All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.4400024 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Bullis (16- 5, 96.2) 5-12 318 A Deep Run ( 9- 8, 82.2) 10- 3 319 H First Flight (17- 4, 79.8) 18- 6 321 H St Stephen-St Agnes ( 3-12, 84.5) 15- 2 323 H Georgetown Prep ( 8- 9, 92.5) 10- 7 325 A Christchurch ( 9- 8, 91.1) 7-12 328 H Catholic HS (13- 7, 85.6) 12- 9 401 H Episcopal ( 9- 9, 89.5) 5-10 404 A Benedictine ( 8-10, 78.6) 16- 6 405 H Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 22- 4 408 A St Annes-Belfield (18- 3, 96.2) 4-15 411 A Blue Ridge School (15- 8, 90.6) 13-12 414 A Fork Union Military Ac ( 6- 5, 77.7) 25-11 417 A Potomac School (10-10, 83.2) 18- 5 422 H Norfolk Academy (13- 8, 85.7) 11- 9 430 A Trinity Episcopal ( 1-14, 67.2) 23- 3 502 A Collegiate School (13- 6, 88.2) 13- 7 506 H Woodberry Forest ( 9- 9, 85.9) 13- 9 507 A Atlee (10- 9, 82.6) 18- 6 510 H St Stephen-St Agnes ( 3-12, 84.5) 16- 9 513 A Christchurch ( 9- 8, 91.1) 11-10 517 A St Annes-Belfield (18- 3, 96.2) 4-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Bullis 5-12 -7 -6 n/a 318 A Deep Run 10- 3 7 7 0.00 319 H First Flight 18- 6 12 11 n/a 321 H St Stephen-St Agnes 15- 2 13 6 0.25 323 H Georgetown Prep 10- 7 3 -1 n/a 325 A Christchurch 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.53 328 H Catholic HS 12- 9 3 5 - -2.61 401 H Episcopal 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.70 404 A Benedictine 16- 6 10 11 0.00 405 H Riverside 22- 4 18 5 1.02 408 A St Annes-Belfield 4-15 -11 -6 -0.50 411 A Blue Ridge School 13-12 1 0 1.96 414 A Fork Union Military Ac 25-11 14 11 0.00 417 A Potomac School 18- 5 13 6 0.50 422 H Norfolk Academy 11- 9 2 5 - -3.48 430 A Trinity Episcopal 23- 3 20 22 0.00 502 A Collegiate School 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.56 506 H Woodberry Forest 13- 9 4 5 -1.34 507 A Atlee 18- 6 12 7 0.00 510 H St Stephen-St Agnes 16- 9 7 6 0.25 513 A Christchurch 11-10 1 -1 + 2.47 517 A St Annes-Belfield 4-14 -10 -6 -0.50UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 90.44 Power Rank................. 5 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 69.58 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5537 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 83 RPI Rating............... .6588 RPI Rank................... 12 Champ. Probability ...... 5.0 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 105 Selection Rank ............ 28 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 165. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 10 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7