All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.2399979 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 75.4) 16- 0 328 H Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 9- 1 401 A Landon (18- 1, 97.1) 3-20 405 A St Christophers (17- 5, 90.4) 4-22 407 H Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 5- 7 409 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 17- 4 422 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 75.3) 17- 2 423 H John Champe ( 5-10, 66.1) 20- 3 426 A Atlee (10- 9, 82.6) 17-11 429 H Dominion ( 6-10, 71.8) 20- 4 430 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 8- 7 506 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 67.6) 21- 1 513 A Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 7- 4 515 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 17- 4 521 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 9- 6 523 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 9- 8 528 H Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Patriot 16- 0 16 9 0.00 328 H Freedom South Riding 9- 1 8 8 0.00 401 A Landon 3-20 -17 -12 n/a 405 A St Christophers 4-22 -18 -5 -1.02 407 H Madison 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.81 409 A Lightridge 17- 4 13 10 0.00 422 A Woodgrove 17- 2 15 9 0.00 423 H John Champe 20- 3 17 19 0.00 426 A Atlee 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.14 429 H Dominion 20- 4 16 14 0.00 430 H Briar Woods 8- 7 1 3 - -2.62 506 A Potomac Falls 21- 1 20 16 0.00 513 A Independence 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.95 515 H Stone Bridge 17- 4 13 6 0.76 521 H Stone Bridge 9- 6 3 6 - -3.24 523 H Briar Woods 9- 8 1 3 - -2.62 528 H Independence 11-12 -1 0 -0.61UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Madison 5- 7 -2 0 - -2.81 430 H Briar Woods 8- 7 1 3 - -2.62 521 H Stone Bridge 9- 6 3 6 - -3.24 523 H Briar Woods 9- 8 1 3 - -2.62OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Atlee 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.14 513 A Independence 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.95
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 85.24 Power Rank................. 12 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 58.29 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 18 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5836 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 62 RPI Rating............... .6620 RPI Rank................... 10 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 136 Selection sum ........... 81 Selection Rank ............ 18 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 13 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 9 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -18.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0