Reservoir
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 83.2906Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 14- 0 325 H Old Mill ( 4- 8, 80.5) 9- 4 327 H Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 13- 2 401 A Annapolis ( 9- 4, 86.4) 6- 9 403 H Oakland Mills ( 6- 7, 81.0) 17- 6 408 A Glenelg HS (12- 5, 90.3) 0-13 410 H Hammond ( 2-11, 74.5) 14- 1 422 H Wilde Lake ( 5-10, 80.0) 15- 4 424 A River Hill ( 8- 6, 83.5) 6- 8 428 A Marriotts Ridge (11- 6, 88.8) 4-21 430 H Long Reach ( 4- 8, 78.4) 18- 6 502 A Mount Hebron ( 6- 8, 85.9) 6-13 508 A Blake ( 8- 6, 82.3) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Atholton 14- 0 14 6 0.00
325 H Old Mill 9- 4 5 3 1.78
327 H Guilford Park 13- 2 11 9 0.00
401 A Annapolis 6- 9 -3 -4 0.55
403 H Oakland Mills 17- 6 11 3 + 2.25
408 A Glenelg HS 0-13 -13 -7 0.00
410 H Hammond 14- 1 13 9 0.00
422 H Wilde Lake 15- 4 11 4 1.30
424 A River Hill 6- 8 -2 -1 -1.32
428 A Marriotts Ridge 4-21 -17 -6 0.00
430 H Long Reach 18- 6 12 5 0.00
502 A Mount Hebron 6-13 -7 -3 -1.98
508 A Blake 9-11 -2 1 - -2.53
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 A Blake 9-11 -2 1 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Oakland Mills 17- 6 11 3 + 2.25 |
Reservoir Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Reservoir | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Friends | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Garrett County LC | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Georgetown Day | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Jemicy School | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Salisbury School | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Reservoir | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Reservoir | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Academy for College | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Reservoir | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Atholton | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Reservoir | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Reservoir | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Reservoir | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Bladensburg | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Blair | Reservoir | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Boonsboro | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Bowie | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Brunswick | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Calvert | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Cambridge SD | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Carver A&T | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 4) | Centennial | |
| Century | Century | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Chesapeake BC | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Clarksburg | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Damascus | |
| Digital Harbor | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Dundalk | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| DuVal | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Eastern Tech | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Einstein | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Elkton | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Friendly | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Gaithersburg | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Glen Burnie | Reservoir | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Reservoir | |
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Great Mills | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Guilford Park | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Gwynn Park | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Hammond | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Harford Tech | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Havre De Grace | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hereford | |
| High Point | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard 7- 1 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Huntingtown | |
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Kennedy | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Kent County | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent Island | |
| Kenwood | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| La Plata | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Lackey | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Lake Clifton | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Lansdowne | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Laurel | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Long Reach | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Magruder | Reservoir | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Reservoir | Reservoir 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Mergenthaler | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| MJ McDonough | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| New Town | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| North Caroline | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| North County | North County | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| North East Cecil | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| North Hagerstown | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Northeast AA | |
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Northwestern PG | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Northwood | Reservoir | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Oakdale | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Oakland Mills | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Old Mill | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Overlea | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Owings Mills | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Oxon Hill | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Paint Branch | Reservoir | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Parkdale | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Patapsco | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Patterson HS | Reservoir | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Patterson Mill | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Patuxent | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Perry Hall | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Perryville | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Pikesville | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Poolesville | Reservoir | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Reservoir | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Reservoir | |
| Randallstown | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Rising Sun | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Reservoir | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Reservoir | |
| Seneca Valley | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Severn Run | Reservoir | Reservoir 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Carroll | |
| South Hagerstown | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| South River | South River | South River 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Southern AA | Reservoir | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Reservoir | |
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Reservoir | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| St Charles | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Surrattsville | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Thomas Stone | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Towson | Towson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Walt Whitman | |
| Walter Johnson | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Watkins Mill | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Western STES | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Westlake | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Wicomico | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Wilde Lake | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Reservoir | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Reservoir | |
| Woodlawn | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Wootton | Reservoir | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Archbishop Carroll | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| DC International PCS | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Jackson Reed | Reservoir | Reservoir |
PowerWise = 141
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 14- 0 -22.77 12.82 0.45 0.93 12.38
0 H Old Mill ( 4- 8, 80.5) 9- 4 -19.39 16.21 -0.45 0.93 14.71
0 H Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 13- 2 -25.35 10.25 -0.45 0.93 9.15
0 A Annapolis ( 9- 4, 86.4) 6- 9 -13.50 22.09 0.45 0.93 -12.19
0 H Oakland Mills ( 6- 7, 81.0) 17- 6 -18.91 16.68 -0.45 0.93 15.16
0 A Glenelg HS (12- 5, 90.3) 0-13 -9.65 25.95 0.45 0.93 -8.59
0 H Hammond ( 2-11, 74.5) 14- 1 -25.39 10.20 -0.45 0.93 9.11
0 H Wilde Lake ( 5-10, 80.0) 15- 4 -19.87 15.73 -0.45 0.93 14.26
0 A River Hill ( 8- 6, 83.5) 6- 8 -16.38 19.22 0.45 0.93 -14.87
0 A Marriotts Ridg (11- 6, 88.8) 4-21 -11.08 24.52 0.45 0.93 -9.92
0 H Long Reach ( 4- 8, 78.4) 18- 6 -21.50 14.09 -0.45 0.93 12.74
0 A Mount Hebron ( 6- 8, 85.9) 6-13 -14.04 21.56 0.45 0.93 -12.69
0 A Blake ( 8- 6, 82.3) 9-11 -17.59 18.01 0.45 0.93 -16.00
------
13.25
|
winning pts = 87.5120 losing points = -74.2588
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------