Rock Canyon
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 89.3414
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
308 H Arapahoe (12- 3, 95.6) 4-13
311 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 17-10
328 A Cherokee Trail ( 8- 7, 92.1) 7- 6
402 A Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 7- 9
408 H Legend (11- 4, 94.6) 6-15
411 A Mountain Vista (10- 5, 93.6) 7-13
416 H Valor Christian (13- 1, 98.4) 4-19
422 A ThunderRidge ( 3-10, 80.9) 14- 4
424 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 7-10
426 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 16- 4
429 A Regis Jesuit (10- 5, 96.0) 5-11
502 H Kent Denver ( 2-11, 87.9) 8-10
503 H Chatfield (11- 6, 91.3) 9- 7
507 A Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 8- 7
510 A Valor Christian (13- 1, 98.4) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Arapahoe 4-13 -9 -6 0.00
311 A Pine Creek 17-10 7 5 0.22
328 A Cherokee Trail 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.17
402 A Lakewood 7- 9 -2 -1 -1.38
408 H Legend 6-15 -9 -5 -0.07
411 A Mountain Vista 7-13 -6 -5 -0.38
416 H Valor Christian 4-19 -15 -9 0.00
422 A ThunderRidge 14- 4 10 8 0.00
424 A Castle View 7-10 -3 -1 - -2.31
426 H Chaparral 16- 4 12 10 0.00
429 A Regis Jesuit 5-11 -6 -7 0.00
502 H Kent Denver 8-10 -2 2 - -3.77
503 H Chatfield 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.55
507 A Lewis Palmer 8- 7 1 1 0.01
510 A Valor Christian 2-16 -14 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
424 A Castle View 7-10 -3 -1 - -2.31
502 H Kent Denver 8-10 -2 2 - -3.77
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
328 A Cherokee Trail 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.17
503 H Chatfield 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.55
|
Rock Canyon Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Academy |
Air Academy |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Air Academy |
Arapahoe |
Arapahoe |
Arapahoe |
 
| |
Arvada West |
Rock Canyon |
|
Rock Canyon   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Aspen |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Battle Mountain |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Boulder |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Rock Canyon |
Castle View |
Castle View |
Castle View |
 
|
Chaparral |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
| |
Chatfield |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
|
Cherokee Trail |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
|
Cherry Creek |
Cherry Creek |
|
Cherry Creek   6- 0 vs 1- 5 |
|
Cheyenne Mountain |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Rock Canyon |
Colorado Academy |
Colorado Academy |
|
Colorado Academy   5- 2 vs 2- 5 |
|
Columbine |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Rock Canyon |
Conifer |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Crested Butte |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Dakota Ridge |
Dakota Ridge |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Dakota Ridge |
Denver East |
Denver East |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) |
Denver East |
Denver North |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Denver South |
Denver South |
|
tied - ( 1- 6) ( 1- 6) |
Denver South |
Douglas County |
Rock Canyon |
|
Rock Canyon   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Durango |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Eagle Valley |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Eaglecrest |
Rock Canyon |
|
Rock Canyon   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
Erie |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) |
Rock Canyon |
Evergreen |
Evergreen |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Evergreen |
Fairview |
Fairview |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Fairview |
Fountain Valley |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Fruita Monument |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Glenwood Springs |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Golden |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rock Canyon |
Grand Junction |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Grandview |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 5) |
Rock Canyon |
Green Mountain |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Heritage |
Rock Canyon |
|
Rock Canyon   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Holy Family |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Jefferson Academy |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Kent Denver |
Kent Denver |
Kent Denver |
 
| |
Lakewood |
Lakewood |
Lakewood |
 
| |
Legend |
Legend |
Legend |
 
| |
Lewis Palmer |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
| |
Littleton |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Lutheran |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Middle Park |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Monarch |
Rock Canyon |
|
Rock Canyon   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Montrose |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Mountain Range |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Rock Canyon |
Mountain Vista |
Mountain Vista |
Mountain Vista |
 
| |
Mullen |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rock Canyon |
Northfield |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Rock Canyon |
Palmer |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Pine Creek |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
| |
Ponderosa |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Rock Canyon |
Poudre District |
Poudre District |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Poudre District |
Prairie View |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Pueblo West |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Ralston Valley |
Ralston Valley |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) |
Ralston Valley |
Rangeview |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Regis Jesuit |
Regis Jesuit |
Regis Jesuit |
 
| |
Resurrection Christi |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Smoky Hill |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
St Marys HS |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Steamboat Springs |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rock Canyon |
Summit |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Telluride |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Thomas Jefferson |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Thompson Valley |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
ThunderRidge |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
| |
Vail Mountain |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Valor Christian |
Valor Christian |
Valor Christian |
 
| |
Vanguard School |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Windsor |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
PowerWise = 54

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Arapahoe (12- 3, 95.6) 4-13 -4.34 29.16 -0.37 1.00 -4.72
0 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 17-10 -15.71 17.79 0.37 1.00 18.21
0 A Cherokee Trail ( 8- 7, 92.1) 7- 6 -7.76 25.74 0.37 1.00 26.18
0 A Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 7- 9 -10.31 23.19 0.37 1.00 -9.97
0 H Legend (11- 4, 94.6) 6-15 -5.26 28.24 -0.37 1.00 -5.64
0 A Mountain Vista (10- 5, 93.6) 7-13 -6.31 27.19 0.37 1.00 -5.96
0 H Valor Christia (13- 1, 98.4) 4-19 -1.50 32.01 -0.37 1.00 -1.87
0 A ThunderRidge ( 3-10, 80.9) 14- 4 -18.99 14.51 0.37 1.00 14.92
0 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 7-10 -10.24 23.26 0.37 1.00 -9.90
0 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 16- 4 -20.09 13.42 -0.37 1.00 13.08
0 A Regis Jesuit (10- 5, 96.0) 5-11 -3.87 29.63 0.37 1.00 -3.51
0 H Kent Denver ( 2-11, 87.9) 8-10 -11.96 21.54 -0.37 1.00 -12.36
0 H Chatfield (11- 6, 91.3) 9- 7 -8.64 24.86 -0.37 1.00 24.56
0 A Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 8- 7 -11.92 21.59 0.37 1.00 22.01
0 A Valor Christia (13- 1, 98.4) 2-16 -1.50 32.01 0.37 1.00 -1.13
------
63.91
|
winning pts = 118.9703 losing points = -55.0632
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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