South County
W-L: ( 9- 9) PR = 86.0495Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Washington-Liberty (10- 6, 89.3) 3- 5 321 H Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 12- 6 324 A Centreville ( 2- 8, 86.1) 6- 5 328 A West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 4-18 404 A Robinson (16- 4, 93.6) 1-12 407 H Alexandria City (10- 9, 85.6) 4- 2 412 A McLean (10- 8, 88.6) 8- 9 414 N South Lakes ( 4-12, 84.3) 11- 7 425 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 4- 9 426 H Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 6- 4 501 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 7- 6 503 H Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 5-17 506 H West Springfield ( 0-14, 83.3) 8- 7 508 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 3- 5 513 H West Springfield ( 0-14, 83.3) 10- 8 515 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 0-10 521 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 16- 6 523 A West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 4-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 H Washington-Liberty 3- 5 -2 -3 0.69
321 H Hayfield 12- 6 6 2 + 3.39
324 A Centreville 6- 5 1 -1 1.61
328 A West Potomac 4-18 -14 -7 0.00
404 A Robinson 1-12 -11 -8 0.00
407 H Alexandria City 4- 2 2 1 0.92
412 A McLean 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.13
414 N South Lakes 11- 7 4 2 + 2.22
425 A Woodson 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.56
426 H Freedom South Ridin 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.65
501 H Fairfax 7- 6 1 2 -1.35
503 H Oakton 5-17 -12 -4 -0.84
506 H West Springfield 8- 7 1 3 - -2.40
508 A Lake Braddock 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.44
513 H West Springfield 10- 8 2 3 -1.40
515 A Woodson 0-10 -10 -1 - -3.56
521 A Thomas Jefferson 16- 6 10 7 0.00
523 A West Potomac 4-13 -9 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Woodson 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.56 506 H West Springfield 8- 7 1 3 - -2.40 515 A Woodson 0-10 -10 -1 - -3.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Hayfield 12- 6 6 2 + 3.39 412 A McLean 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.13 414 N South Lakes 11- 7 4 2 + 2.22 426 H Freedom South Ridin 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.65 |
South County Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | South County | South County | ||
| Alexandria City | South County | South County | ||
| Annandale | South County | South County 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Bayside | South County | South County | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop Ireton | |
| Bishop OConnell | South County | South County | ||
| Blacksburg | South County | South County | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | South County | South County | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Briar Woods | |
| Broad Run | Broad Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Brooke Point | South County | South County | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | South County | South County | ||
| Centreville | South County | South County | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly 8- 1 vs 5- 4 | ||
| Charlottesville | South County | South County | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | South County | South County | ||
| Clover Hill | South County | South County | ||
| Colgan | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | South County | South County | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cosby | |
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | South County | South County | ||
| Culpeper County | South County | South County | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | South County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | South County | South County | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | South County | South County 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | South County | South County | ||
| Fairfax | South County | South County | ||
| Falls Church | South County | South County 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Fauquier | South County | South County | ||
| First Colonial | South County | South County | ||
| Fishburne Military A | South County | South County | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | South County | South County | ||
| Forest Park | South County | South County | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | South County | South County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | South County | South County | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | South County | South County | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | South County | South County | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | South County | South County | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Gainesville | |
| Gar-field | South County | South County | ||
| Glen Allen | South County | South County | ||
| Goochland | South County | South County | ||
| Grafton LC | South County | South County | ||
| Grassfield LC | South County | South County | ||
| Green Run | South County | South County | ||
| Handley | South County | South County | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | South County | South County | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | South County | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | South County | |
| Herndon | Herndon | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Herndon | |
| Hickory LC | South County | South County | ||
| Hidden Valley | South County | South County | ||
| Highland School | South County | South County | ||
| Highland Springs | South County | South County | ||
| Hylton | South County | South County | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | South County | South County | ||
| James River | South County | South County | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | South County | |
| Justice | South County | South County 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kellam | |
| Kempsville | South County | South County | ||
