jackson Reed | Severn School | Severn School |
PowerWise = 203
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Landon (11- 0, 96.4) 7- 9 -3.48 32.11 -0.45 0.81 -3.18
0 H St Albans ( 2- 7, 91.2) 13- 6 -8.67 26.93 -0.45 0.81 21.42
0 A DeMatha ( 9- 3, 95.3) 8-12 -4.56 31.03 0.45 0.81 -3.33
0 H Sts Peter & Pa (13- 6, 89.8) 18- 2 -10.09 25.50 -0.45 0.81 20.27
0 A John Carroll ( 0-12, 89.2) 22- 5 -10.67 24.92 0.45 0.81 20.52
0 H St Johns Colle ( 7- 4, 95.1) 11-12 -4.75 30.84 -0.45 0.81 -4.21
0 A McDonogh ( 9- 3, 97.7) 6-14 -2.24 33.36 0.45 0.81 -1.45
0 H Calvert Hall (12- 2, 98.6) 10-17 -1.27 34.32 -0.45 0.81 -1.39
0 A Gilman ( 4-10, 93.8) 14-15 -6.13 29.47 0.45 0.81 -4.59
0 H St Pauls ( 7- 6, 95.4) 6-17 -4.48 31.12 -0.45 0.81 -3.98
0 H Boys Latin (11- 3, 97.3) 6- 8 -2.55 33.04 -0.45 0.81 -2.42
0 A Archbishop Spa (11- 2, 99.9) 9-14 -0.00 35.59 0.45 0.81 -0.36
0 A Mount St Josep ( 7- 8, 94.6) 12- 7 -5.27 30.33 0.45 0.81 24.90
0 H Loyola-Blakefi ( 7- 5, 96.6) 7-11 -3.30 32.30 -0.45 0.81 -3.03
0 H St Marys Annap ( 4- 8, 94.5) 3-11 -5.38 30.21 -0.45 0.81 -4.71
------
54.45
|
winning pts = 87.1097 losing points = -32.6559
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------