---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Reagan 1
  
Reagan                
W-L: (12-12) PR = 86.7705

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Community School-Dav (16- 9, 90.4) 5-13 227 A Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 88.8) 8-11 304 A Page (12-10, 87.5) 11-12 305 H Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 14- 4 318 H East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 5- 4 319 A Northwest Guilford (20- 5, 94.7) 6-18 321 A Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 13- 3 325 A Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 4-15 328 H West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 15- 9 403 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 11-14 404 A Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 18- 6 408 A RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 9-15 415 H Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 15- 5 418 H Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 11-14 422 A West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 13- 6 423 A East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 12- 5 424 A Lake Norman Charter (17- 7, 93.5) 4-18 428 A South Mecklenburg ( 1-14, 80.4) 17- 4 429 H Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 14- 6 502 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 7-20 505 H East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 13- 3 507 A Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 10-12 513 H Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 11- 5 516 H Charlotte Catholic (15- 5, 96.0) 0-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Community School-Dav    5-13      -8    -4          -1.07
   227 A Northern Guilford       8-11      -3    -2          -0.69
   304 A Page                   11-12      -1    -1           0.03
   305 H Grimsley               14- 4      10     4           0.74
   318 H East Forsyth            5- 4       1     5    -     -3.52
   319 A Northwest Guilford      6-18     -12    -8           0.00
   321 A Glenn                  13- 3      10     7           0.00
   325 A Davie                   4-15     -11    -3          -1.60
   328 H West Forsyth           15- 9       6     3    +      2.00
   403 H Greensboro Day         11-14      -3    -2          -1.17
   404 A Mount Tabor            18- 6      12     5           0.00
   408 A RJ Reynolds             9-15      -6    -6           0.00
   415 H Glenn                  15- 5      10     8           0.00
   418 H Davie                  11-14      -3    -3          -0.14
   422 A West Forsyth           13- 6       7     2    +      2.55
   423 A East Forsyth           12- 5       7     4           1.02
   424 A Lake Norman Charter     4-18     -14    -7           0.00
   428 A South Mecklenburg      17- 4      13     6           0.00
   429 H Mount Tabor            14- 6       8     6           0.00
   502 H RJ Reynolds             7-20     -13    -5           0.00
   505 H East Forsyth           13- 3      10     5           0.48
   507 A Davie                  10-12      -2    -3           1.40
   513 H Asheville HS           11- 5       6     5           0.00
   516 H Charlotte Catholic      0-21     -21    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H East Forsyth            5- 4       1     5    -     -3.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H West Forsyth           15- 9       6     3    +      2.00
   422 A West Forsyth           13- 6       7     2    +      2.55

Reagan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   5- 2 vs 2- 4
Arendell Parrott Aca Reagan   Reagan
Asheville HS Reagan Reagan  
Asheville School Reagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Reagan
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Reagan insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Reagan
Ballantyne Ridge Reagan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) Reagan
Bishop McGuinness Reagan insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) Reagan
Bradford Prep Reagan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Reagan
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Reagan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Reagan
Cannon School Cannon School insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Reagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reagan
Cape Fear HS Reagan   Reagan
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Carrboro Reagan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Reagan
Cary Academy Cary Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cary Academy
Cary Christian Reagan   Reagan
Cary HS Reagan   Reagan
Cedar Ridge Reagan   Reagan
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic  
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King Christ The King   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Reagan   Reagan
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav Community School-Dav  
Corinth Holders Reagan   Reagan
Cornerstone Charter Reagan   Reagan
Croatan Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Cuthbertson
Davie Davie Davie  
DH Conley Reagan   Reagan
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Reagan Reagan  
Eastern Alamance Reagan   Reagan
Eastern Guilford Reagan   Reagan
Enloe Reagan   Reagan
Fike Reagan   Reagan
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Reagan   Reagan
Garner Reagan   Reagan
Glenn Reagan Reagan  
Grays Creek Reagan   Reagan
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day Greensboro Day  
Grimsley Reagan Reagan  
Havelock Reagan   Reagan
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Reagan insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 2) Reagan
High Point Central Reagan   Reagan
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holly Springs
Hough Hough Hough   7- 0 vs 0- 6
Hunt Reagan   Reagan
Independence Reagan   Reagan
Jack Britt Reagan   Reagan
Jacksonville Reagan   Reagan
JF Webb Reagan   Reagan
JH Rose Reagan   Reagan
John Paul II Catholi Reagan   Reagan
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   4- 0 vs 0- 3
Laney Laney insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Reagan tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Reagan
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Middle Creek Middle Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Reagan tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) Reagan
Mount Tabor Reagan Reagan  
Mountain Island Char Reagan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Reagan
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 5) Myers Park
New Bern Reagan   Reagan
New Hanover Reagan   Reagan
North Brunswick Reagan   Reagan
North Davidson Reagan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Reagan
North Lincoln North Lincoln insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 2) North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ Reagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reagan
Northern Durham Reagan   Reagan
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
Northside Reagan   Reagan
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Northwood Reagan   Reagan
Page Page Page  
Panther Creek Reagan   Reagan
Parkwood Reagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reagan
Patton Morganton Reagan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Reagan
Pine Forest Reagan   Reagan
Pine Lake Prep Reagan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Reagan
Pinecrest Reagan   Reagan
Porter Ridge Reagan   Reagan
Providence Reagan tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 4) Reagan
Providence Day Providence Day tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Providence Day
Queens Grant Reagan   Reagan
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Reagan Reagan   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Reagan   Reagan
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Rolesville Reagan   Reagan
Roxboro Community Reagan   Reagan
Sanderson Reagan   Reagan
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick Reagan   Reagan
South Garner Reagan   Reagan
South Iredell Reagan Reagan   2- 2 vs 0- 4
South Mecklenburg Reagan Reagan  
South View Reagan   Reagan
Southeast Alamance Reagan   Reagan
Southeast Guilford Reagan Reagan   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Southern Alamance Reagan   Reagan
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Southwest Guilford Reagan Reagan   2- 4 vs 0- 6
St Davids School Reagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reagan
St Stephens Reagan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) Reagan
Sun Valley Reagan   Reagan
Swansboro Reagan   Reagan
TC Roberson TC Roberson TC Roberson   4- 1 vs 2- 1
Terry Sanford Reagan   Reagan
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Reagan   Reagan
Vance Charter Reagan   Reagan
Voyager Academy Reagan   Reagan
Wake Forest Reagan   Reagan
Wake Prep Reagan   Reagan
Wakefield Reagan   Reagan
Walter M Williams Reagan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Reagan
Watauga Reagan Reagan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Weddington Weddington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 2) Weddington
West Brunswick Reagan   Reagan
West Carteret Reagan   Reagan
West Forsyth Reagan Reagan  
West Stokes Reagan Reagan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Western Alamance Reagan   Reagan
Western Guilford Reagan Reagan   4- 3 vs 1- 6
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 92


