All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.8000031 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 326 H Akron (13- 5, 75.7) 12-13 328 H Depew ( 4-13, 59.2) 18- 4 402 H Medina ( 6-12, 62.1) 21- 6 404 H Wilson Central ( 4- 6, 65.3) 21- 6 405 A West Seneca West ( 6-10, 66.8) 16-10 407 A Erie-McDowell ( 8-11, 67.4) 12- 7 409 A Eden/North Collins (12- 6, 74.9) 11-16 411 A East Aurora (15- 4, 76.5) 4-11 424 A St Francis ( 7-11, 74.0) 19-16 425 A Newfane ( 1-10, 49.4) 21- 2 426 H Niagara Wheatfield ( 6-10, 72.4) 11- 9 428 H Canisius HS ( 9-10, 74.0) 18-16 430 A Gowanda (12- 3, 77.9) 12-11 502 A Tonawanda ( 0-13, 46.7) 18- 2 503 H Cathedral Prep ( 6- 9, 66.5) 19-12 516 H Lake Shore/Silver Cree (16- 4, 79.3) 7-14 520 A Akron (13- 5, 75.7) 10-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Akron 12-13 -1 -1 0.35 328 H Depew 18- 4 14 15 0.00 402 H Medina 21- 6 15 12 0.00 404 H Wilson Central 21- 6 15 9 0.00 405 A West Seneca West 16-10 6 6 -0.44 407 A Erie-McDowell 12- 7 5 5 n/a 409 A Eden/North Collins 11-16 -5 -1 - -3.31 411 A East Aurora 4-11 -7 -3 - -3.71 424 A St Francis 19-16 3 0 + 3.76 425 A Newfane 21- 2 19 23 0.00 426 H Niagara Wheatfield 11- 9 2 1 0.02 428 H Canisius HS 18-16 2 0 1.63 430 A Gowanda 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.69 502 A Tonawanda 18- 2 16 26 0.00 503 H Cathedral Prep 19-12 7 7 n/a 516 H Lake Shore/Silver Cree 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.05 520 A Akron 10-13 -3 -2 -0.51UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Eden/North Collins 11-16 -5 -1 - -3.31 411 A East Aurora 4-11 -7 -3 - -3.71 516 H Lake Shore/Silver Cree 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.05OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Gowanda 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.69 424 A St Francis 19-16 3 0 + 3.76
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 73.80 Power Rank................. 181 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 40.10 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 258 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4578 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 359 RPI Rating............... .5321 RPI Rank................... 140 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 260 Selection sum ........... 612 Selection Rank ............ 196 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -75. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 110 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 113 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0