All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 68.6900024 home-field advantage = -0.63 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Colchester ( 2-11, 59.1) 9- 1 409 A Bellows Free Academy-S ( 0-15, 63.5) 10- 4 412 H Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 74.2) 8- 9 415 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 62.4) 13- 5 417 H Burlington ( 9- 3, 67.2) 3- 5 419 H Middlebury Union (14- 4, 73.6) 5-14 426 A St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 65.7) 7- 8 430 H Essex Junction ( 9- 9, 72.4) 3- 6 502 A Champlain Valley Union (13- 5, 74.4) 4- 7 506 H South Burlington (12- 5, 72.1) 6- 7 509 H Bellows Free Academy-S ( 0-15, 63.5) 7- 2 513 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 74.2) 9-12 519 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 73.6) 4-11 523 A Essex Junction ( 9- 9, 72.4) 5-10 527 H Champlain Valley Union (13- 5, 74.4) 5-15 530 A South Burlington (12- 5, 72.1) 4- 9 603 A Woodstock Union ( 7- 9, 70.0) 6- 4 606 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 73.6) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Colchester 9- 1 8 10 0.00 409 A Bellows Free Academy-S 10- 4 6 4 1.40 412 H Mt Mansfield Union 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.85 415 H Stowe 13- 5 8 6 0.09 417 H Burlington 3- 5 -2 2 -- -4.10 419 H Middlebury Union 5-14 -9 -4 - -2.70 426 A St Johnsbury Academy 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.33 430 H Essex Junction 3- 6 -3 -3 0.07 502 A Champlain Valley Union 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.30 506 H South Burlington 6- 7 -1 -2 1.82 509 H Bellows Free Academy-S 7- 2 5 5 -0.86 513 A Mt Mansfield Union 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.11 519 A Middlebury Union 4-11 -7 -5 -1.44 523 A Essex Junction 5-10 -5 -4 -0.67 527 H Champlain Valley Union 5-15 -10 -5 -1.96 530 A South Burlington 4- 9 -5 -4 -0.92 603 A Woodstock Union 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.98 606 A Middlebury Union 9-10 -1 -5 ++ 4.56UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Burlington 3- 5 -2 2 -- -4.10 419 H Middlebury Union 5-14 -9 -4 - -2.70 426 A St Johnsbury Academy 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.33OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 606 A Middlebury Union 9-10 -1 -5 ++ 4.56 412 H Mt Mansfield Union 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.85 502 A Champlain Valley Union 4- 7 -3 -6 + 3.30 513 A Mt Mansfield Union 9-12 -3 -6 + 3.11 603 A Woodstock Union 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.98
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 68.69 Power Rank................. 12 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 41.23 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6576 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .4763 RPI Rank................... 16 Champ. Probability ...... 2.0 Championship Rank ......... 10 Selection sum ........... 37 Selection Rank ............ 10 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 16 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -45. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 16 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3