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Community Scho  (16- 9, 90.4)     5-13       -9.47      24.34       0.27         0.75            -6.88
   0 A Northern Guilf  ( 9- 8, 88.8)     8-11      -11.09      22.71       0.27         0.75            -8.09
   0 A Page            (12-10, 87.5)    11-12      -12.37      21.44       0.27         0.75            -9.04
   0 H Grimsley        ( 9-12, 82.8)    14- 4      -17.12      16.69      -0.27         0.75            12.27
   0 H East Forsyth    ( 6-14, 82.5)     5- 4      -17.38      16.43      -0.27         0.75            12.07
   0 A Northwest Guil  (20- 5, 94.7)     6-18       -5.18      28.63       0.27         0.75            -3.67
   0 A Glenn           ( 5-14, 79.4)    13- 3      -20.49      13.32       0.27         0.75            10.15
   0 A Davie           (17- 3, 89.9)     4-15      -10.00      23.81       0.27         0.75            -7.27
   0 H West Forsyth    (12-10, 84.0)    15- 9      -15.86      17.95      -0.27         0.75            13.21
   0 H Greensboro Day  (10- 8, 88.9)    11-14      -11.03      22.78      -0.27         0.75            -8.44
   0 A Mount Tabor     ( 5-14, 81.1)    18- 6      -18.81      15.00       0.27         0.75            11.41
   0 A RJ Reynolds     (19- 3, 92.5)     9-15       -7.36      26.45       0.27         0.75            -5.30
   0 H Glenn           ( 5-14, 79.4)    15- 5      -20.49      13.32      -0.27         0.75             9.75
   0 H Davie           (17- 3, 89.9)    11-14      -10.00      23.81      -0.27         0.75            -7.67
   0 A West Forsyth    (12-10, 84.0)    13- 6      -15.86      17.95       0.27         0.75            13.62
   0 A East Forsyth    ( 6-14, 82.5)    12- 5      -17.38      16.43       0.27         0.75            12.48
   0 A Lake Norman Ch  (17- 7, 93.5)     4-18       -6.37      27.44       0.27         0.75            -4.56
   0 A South Mecklenb  ( 1-14, 80.4)    17- 4      -19.49      14.31       0.27         0.75            10.90
   0 H Mount Tabor     ( 5-14, 81.1)    14- 6      -18.81      15.00      -0.27         0.75            11.00
   0 H RJ Reynolds     (19- 3, 92.5)     7-20       -7.36      26.45      -0.27         0.75            -5.70
   0 H East Forsyth    ( 6-14, 82.5)    13- 3      -17.38      16.43      -0.27         0.75            12.07
   0 A Davie           (17- 3, 89.9)    10-12      -10.00      23.81       0.27         0.75            -7.27
   0 H Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)    11- 5      -17.94      15.87      -0.27         0.75            11.65
   0 H Charlotte Cath  (15- 5, 96.0)     0-21       -3.89      29.92      -0.27         0.75            -3.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        63.57

winning pts = 140.5753 losing points = -77.0003

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------