All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.9000015 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Washington-Liberty (11- 6, 79.4) 3- 5 321 H Hayfield (14- 5, 73.9) 12- 6 324 A Centreville ( 3- 9, 75.2) 6- 5 328 A West Potomac (17- 6, 84.1) 4-18 404 A Robinson (16- 6, 85.2) 1-12 407 H Alexandria City (11- 9, 74.3) 4- 2 412 A McLean (10- 8, 78.9) 8- 9 414 N South Lakes ( 4-12, 73.4) 11- 7 425 A Woodson (11- 9, 76.9) 4- 9 426 H Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 6- 4 501 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 72.3) 7- 6 503 H Oakton (14- 6, 81.6) 5-17 506 H West Springfield ( 0-14, 72.1) 8- 7 508 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 75.3) 3- 5 513 H West Springfield ( 0-14, 72.1) 10- 8 515 A Woodson (11- 9, 76.9) 0-10 521 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 64.9) 16- 6 523 A West Potomac (17- 6, 84.1) 4-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Washington-Liberty 3- 5 -2 -3 1.73 321 H Hayfield 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.26 324 A Centreville 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.12 328 A West Potomac 4-18 -14 -9 0.00 404 A Robinson 1-12 -11 -11 0.00 407 H Alexandria City 4- 2 2 1 0.60 412 A McLean 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.75 414 N South Lakes 11- 7 4 1 + 2.51 425 A Woodson 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.22 426 H Freedom South Riding 6- 4 2 -2 ++ 4.10 501 H Fairfax 7- 6 1 3 - -2.36 503 H Oakton 5-17 -12 -5 -1.06 506 H West Springfield 8- 7 1 3 - -2.55 508 A Lake Braddock 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.85 513 H West Springfield 10- 8 2 3 -1.55 515 A Woodson 0-10 -10 -2 -- -4.22 521 A Thomas Jefferson 16- 6 10 9 0.00 523 A West Potomac 4-13 -9 -9 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Woodson 0-10 -10 -2 -- -4.22 425 A Woodson 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.22 501 H Fairfax 7- 6 1 3 - -2.36 506 H West Springfield 8- 7 1 3 - -2.55OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Hayfield 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.26 426 H Freedom South Riding 6- 4 2 -2 ++ 4.10 324 A Centreville 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.12 412 A McLean 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.75 414 N South Lakes 11- 7 4 1 + 2.51
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 74.90 Power Rank................. 63 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.73 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 41 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6062 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 46 RPI Rating............... .5076 RPI Rank................... 74 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 144 Selection sum ........... 223 Selection Rank ............ 63 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -160. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 109 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -140. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 103 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0