All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.3099976 home-field advantage = -0.38 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Clayton (13- 6, 73.3) 8- 5 227 A Cary Christian ( 1- 6, 63.6) 12- 5 307 A Greensboro Day (10- 8, 76.9) 6-14 308 H Nansemond-Suffolk Acad (10- 9, 77.4) 4-12 319 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 72.5) 4- 8 326 A Cary Academy ( 6- 7, 73.8) 16-13 328 H Durham Academy (16- 3, 85.0) 3-16 401 H Cape Fear Academy ( 9- 6, 70.6) 15- 3 403 H Cary Christian ( 1- 6, 63.6) 18- 7 407 A North Raleigh Christia ( 4-12, 69.4) 15- 4 410 H Forsyth Country Day (13- 5, 77.4) 9-15 425 A Durham Academy (16- 3, 85.0) 4-15 428 H Cary Academy ( 6- 7, 73.8) 7- 9 429 H North Raleigh Christia ( 4-12, 69.4) 12- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Clayton 8- 5 3 0 + 2.57 227 A Cary Christian 12- 5 7 9 0.00 307 A Greensboro Day 6-14 -8 -3 - -3.02 308 H Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 4-12 -8 -3 n/a 319 H Carrboro 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.21 326 A Cary Academy 16-13 3 0 + 3.85 328 H Durham Academy 3-16 -13 -11 0.00 401 H Cape Fear Academy 15- 3 12 3 + 3.92 403 H Cary Christian 18- 7 11 10 0.00 407 A North Raleigh Christia 15- 4 11 3 + 3.47 410 H Forsyth Country Day 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.25 425 A Durham Academy 4-15 -11 -12 0.00 428 H Cary Academy 7- 9 -2 0 -1.91 429 H North Raleigh Christia 12- 9 3 4 -1.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Carrboro 4- 8 -4 1 -- -5.21 307 A Greensboro Day 6-14 -8 -3 - -3.02 308 H Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 4-12 -8 -3 - 410 H Forsyth Country Day 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.25OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Clayton 8- 5 3 0 + 2.57 326 A Cary Academy 16-13 3 0 + 3.85 401 H Cape Fear Academy 15- 3 12 3 + 3.92 407 A North Raleigh Christia 15- 4 11 3 + 3.47
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 73.31 Power Rank................. 61 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 47.23 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 53 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5263 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 105 RPI Rating............... .5228 RPI Rank................... 59 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 110 Selection sum ........... 215 Selection Rank ............ 69 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 53 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 51 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3