---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:08 PDT

safe3step boys Roseburg 1
  
Roseburg              
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 84.3040

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Newberg ( 9- 6, 87.6) 7-11 321 H Sprague/South Salem ( 0-16, 74.8) 22- 6 401 A Clackamas/Nelson (12- 3, 92.2) 2-15 404 A Ridgeview ( 4- 8, 82.5) 9- 8 408 A West Salem/McNary (15- 5, 89.5) 4-13 411 A Forest Grove (17- 3, 86.9) 9-17 416 A South Eugene (13- 2, 90.0) 1-18 418 H Sheldon ( 7-11, 84.5) 9- 8 422 H Hillsboro ( 0-14, 74.8) 21- 0 425 H Thurston ( 4-11, 82.2) 10- 7 429 A Marist ( 5-10, 82.7) 15- 5 501 H South Eugene (13- 2, 90.0) 3-15 506 A Sheldon ( 7-11, 84.5) 4-10 513 A Thurston ( 4-11, 82.2) 12- 4 516 H Marist ( 5-10, 82.7) 5- 7 522 H Century ( 4-14, 83.3) 13- 6 528 A Forest Grove (17- 3, 86.9) 7-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Newberg                 7-11      -4    -3          -1.30
   321 H Sprague/South Salem    22- 6      16    10           0.00
   401 A Clackamas/Nelson        2-15     -13    -9           0.00
   404 A Ridgeview               9- 8       1     1          -0.25
   408 A West Salem/McNary       4-13      -9    -6           0.00
   411 A Forest Grove            9-17      -8    -3          -1.83
   416 A South Eugene            1-18     -17    -6           0.00
   418 H Sheldon                 9- 8       1     0           0.56
   422 H Hillsboro              21- 0      21    10           0.00
   425 H Thurston               10- 7       3     3           0.28
   429 A Marist                 15- 5      10     1    +      3.96
   501 H South Eugene            3-15     -12    -5           0.00
   506 A Sheldon                 4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.26
   513 A Thurston               12- 4       8     2    +      3.46
   516 H Marist                  5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.22
   522 H Century                13- 6       7     2    +      3.42
   528 A Forest Grove            7-10      -3    -3           0.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Sheldon                 4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.26
   516 H Marist                  5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Marist                 15- 5      10     1    +      3.96
   513 A Thurston               12- 4       8     2    +      3.46
   522 H Century                13- 6       7     2    +      3.42

Roseburg Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Aloha/Southridge Roseburg insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Roseburg
Beaverton Beaverton insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Beaverton
Bend/Caldera Bend/Caldera insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) Bend/Caldera
Burns Roseburg tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Roseburg
Canby Canby insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Canby
Central Catholic Central Catholic tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Central Catholic
Century Roseburg Roseburg  
Clackamas/Nelson Clackamas/Nelson Clackamas/Nelson  
Corvallis Roseburg Roseburg   4- 6 vs 1- 8
Forest Grove Forest Grove Forest Grove  
Glencoe Glencoe tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Glencoe
Grant/Central Eastsi Grant/Central Eastsi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grant/Central Eastsi
Hillsboro Roseburg Roseburg  
Hood River Hood River tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hood River
Ida B Wells Ida B Wells tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Ida B Wells
Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Jesuit Portland
Lake Oswego/Riverdal Lake Oswego/Riverdal tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Oswego/Riverdal
Lakeridge Lakeridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lakeridge
Liberty Liberty insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Liberty
Lincoln Lincoln tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lincoln
Marist Roseburg Roseburg   4- 4 vs 1- 6
Mountain View Roseburg tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) Roseburg
Mountainside Mountainside insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Mountainside
Newberg Newberg Newberg  
Oregon City Oregon City tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oregon City
Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ridgeview Roseburg Roseburg  
Sheldon Sheldon tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) Sheldon
Sherwood Sherwood insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Sherwood
South Eugene South Eugene South Eugene  
Sprague/South Salem Roseburg Roseburg  
Summit Summit Summit   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Sunset Sunset   Sunset
Thurston Roseburg Roseburg  
Tigard Tigard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Tigard
Tualatin Tualatin tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Tualatin
West Albany Roseburg Roseburg   4- 5 vs 2- 5
West Linn West Linn West Linn   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Salem/McNary West Salem/McNary West Salem/McNary  
Westview Westview insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) Westview
Wilsonville Wilsonville Wilsonville   4- 3 vs 2- 5

PowerWise = 11


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Newberg         ( 9- 6, 87.6)     7-11      -12.31      12.80      -0.59         0.94           -12.18
   0 H Sprague/South   ( 0-16, 74.8)    22- 6      -25.10       1.00      -0.59         0.94             0.39
   0 A Clackamas/Nels  (12- 3, 92.2)     2-15       -7.66      17.45       0.59         0.94            -6.67
   0 A Ridgeview       ( 4- 8, 82.5)     9- 8      -17.43       7.68       0.59         0.94             7.80
   0 A West Salem/McN  (15- 5, 89.5)     4-13      -10.37      14.74       0.59         0.94            -9.23
   0 A Forest Grove    (17- 3, 86.9)     9-17      -13.01      12.10       0.59         0.94           -11.73
   0 A South Eugene    (13- 2, 90.0)     1-18       -9.89      15.22       0.59         0.94            -8.78
   0 H Sheldon         ( 7-11, 84.5)     9- 8      -15.45       9.66      -0.59         0.94             8.57
   0 H Hillsboro       ( 0-14, 74.8)    21- 0      -25.11       1.00      -0.59         0.94             0.39
   0 H Thurston        ( 4-11, 82.2)    10- 7      -17.73       7.38      -0.59         0.94             6.41
   0 A Marist          ( 5-10, 82.7)    15- 5      -17.22       7.89       0.59         0.94             8.00
   0 H South Eugene    (13- 2, 90.0)     3-15       -9.89      15.22      -0.59         0.94            -9.89
   0 A Sheldon         ( 7-11, 84.5)     4-10      -15.45       9.66       0.59         0.94           -14.03
   0 A Thurston        ( 4-11, 82.2)    12- 4      -17.73       7.38       0.59         0.94             7.52
   0 H Marist          ( 5-10, 82.7)     5- 7      -17.22       7.89      -0.59         0.94           -16.81
   0 H Century         ( 4-14, 83.3)    13- 6      -16.58       8.53      -0.59         0.94             7.49
   0 A Forest Grove    (17- 3, 86.9)     7-10      -13.01      12.10       0.59         0.94           -11.73
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -54.48

winning pts = 46.5727 losing points = -101.0490

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------