| Kettle Run | South County | South County | ||
| Lafayette LC | South County | South County | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | South County | South County | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Lewis | South County | South County 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | South County | South County | ||
| Lightridge | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Lloyd C Bird | South County | South County | ||
| Lord Botetourt | South County | South County | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | South County | South County | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | South County | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | South County | |
| Massaponax | South County | South County | ||
| Matoaca | South County | South County | ||
| Maury LC | South County | South County | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | South County | South County | ||
| Menchville LC | South County | South County | ||
| Meridian | South County | South County 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | South County | South County | ||
| Monacan | South County | South County | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | South County | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | South County | |
| Mountain View | South County | South County | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | South County | South County | ||
| New Covenant School | South County | South County | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | South County | South County | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | South County | South County | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | South County | South County | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Orange County | South County | South County | ||
| Osbourn | South County | South County 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Osbourn Park | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Park View | South County | South County | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | South County | South County | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | South County | South County | ||
| Powhatan | South County | South County | ||
| Princess Anne | South County | South County | ||
| Riverbend | South County | South County | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Riverside | |
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | South County | South County | ||
| Rockbridge County | South County | South County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | South County | South County | ||
| Seton School | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South County | South County | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | South County | South County | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | South County | South County | ||
| Steward School | South County | South County | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stone Bridge | |
| Strasburg LC | South County | South County | ||
| Tabb LC | South County | South County | ||
| Tallwood | South County | South County | ||
| Tandem Friends | South County | South County | ||
| Thomas Dale | South County | South County | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | South County | South County | ||
| Trinity Christian | South County | South County | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | South County | South County | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | South County | South County | ||
| Tuscarora | South County | South County | ||
| Unity Reed | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Veritas School | South County | South County | ||
| Virginia Academy | South County | South County | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | South County | South County | ||
| Wakefield HS | South County | South County 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Wakefield School | South County | South County | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | South County | South County | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | South County | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) | South County | |
| William Byrd | South County | South County | ||
| William Fleming | South County | South County | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South County | |
| Woodgrove | South County | South County | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | South County | South County | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown 4- 3 vs 2- 5 |
PowerWise = 120
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Washington-Lib (10- 6, 89.3) 3- 5 -10.55 24.45 -0.61 0.77 -8.65
0 H Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 12- 6 -14.85 20.15 -0.61 0.77 15.14
0 A Centreville ( 2- 8, 86.1) 6- 5 -13.85 21.16 0.61 0.77 16.86
0 A West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 4-18 -7.32 27.68 0.61 0.77 -5.20
0 A Robinson (16- 4, 93.6) 1-12 -6.30 28.70 0.61 0.77 -4.41
0 H Alexandria Cit (10- 9, 85.6) 4- 2 -14.32 20.68 -0.61 0.77 15.55
0 A McLean (10- 8, 88.6) 8- 9 -11.33 23.67 0.61 0.77 -8.30
0 N South Lakes ( 4-12, 84.3) 11- 7 -15.63 19.37 -0.00 0.77 15.01
0 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 4- 9 -13.02 21.99 0.61 0.77 -9.61
0 H Freedom South (12- 7, 88.3) 6- 4 -11.59 23.41 -0.61 0.77 17.66
0 H Fairfax ( 6-10, 84.3) 7- 6 -15.59 19.41 -0.61 0.77 14.57
0 H Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 5-17 -9.09 25.92 -0.61 0.77 -7.51
0 H West Springfie ( 0-14, 83.3) 8- 7 -16.64 18.36 -0.61 0.77 13.75
0 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 86.0) 3- 5 -13.90 21.10 0.61 0.77 -10.30
0 H West Springfie ( 0-14, 83.3) 10- 8 -16.64 18.36 -0.61 0.77 13.75
0 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 0-10 -13.02 21.99 0.61 0.77 -9.61
0 A Thomas Jeffers ( 6- 8, 78.2) 16- 6 -21.72 13.28 0.61 0.77 10.76
0 A West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 4-13 -7.32 27.68 0.61 0.77 -5.20
------
64.26
|
winning pts = 133.0448 losing points = -68.7852
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------