---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys St Bernard-Wheeler 1
  
St Bernard-Wheeler    
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 81.6622

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Granby Memorial (13- 6, 82.8) 9-10 408 A Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 11- 8 410 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 18- 4 415 H Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 5- 9 417 H RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 10-15 422 H Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 10- 6 424 H Norwich Free Academy ( 7- 9, 73.2) 16- 3 429 A Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 7- 8 501 A Ledyard-Griswold ( 8- 8, 75.4) 13- 3 503 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 16-15 505 A Woodstock Academy ( 4-11, 73.2) 17- 1 508 A Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 16- 8 510 H Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 82.7) 11- 8 513 H East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 5- 8 527 A Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 7-11 604 A Granby Memorial (13- 6, 82.8) 9-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Granby Memorial         9-10      -1    -2           0.66
   408 A Stonington             11- 8       3     4          -0.73
   410 H Montville              18- 4      14    13           0.00
   415 H Guilford                5- 9      -4    -5           0.73
   417 H RHAM                   10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.95
   422 H Waterford              10- 6       4     2           1.56
   424 H Norwich Free Academy   16- 3      13     9           0.00
   429 A Bacon Academy           7- 8      -1    -2           0.92
   501 A Ledyard-Griswold       13- 3      10     6           0.00
   503 H Old Saybrook           16-15       1    -1    +      2.22
   505 A Woodstock Academy      17- 1      16     8           0.00
   508 A Fitch  Groton          16- 8       8     7           0.00
   510 H Northwest Catholic     11- 8       3    -1    +      3.57
   513 H East Lyme               5- 8      -3    -1          -1.55
   527 A Bacon Academy           7-11      -4    -2    -     -2.08
   604 A Granby Memorial         9-12      -3    -2          -1.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H RHAM                   10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.95
   527 A Bacon Academy           7-11      -4    -2    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Old Saybrook           16-15       1    -1    +      2.22
   510 H Northwest Catholic     11- 8       3    -1    +      3.57

St Bernard-Wheeler Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Amity Regional
Avon HS St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Bernard-Wheeler
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Berlin St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Bethel Bethel insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bethel
Branford St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) St Bernard-Wheeler
Brien McMahon St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Bristol Co-Op St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Canton St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Capital-Classical Pr St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheshire HS
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Conard
Cromwell St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Danbury St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Enfield St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
EO Smith St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Farmington
Fitch Groton St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial  
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hall
Hamden St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Holy Cross St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Immaculate Danbury St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Bernard-Wheeler
Lakeview United St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Ledyard-Griswold St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Lewis Mills St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) St Bernard-Wheeler
Lyman Hall St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) St Bernard-Wheeler
Maloney-Platt St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Masuk St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Bernard-Wheeler
Middletown St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Montville St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Morgan School St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   3- 0 vs 1- 2
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) New Milford
Newington St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) St Bernard-Wheeler
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
North Haven St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Northwest Catholic St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Norwalk St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Norwich Free Academy St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Norwich Tech St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Notre Dame-Fairfield St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Old Saybrook St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Pomperaug St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Bernard-Wheeler
Prince-Cheney Tech St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
RHAM RHAM RHAM  
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Rocky Hill St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers   4- 0 vs 2- 2
South Windsor St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Bernard-Wheeler
Southington Southington tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Southington
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Staples
Stonington St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Suffield Suffield tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Suffield
Tolland St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Trumbull Trumbull insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Trumbull
Valley Regional St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Vinal/Goodwin Tech St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Waterford St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Watertown St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
West Haven St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Westhill St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Weston Weston tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Weston
Wethersfield St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) St Bernard-Wheeler
Wilbur Cross St Bernard-Wheeler insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
Wolcott St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Bernard-Wheeler
Woodstock Academy St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
Xavier Xavier insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Xavier

PowerWise = 58


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Granby Memoria  (13- 6, 82.8)     9-10      -17.06      23.20       0.47         1.06           -17.63
   0 A Stonington      ( 7- 9, 77.5)    11- 8      -22.45      17.81       0.47         1.06            19.44
   0 H Montville       ( 2-14, 69.6)    18- 4      -30.27       9.99      -0.47         1.06            10.12
   0 H Guilford        (13- 8, 86.9)     5- 9      -13.04      27.22      -0.47         1.06           -14.36
   0 H RHAM            (15- 5, 83.2)    10-15      -16.72      23.54      -0.47         1.06           -18.28
   0 H Waterford       (10- 5, 79.7)    10- 6      -20.20      20.05      -0.47         1.06            20.81
   0 H Norwich Free A  ( 7- 9, 73.2)    16- 3      -26.67      13.59      -0.47         1.06            13.94
   0 A Bacon Academy   (14- 5, 83.1)     7- 8      -16.79      23.47       0.47         1.06           -17.35
   0 A Ledyard-Griswo  ( 8- 8, 75.4)    13- 3      -24.51      15.75       0.47         1.06            17.24
   0 H Old Saybrook    (15- 5, 83.4)    16-15      -16.54      23.71      -0.47         1.06            24.70
   0 A Woodstock Acad  ( 4-11, 73.2)    17- 1      -26.74      13.51       0.47         1.06            14.87
   0 A Fitch  Groton   ( 3-10, 74.6)    16- 8      -25.34      14.91       0.47         1.06            16.35
   0 H Northwest Cath  ( 8- 9, 82.7)    11- 8      -17.20      23.06      -0.47         1.06            24.01
   0 H East Lyme       (15- 4, 83.6)     5- 8      -16.31      23.94      -0.47         1.06           -17.85
   0 A Bacon Academy   (14- 5, 83.1)     7-11      -16.79      23.47       0.47         1.06           -17.35
   0 A Granby Memoria  (13- 6, 82.8)     9-12      -17.06      23.20       0.47         1.06           -17.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        41.05

winning pts = 161.4908 losing points = -120.4373

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------